Miami (FL)
Atlantic Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.4#85
Expected Predictive Rating+10.2#51
Pace68.0#222
Improvement-0.2#189

Offense
Total Offense+6.4#33
First Shot+6.3#26
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#164
Layup/Dunks+1.9#97
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#48
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#133
Freethrows+0.4#136
Improvement-2.3#295

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#158
First Shot+1.9#111
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#319
Layups/Dunks-2.9#284
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#188
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#138
Freethrows+3.9#11
Improvement+2.1#62
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 1.5% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.9% 32.8% 10.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 11.6% 32.3% 10.4%
Average Seed 10.0 9.6 10.1
.500 or above 57.4% 82.8% 55.9%
.500 or above in Conference 13.0% 33.6% 11.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 13.6% 3.8% 14.2%
First Four4.4% 9.5% 4.1%
First Round9.4% 27.1% 8.3%
Second Round3.4% 10.0% 3.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 2.9% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.3% 1.0% 0.2%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Duke (Away) - 5.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 11
Quad 26 - 49 - 15
Quad 34 - 112 - 16
Quad 44 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 6   Louisville L 74-87 24%     0 - 1 0 - 1 +1.0 +6.6 -5.3
  Nov 08, 2019 184   Florida Atlantic W 74-60 83%     1 - 1 +10.3 +1.9 +8.7
  Nov 12, 2019 109   @ Central Florida W 79-70 48%     2 - 1 +15.9 +13.0 +3.0
  Nov 16, 2019 237   Quinnipiac W 80-52 89%     3 - 1 +21.0 -1.3 +21.0
  Nov 21, 2019 147   Missouri St. W 74-70 69%     4 - 1 +5.2 +6.0 -0.5
  Nov 22, 2019 20   Florida L 58-78 24%     4 - 2 -6.1 -4.7 -2.6
  Nov 24, 2019 78   Connecticut L 55-80 48%     4 - 3 -18.0 -4.0 -18.0
  Dec 02, 2019 34   @ Illinois W 81-79 22%     5 - 3 +16.5 +18.5 -1.9
  Dec 14, 2019 342   Alabama A&M W 88-74 97%     6 - 3 -2.3 +9.1 -11.2
  Dec 17, 2019 83   Temple W 78-77 50%     7 - 3 +7.5 +5.7 +1.7
  Dec 21, 2019 334   Coppin St. W 91-60 96%     8 - 3 +16.9 +6.2 +8.3
  Dec 31, 2019 71   @ Clemson W 73-68 OT 35%     9 - 3 1 - 1 +15.3 +6.8 +8.4
  Jan 04, 2020 2   Duke L 62-95 15%     9 - 4 1 - 2 -15.6 -5.5 -8.5
  Jan 07, 2020 6   @ Louisville L 58-74 11%     9 - 5 1 - 3 +3.6 -3.1 +6.3
  Jan 12, 2020 68   Pittsburgh W 66-58 56%     10 - 5 2 - 3 +12.9 +3.6 +10.2
  Jan 15, 2020 43   @ North Carolina St. L 63-80 25%     10 - 6 2 - 4 -3.4 -0.5 -4.4
  Jan 18, 2020 15   Florida St. L 79-83 OT 31%     10 - 7 2 - 5 +7.6 +3.2 +4.9
  Jan 21, 2020 2   @ Duke L 67-84 6%    
  Jan 25, 2020 69   @ North Carolina L 74-78 35%    
  Jan 28, 2020 60   Virginia Tech W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 02, 2020 68   @ Pittsburgh L 65-69 34%    
  Feb 05, 2020 43   North Carolina St. L 75-77 45%    
  Feb 08, 2020 15   @ Florida St. L 66-77 15%    
  Feb 12, 2020 150   Boston College W 75-67 78%    
  Feb 15, 2020 112   Wake Forest W 77-72 69%    
  Feb 19, 2020 60   @ Virginia Tech L 66-71 32%    
  Feb 23, 2020 55   @ Notre Dame L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 29, 2020 84   @ Georgia Tech L 69-72 39%    
  Mar 04, 2020 46   Virginia L 58-59 46%    
  Mar 07, 2020 51   Syracuse L 71-72 49%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 7 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 2.8 5th
6th 0.6 2.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.4 6th
7th 0.1 2.7 2.7 0.3 0.0 5.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 5.2 1.3 0.0 7.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 5.1 4.0 0.2 9.7 9th
10th 0.1 2.9 7.7 1.2 0.0 11.9 10th
11th 0.0 1.5 7.8 4.0 0.1 13.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 5.5 6.6 0.7 0.0 13.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 3.4 7.0 2.0 0.0 12.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.9 2.6 0.2 9.8 14th
15th 0.2 1.3 2.7 1.7 0.3 0.0 6.2 15th
Total 0.2 1.5 5.0 10.8 17.0 19.8 18.8 13.9 8.0 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6 2.0% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0
14-6 0.1% 100.0% 6.0% 94.0% 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-7 0.3% 100.0% 4.0% 96.0% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-8 1.2% 95.3% 3.2% 92.0% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 95.1%
11-9 3.5% 82.8% 1.9% 80.9% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.6 82.5%
10-10 8.0% 53.9% 0.7% 53.2% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.9 0.3 3.7 53.5%
9-11 13.9% 18.5% 0.5% 18.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.5 0.6 0.0 11.4 18.1%
8-12 18.8% 3.2% 0.2% 2.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 18.2 3.0%
7-13 19.8% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.8 0.2%
6-14 17.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 11.9 0.0 0.0 17.0 0.0%
5-15 10.8% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 10.8
4-16 5.0% 5.0
3-17 1.5% 1.5
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 11.9% 0.3% 11.6% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 2.1 2.6 4.4 1.2 0.0 88.1 11.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%