Miami (FL)
Atlantic Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.6#52
Expected Predictive Rating+12.1#45
Pace70.5#162
Improvement+1.5#26

Offense
Total Offense+6.4#33
First Shot+11.7#1
After Offensive Rebound-5.3#345
Layup/Dunks+5.7#38
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#36
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#105
Freethrows-0.3#189
Improvement+1.1#34

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#85
First Shot+5.6#45
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#298
Layups/Dunks-0.9#212
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#29
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#110
Freethrows+1.1#134
Improvement+0.4#100
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.0% 1.3% 0.3%
Top 4 Seed 4.6% 5.5% 1.9%
Top 6 Seed 11.7% 13.8% 5.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 37.2% 41.8% 23.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 36.3% 40.9% 23.1%
Average Seed 7.7 7.6 8.2
.500 or above 65.9% 72.2% 47.7%
.500 or above in Conference 35.8% 39.0% 26.5%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.0% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 5.4% 4.3% 8.5%
First Four4.7% 5.1% 3.5%
First Round34.7% 39.1% 22.1%
Second Round19.6% 22.3% 11.7%
Sweet Sixteen7.4% 8.6% 4.0%
Elite Eight2.7% 3.2% 1.4%
Final Four1.0% 1.2% 0.3%
Championship Game0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Missouri St. (Neutral) - 74.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 10
Quad 24 - 38 - 13
Quad 34 - 112 - 14
Quad 44 - 016 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 4   Louisville L 74-87 25%     0 - 1 +3.5 +5.6 -1.7
  Nov 08, 2019 175   Florida Atlantic W 74-60 89%     1 - 1 +10.2 +2.3 +8.1
  Nov 12, 2019 115   @ Central Florida W 79-70 64%     2 - 1 +14.9 +11.1 +3.9
  Nov 16, 2019 261   Quinnipiac W 80-52 94%     3 - 1 +19.7 -2.2 +20.5
  Nov 21, 2019 120   Missouri St. W 72-65 74%    
  Dec 02, 2019 57   @ Illinois L 75-78 41%    
  Dec 14, 2019 351   Alabama A&M W 88-57 99.9%   
  Dec 17, 2019 87   Temple W 75-71 64%    
  Dec 21, 2019 331   Coppin St. W 92-68 98%    
  Dec 31, 2019 72   @ Clemson L 71-72 47%    
  Jan 04, 2020 2   Duke L 73-81 25%    
  Jan 07, 2020 4   @ Louisville L 67-80 12%    
  Jan 12, 2020 99   Pittsburgh W 72-64 75%    
  Jan 15, 2020 37   @ North Carolina St. L 76-81 33%    
  Jan 18, 2020 24   Florida St. L 72-73 48%    
  Jan 21, 2020 2   @ Duke L 70-84 12%    
  Jan 25, 2020 7   @ North Carolina L 76-87 17%    
  Jan 28, 2020 62   Virginia Tech W 69-65 63%    
  Feb 02, 2020 99   @ Pittsburgh W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 05, 2020 37   North Carolina St. W 79-78 54%    
  Feb 08, 2020 24   @ Florida St. L 70-76 29%    
  Feb 12, 2020 96   Boston College W 78-70 75%    
  Feb 15, 2020 106   Wake Forest W 79-70 78%    
  Feb 19, 2020 62   @ Virginia Tech L 66-68 43%    
  Feb 23, 2020 50   @ Notre Dame L 67-70 39%    
  Feb 29, 2020 66   @ Georgia Tech L 69-71 45%    
  Mar 04, 2020 6   Virginia L 57-62 33%    
  Mar 07, 2020 61   Syracuse W 70-66 63%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 8 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.2 1.8 0.6 0.1 5.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.3 2.9 0.6 0.0 8.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 3.3 3.6 0.9 0.1 9.1 6th
7th 0.8 3.8 4.5 1.4 0.1 10.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 3.2 5.1 1.9 0.2 10.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 2.4 5.6 2.4 0.2 10.7 9th
10th 0.1 1.3 4.5 3.1 0.4 0.0 9.5 10th
11th 0.1 0.9 3.6 3.6 0.6 0.0 8.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.5 3.3 1.0 0.1 7.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.7 1.3 0.1 6.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.8 0.9 0.1 4.6 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.0 0.5 0.1 2.6 15th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.7 4.7 7.3 9.7 12.0 13.4 13.1 11.2 9.4 6.7 4.1 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-3 96.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-4 42.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 26.1% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 3.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 33.3% 66.7% 1.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.2% 100.0% 18.4% 81.6% 1.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.5% 100.0% 12.5% 87.5% 2.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.2% 100.0% 15.8% 84.2% 3.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 2.3% 100.0% 6.9% 93.1% 4.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-7 4.1% 98.8% 5.1% 93.6% 5.7 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.7%
12-8 6.7% 96.0% 5.0% 91.0% 6.9 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.4 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.3 95.8%
11-9 9.4% 89.8% 2.4% 87.4% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.4 1.7 1.7 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.0 89.6%
10-10 11.2% 68.6% 0.7% 68.0% 9.4 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.9 0.3 0.0 3.5 68.4%
9-11 13.1% 35.1% 0.5% 34.6% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.5 0.4 8.5 34.8%
8-12 13.4% 9.9% 0.1% 9.7% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 12.1 9.8%
7-13 12.0% 1.6% 0.1% 1.5% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.8 1.5%
6-14 9.7% 0.3% 0.3% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.7 0.3%
5-15 7.3% 7.3
4-16 4.7% 4.7
3-17 2.7% 0.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 2.7
2-18 1.0% 1.0
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 37.2% 1.4% 35.7% 7.7 0.4 0.6 1.5 2.1 3.2 4.0 4.6 4.8 5.1 4.7 5.0 1.2 0.0 62.8 36.3%