Marist
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.7#335
Expected Predictive Rating-13.5#335
Pace62.6#326
Improvement+2.1#89

Offense
Total Offense-8.7#346
First Shot-7.8#344
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#247
Layup/Dunks-4.0#319
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#174
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#205
Freethrows-2.8#333
Improvement+2.4#53

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#258
First Shot-2.6#253
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#199
Layups/Dunks+1.8#99
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#68
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#324
Freethrows-2.2#298
Improvement-0.3#195
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 2.5% 5.5% 0.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 75.2% 61.9% 82.1%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Manhattan (Home) - 34.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 00 - 0
Quad 31 - 61 - 6
Quad 46 - 177 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 292   @ VMI W 58-56 25%     1 - 0 -2.7 -15.8 +13.2
  Nov 12, 2019 282   Hartford L 51-62 43%     1 - 1 -20.7 -16.6 -6.0
  Nov 16, 2019 265   @ Fordham L 41-58 20%     1 - 2 -19.9 -21.7 -1.2
  Nov 23, 2019 291   The Citadel L 75-79 45%     1 - 3 -14.4 -8.3 -6.0
  Nov 30, 2019 295   Army L 64-66 OT 46%     1 - 4 -12.5 -17.0 +4.6
  Dec 07, 2019 219   @ Navy L 51-53 OT 15%     1 - 5 -2.5 -16.6 +13.8
  Dec 16, 2019 194   @ Rider L 64-74 13%     1 - 6 0 - 1 -9.3 -8.6 -0.9
  Dec 18, 2019 298   New Hampshire L 56-64 46%     1 - 7 -18.7 -13.0 -6.4
  Dec 21, 2019 299   @ Bethune-Cookman L 56-85 27%     1 - 8 -34.4 -21.9 -11.5
  Dec 28, 2019 244   @ Columbia L 54-69 18%     1 - 9 -16.8 -13.0 -5.5
  Jan 03, 2020 235   Quinnipiac L 58-63 33%     1 - 10 0 - 2 -12.0 -12.6 +0.0
  Jan 05, 2020 243   @ St. Peter's L 40-66 18%     1 - 11 0 - 3 -27.8 -23.9 -7.6
  Jan 08, 2020 253   @ Fairfield W 70-58 19%     2 - 11 1 - 3 +9.7 +4.7 +5.9
  Jan 12, 2020 194   Rider L 52-69 26%     2 - 12 1 - 4 -22.0 -21.1 -2.3
  Jan 16, 2020 204   @ Monmouth L 66-74 14%     2 - 13 1 - 5 -7.9 -9.5 +2.3
  Jan 19, 2020 257   Iona W 83-73 37%     3 - 13 2 - 5 +1.8 -0.3 +1.4
  Jan 22, 2020 237   Manhattan L 56-60 34%    
  Jan 24, 2020 232   @ Siena L 60-70 16%    
  Jan 31, 2020 290   @ Niagara L 62-69 25%    
  Feb 02, 2020 223   @ Canisius L 59-70 15%    
  Feb 07, 2020 243   St. Peter's L 56-60 36%    
  Feb 14, 2020 253   Fairfield L 55-59 38%    
  Feb 16, 2020 257   @ Iona L 62-71 20%    
  Feb 21, 2020 204   Monmouth L 61-67 29%    
  Feb 23, 2020 290   Niagara L 65-66 46%    
  Feb 26, 2020 237   @ Manhattan L 53-63 17%    
  Feb 28, 2020 232   Siena L 62-67 33%    
  Mar 01, 2020 235   @ Quinnipiac L 59-69 17%    
  Mar 04, 2020 223   Canisius L 62-67 33%    
Projected Record 7 - 22 6 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 4th
5th 0.2 0.7 0.1 1.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 0.5 1.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 1.9 0.1 2.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.1 1.0 0.0 4.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.0 3.4 0.1 8.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.0 7.3 6.5 1.2 0.0 18.6 10th
11th 2.9 9.7 16.9 18.1 10.9 2.6 0.1 61.2 11th
Total 2.9 9.8 17.5 21.2 19.2 13.8 8.7 4.5 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 20.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 12.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 2.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0% 0.0
13-7 0.0% 0.0
12-8 0.2% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2
11-9 0.6% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5
10-10 1.7% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 1.7
9-11 4.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.5
8-12 8.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.7
7-13 13.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.7
6-14 19.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 19.2
5-15 21.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 21.1
4-16 17.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.5
3-17 9.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.8
2-18 2.9% 2.9
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.4 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.5%