Georgia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.3#71
Expected Predictive Rating+6.4#83
Pace70.2#148
Improvement+2.7#70

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#169
First Shot+0.3#168
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#157
Layup/Dunks+5.4#20
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#144
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#330
Freethrows-0.1#178
Improvement+3.4#29

Defense
Total Defense+6.9#29
First Shot+6.1#30
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#111
Layups/Dunks+2.8#71
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#286
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#19
Freethrows+0.5#151
Improvement-0.7#225
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 9.7% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.3% 9.2% 2.0%
Average Seed 10.2 10.1 10.4
.500 or above 24.4% 40.8% 17.1%
.500 or above in Conference 31.2% 50.7% 22.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.8% 1.1% 4.9%
First Four1.9% 3.7% 1.1%
First Round3.9% 8.0% 2.0%
Second Round1.6% 3.3% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.9% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Notre Dame (Away) - 30.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 9
Quad 25 - 68 - 16
Quad 34 - 212 - 17
Quad 42 - 014 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 46   @ North Carolina St. W 82-81 OT 28%     1 - 0 1 - 0 +14.4 +4.3 +10.0
  Nov 11, 2019 309   Elon W 64-41 95%     2 - 0 +11.4 -22.2 +31.4
  Nov 20, 2019 84   @ Georgia L 78-82 42%     2 - 1 +5.4 +0.9 +5.0
  Nov 25, 2019 38   Arkansas L 61-62 OT 45%     2 - 2 +7.5 -11.5 +19.1
  Dec 01, 2019 300   Bethune-Cookman W 68-65 95%     3 - 2 -8.0 -6.2 -1.6
  Dec 04, 2019 116   Nebraska W 73-56 74%     4 - 2 +17.5 -9.6 +24.9
  Dec 07, 2019 49   Syracuse L 63-97 50%     4 - 3 1 - 1 -26.8 -14.3 -9.0
  Dec 14, 2019 12   @ Kentucky L 53-67 16%     4 - 4 +3.7 -8.9 +12.0
  Dec 18, 2019 111   Ball St. L 47-65 72%     4 - 5 -16.7 -24.1 +8.2
  Dec 22, 2019 91   Boise St. W 74-60 56%     5 - 5 +19.8 -2.0 +20.9
  Dec 23, 2019 31   Houston L 59-70 31%     5 - 6 +1.4 -5.0 +5.7
  Dec 25, 2019 170   @ Hawaii W 70-53 68%     6 - 6 +19.5 -1.2 +20.6
  Dec 31, 2019 17   @ Florida St. L 58-70 19%     6 - 7 1 - 2 +4.8 -4.4 +9.0
  Jan 04, 2020 59   @ North Carolina W 96-83 35%     7 - 7 2 - 2 +24.3 +25.3 -1.4
  Jan 08, 2020 2   Duke L 64-73 17%     7 - 8 2 - 3 +8.6 -1.7 +10.4
  Jan 11, 2020 143   @ Boston College W 71-52 62%     8 - 8 3 - 3 +23.3 +4.9 +18.9
  Jan 15, 2020 53   Notre Dame L 74-78 53%     8 - 9 3 - 4 +2.6 -0.1 +2.9
  Jan 18, 2020 48   Virginia L 58-63 50%     8 - 10 3 - 5 +2.4 +1.7 +0.1
  Jan 22, 2020 8   @ Louisville L 64-68 14%     8 - 11 3 - 6 +15.2 +5.6 +9.3
  Jan 25, 2020 46   North Carolina St. W 64-58 49%     9 - 11 4 - 6 +13.5 -5.3 +19.0
  Feb 01, 2020 53   @ Notre Dame L 67-72 31%    
  Feb 04, 2020 66   Virginia Tech W 64-62 60%    
  Feb 08, 2020 72   @ Pittsburgh L 61-64 39%    
  Feb 12, 2020 8   Louisville L 62-68 28%    
  Feb 19, 2020 101   @ Wake Forest L 69-70 48%    
  Feb 22, 2020 49   @ Syracuse L 64-70 29%    
  Feb 25, 2020 74   Clemson W 64-61 61%    
  Feb 29, 2020 97   Miami (FL) W 72-67 69%    
  Mar 04, 2020 72   Pittsburgh W 64-61 61%    
  Mar 06, 2020 74   @ Clemson L 61-64 39%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.2 1.8 1.9 0.6 0.0 4.6 4th
5th 0.1 2.4 3.9 1.4 0.1 7.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 5.8 2.7 0.3 0.0 10.2 6th
7th 0.2 4.9 5.8 1.0 0.0 11.9 7th
8th 2.0 8.8 2.2 0.1 13.1 8th
9th 0.3 6.8 5.5 0.3 12.8 9th
10th 0.0 2.5 8.2 1.4 0.0 12.1 10th
11th 0.7 5.9 3.5 0.1 10.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 2.3 4.9 0.4 7.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.7 3.3 1.4 0.0 5.4 13th
14th 0.1 1.1 1.3 0.1 2.6 14th
15th 0.3 0.6 0.2 1.0 15th
Total 0.4 2.5 7.8 15.1 21.0 22.0 16.8 9.5 3.8 1.0 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.0% 78.0% 4.0% 74.0% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 77.1%
12-8 3.8% 45.3% 1.8% 43.5% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.1 2.1 44.3%
11-9 9.5% 15.2% 0.6% 14.6% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.3 8.0 14.7%
10-10 16.8% 3.0% 0.7% 2.3% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 16.3 2.3%
9-11 22.0% 0.6% 0.6% 10.8 0.0 0.1 21.9
8-12 21.0% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 21.0
7-13 15.1% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 15.1
6-14 7.8% 7.8
5-15 2.5% 2.5
4-16 0.4% 0.4
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 4.7% 0.5% 4.2% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.9 0.5 0.0 95.3 4.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%