Marist
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.1#328
Expected Predictive Rating-9.0#283
Pace62.4#335
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-7.7#338
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#280
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.8% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 15.0% 30.5% 11.9%
.500 or above in Conference 18.1% 27.2% 16.3%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.7% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 28.7% 20.8% 30.3%
First Four0.8% 0.9% 0.8%
First Round0.8% 1.2% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Away) - 16.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 31 - 61 - 7
Quad 410 - 1311 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 318   @ VMI W 58-56 36%     1 - 0 -5.3 -15.7 +10.5
  Nov 12, 2019 295   Hartford L 51-62 49%     1 - 1 -21.7 -17.6 -6.0
  Nov 16, 2019 231   @ Fordham L 54-64 16%    
  Nov 23, 2019 306   The Citadel W 76-75 53%    
  Nov 30, 2019 287   Army L 67-68 46%    
  Dec 07, 2019 271   @ Navy L 57-65 23%    
  Dec 16, 2019 166   @ Rider L 66-80 11%    
  Dec 18, 2019 326   New Hampshire W 63-60 60%    
  Dec 21, 2019 339   @ Bethune-Cookman L 67-69 43%    
  Dec 28, 2019 167   @ Columbia L 57-71 11%    
  Jan 03, 2020 252   Quinnipiac L 64-67 38%    
  Jan 05, 2020 330   @ St. Peter's L 56-59 40%    
  Jan 08, 2020 280   @ Fairfield L 56-64 25%    
  Jan 12, 2020 166   Rider L 69-77 25%    
  Jan 16, 2020 255   @ Monmouth L 59-68 21%    
  Jan 19, 2020 196   Iona L 66-72 30%    
  Jan 22, 2020 272   Manhattan L 64-66 42%    
  Jan 24, 2020 195   @ Siena L 62-74 14%    
  Jan 31, 2020 320   @ Niagara L 67-71 38%    
  Feb 02, 2020 305   @ Canisius L 63-68 31%    
  Feb 07, 2020 330   St. Peter's W 59-56 61%    
  Feb 14, 2020 280   Fairfield L 59-61 44%    
  Feb 16, 2020 196   @ Iona L 63-75 15%    
  Feb 21, 2020 255   Monmouth L 62-65 40%    
  Feb 23, 2020 320   Niagara W 70-68 59%    
  Feb 26, 2020 272   @ Manhattan L 61-69 24%    
  Feb 28, 2020 195   Siena L 65-71 30%    
  Mar 01, 2020 252   @ Quinnipiac L 61-70 22%    
  Mar 04, 2020 305   Canisius W 66-65 52%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 7 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 1.7 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.2 1.9 0.5 0.0 5.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 3.5 2.4 0.7 0.0 7.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.1 3.4 0.9 0.1 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.8 4.0 0.9 0.0 12.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 3.5 5.9 4.0 1.0 0.1 15.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 2.4 5.3 5.8 3.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 18.7 10th
11th 0.7 2.6 4.6 5.6 4.3 1.8 0.4 0.0 20.1 11th
Total 0.7 2.7 5.1 8.1 10.8 11.5 12.5 11.6 10.2 8.8 6.3 4.8 3.2 1.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-4 64.6% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 42.9% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1
14-6 23.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 5.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.2% 25.0% 25.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-5 0.6% 12.7% 12.7% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.6
14-6 1.0% 19.5% 19.5% 15.7 0.1 0.1 0.8
13-7 1.9% 7.1% 7.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 1.8
12-8 3.2% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 3.0
11-9 4.8% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.2 4.6
10-10 6.3% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 6.2
9-11 8.8% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 8.7
8-12 10.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.1
7-13 11.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.6
6-14 12.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.5
5-15 11.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.5
4-16 10.8% 10.8
3-17 8.1% 8.1
2-18 5.1% 5.1
1-19 2.7% 2.7
0-20 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 98.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%