James Madison
Colonial Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#235
Expected Predictive Rating+7.0#80
Pace79.3#27
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#237
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#227
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.1% 7.5% 4.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.2 14.7
.500 or above 40.4% 61.0% 34.4%
.500 or above in Conference 42.8% 55.3% 39.1%
Conference Champion 5.6% 9.2% 4.5%
Last Place in Conference 12.7% 8.6% 13.9%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.5%
First Round4.8% 7.3% 4.1%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Mason (Away) - 22.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 33 - 74 - 11
Quad 410 - 514 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 232   Charlotte W 79-74 61%     1 - 0 -1.9 -3.3 +1.0
  Nov 10, 2019 7   @ Virginia L 34-65 2%     1 - 1 -10.1 -23.3 +12.7
  Nov 16, 2019 149   @ George Mason L 71-79 23%    
  Nov 20, 2019 127   @ Old Dominion L 62-71 19%    
  Nov 23, 2019 326   New Hampshire W 77-67 82%    
  Nov 26, 2019 337   Coppin St. W 89-78 83%    
  Nov 30, 2019 219   East Carolina W 76-74 59%    
  Dec 04, 2019 133   @ Radford L 68-77 22%    
  Dec 16, 2019 296   Charleston Southern W 78-71 73%    
  Dec 20, 2019 231   @ Fordham L 66-69 40%    
  Dec 28, 2019 185   Hofstra W 80-79 52%    
  Dec 30, 2019 131   Northeastern L 75-78 40%    
  Jan 02, 2020 267   @ UNC Wilmington L 81-82 45%    
  Jan 04, 2020 141   @ College of Charleston L 70-78 23%    
  Jan 09, 2020 191   Delaware W 72-71 53%    
  Jan 11, 2020 236   Drexel W 79-76 61%    
  Jan 18, 2020 156   @ Towson L 69-76 27%    
  Jan 23, 2020 174   @ William & Mary L 76-82 30%    
  Jan 25, 2020 315   @ Elon W 78-75 59%    
  Jan 30, 2020 141   College of Charleston L 73-75 42%    
  Feb 01, 2020 267   UNC Wilmington W 84-79 65%    
  Feb 06, 2020 236   @ Drexel L 76-79 40%    
  Feb 08, 2020 191   @ Delaware L 69-74 32%    
  Feb 15, 2020 156   Towson L 72-73 46%    
  Feb 20, 2020 315   Elon W 81-72 77%    
  Feb 22, 2020 174   William & Mary L 78-79 50%    
  Feb 27, 2020 131   @ Northeastern L 72-81 23%    
  Feb 29, 2020 185   @ Hofstra L 77-82 33%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 5.6 1st
2nd 0.2 1.2 2.4 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 6.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.0 3.3 2.3 0.5 0.1 8.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.7 2.4 0.3 0.0 9.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.2 2.9 0.4 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.4 3.4 0.4 0.0 12.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.5 3.8 0.5 12.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 3.5 5.4 3.4 0.5 0.0 13.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.7 4.4 2.4 0.4 0.0 13.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 1.7 2.4 2.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 7.8 10th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.0 4.2 6.5 9.1 10.7 12.0 12.0 11.2 10.2 7.4 5.6 4.0 2.5 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 98.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
15-3 84.9% 1.0    0.8 0.2 0.0
14-4 68.0% 1.7    1.0 0.5 0.1
13-5 36.7% 1.5    0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 11.4% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.6% 5.6 3.3 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 60.9% 52.2% 8.7% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 18.2%
16-2 0.5% 32.7% 31.6% 1.0% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.5%
15-3 1.2% 27.6% 27.6% 13.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8
14-4 2.5% 18.3% 18.3% 13.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.0
13-5 4.0% 17.0% 17.0% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 3.4
12-6 5.6% 13.7% 13.7% 14.4 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 4.9
11-7 7.4% 9.1% 9.1% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 6.7
10-8 10.2% 5.9% 5.9% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 9.6
9-9 11.2% 4.5% 4.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 10.7
8-10 12.0% 3.8% 3.8% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 11.6
7-11 12.0% 1.3% 1.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.8
6-12 10.7% 0.8% 0.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 10.6
5-13 9.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.1
4-14 6.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.4
3-15 4.2% 4.2
2-16 2.0% 2.0
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.1% 5.0% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.8 1.1 94.9 0.0%