Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#225
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#220
Pace68.3#217
Improvement+2.7#64

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#182
First Shot-0.2#182
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#172
Layup/Dunks-4.0#322
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#351
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.0#3
Freethrows+0.2#153
Improvement-0.4#200

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#276
First Shot-2.4#243
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#278
Layups/Dunks-0.2#183
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#341
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#206
Freethrows+2.1#49
Improvement+3.2#29
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.7% 16.0% 10.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 81.5% 92.3% 74.3%
.500 or above in Conference 85.8% 94.7% 79.7%
Conference Champion 26.6% 39.7% 17.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.4% 1.5%
First Four4.1% 4.0% 4.1%
First Round10.7% 14.1% 8.5%
Second Round0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Siena (Away) - 40.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 33 - 53 - 6
Quad 415 - 818 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2019 200   @ Brown L 68-70 35%     0 - 1 -1.7 -6.9 +5.3
  Nov 16, 2019 96   @ Miami (FL) L 52-80 14%     0 - 2 -19.8 -22.3 +3.9
  Nov 22, 2019 205   Albany W 86-69 58%     1 - 2 +11.2 +15.8 -3.8
  Nov 23, 2019 324   Presbyterian W 73-64 81%     2 - 2 -4.0 +0.0 -3.0
  Nov 24, 2019 208   Sacred Heart L 80-97 59%     2 - 3 -23.0 +0.7 -23.2
  Dec 03, 2019 306   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 77-78 57%     2 - 4 -6.6 -3.0 -3.6
  Dec 07, 2019 296   New Hampshire W 75-67 75%     3 - 4 -2.7 -1.8 -1.2
  Dec 15, 2019 332   @ Maine W 81-61 67%     4 - 4 +11.8 +7.0 +5.4
  Dec 20, 2019 221   Drexel L 63-72 49%     4 - 5 -12.5 -8.1 -4.9
  Dec 21, 2019 160   Bowling Green W 69-64 35%     5 - 5 +5.3 -1.8 +7.4
  Jan 03, 2020 336   @ Marist W 63-58 68%     6 - 5 1 - 0 -3.4 -3.5 +0.6
  Jan 07, 2020 191   Rider W 80-61 55%     7 - 5 2 - 0 +13.9 +4.8 +9.6
  Jan 10, 2020 293   Niagara W 67-56 75%     8 - 5 3 - 0 +0.4 -14.3 +14.8
  Jan 12, 2020 201   Monmouth W 84-70 57%     9 - 5 4 - 0 +8.4 +2.6 +4.4
  Jan 16, 2020 247   @ Manhattan L 57-69 42%     9 - 6 4 - 1 -13.8 -12.5 -1.4
  Jan 18, 2020 236   St. Peter's L 51-71 64%     9 - 7 4 - 2 -27.3 -18.6 -9.8
  Jan 24, 2020 264   Fairfield W 81-67 68%     10 - 7 5 - 2 +5.4 +12.6 -6.2
  Jan 26, 2020 229   @ Siena L 71-74 40%    
  Jan 31, 2020 227   @ Canisius L 71-74 40%    
  Feb 02, 2020 293   @ Niagara W 74-73 53%    
  Feb 07, 2020 255   Iona W 76-71 66%    
  Feb 09, 2020 247   Manhattan W 67-63 65%    
  Feb 14, 2020 236   @ St. Peter's L 64-66 42%    
  Feb 16, 2020 191   @ Rider L 74-78 33%    
  Feb 21, 2020 227   Canisius W 74-71 61%    
  Feb 23, 2020 201   @ Monmouth L 70-74 35%    
  Feb 26, 2020 229   Siena W 74-71 62%    
  Feb 28, 2020 264   @ Fairfield L 63-64 46%    
  Mar 01, 2020 336   Marist W 70-59 84%    
  Mar 04, 2020 255   @ Iona L 73-74 45%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 12 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 2.1 7.5 8.6 5.3 2.3 0.7 0.1 26.6 1st
2nd 1.2 8.1 7.1 2.4 0.3 0.1 19.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 5.7 7.2 1.2 0.0 14.3 3rd
4th 1.5 7.2 1.6 0.0 10.4 4th
5th 0.3 5.5 3.1 0.1 8.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.8 5.0 0.3 7.1 6th
7th 0.3 3.8 1.1 0.0 5.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 2.2 0.1 3.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.6 0.4 2.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.9 8.5 13.4 17.5 19.1 15.9 11.0 5.7 2.3 0.7 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-3 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
16-4 97.4% 2.3    2.1 0.2
15-5 94.0% 5.3    4.5 0.8 0.0
14-6 77.8% 8.6    5.5 2.7 0.4
13-7 47.3% 7.5    2.4 3.3 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-8 11.0% 2.1    0.1 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 26.6% 26.6 15.3 7.5 2.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.1% 0.1
17-3 0.7% 32.9% 32.9% 14.5 0.1 0.1 0.5
16-4 2.3% 34.2% 34.2% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 1.5
15-5 5.7% 22.3% 22.3% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.4 4.4
14-6 11.0% 19.9% 19.9% 15.5 0.1 0.9 1.2 8.8
13-7 15.9% 17.0% 17.0% 15.7 0.0 0.7 2.0 13.2
12-8 19.1% 13.6% 13.6% 15.8 0.0 0.4 2.2 16.5
11-9 17.5% 9.2% 9.2% 15.9 0.1 1.5 15.9
10-10 13.4% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.0 0.7 12.6
9-11 8.5% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4 8.1
8-12 3.9% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.1 3.8
7-13 1.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 1.5
6-14 0.3% 0.3
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 12.7% 12.7% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.5 3.6 8.5 87.4 0.0%