Miami (OH)
Mid-American
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#158
Expected Predictive Rating-0.3#181
Pace67.6#237
Improvement-0.1#201

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#133
First Shot+1.2#132
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#166
Layup/Dunks-0.4#185
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#230
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.4#34
Freethrows-3.5#321
Improvement+0.3#116

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#207
First Shot-2.5#244
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#113
Layups/Dunks-0.3#198
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#234
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#194
Freethrows-1.0#229
Improvement-0.5#259
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 5.4% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.8 12.6 13.1
.500 or above 41.4% 56.2% 30.8%
.500 or above in Conference 40.5% 49.0% 34.4%
Conference Champion 3.7% 5.4% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 12.1% 8.4% 14.7%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round3.7% 5.2% 2.6%
Second Round0.6% 0.8% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Drake (Neutral) - 41.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 52 - 7
Quad 36 - 77 - 14
Quad 46 - 213 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 108   Wright St. L 81-88 48%     0 - 1 -6.5 -1.5 -4.2
  Nov 13, 2019 245   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 84-80 55%     1 - 1 +2.5 +2.8 -0.6
  Nov 16, 2019 351   Alabama A&M W 79-63 97%     2 - 1 -5.7 +0.9 -6.0
  Nov 25, 2019 131   Drake L 72-74 42%    
  Dec 03, 2019 143   Northern Kentucky W 71-69 56%    
  Dec 07, 2019 127   @ Evansville L 69-74 31%    
  Dec 15, 2019 352   Mississippi Valley W 95-72 98%    
  Dec 18, 2019 4   @ Louisville L 61-84 2%    
  Dec 21, 2019 112   Bradley L 67-68 50%    
  Jan 04, 2020 126   @ Central Michigan L 80-85 32%    
  Jan 07, 2020 101   @ Bowling Green L 71-79 26%    
  Jan 10, 2020 104   Buffalo L 78-79 46%    
  Jan 14, 2020 110   Kent St. L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 18, 2020 88   @ Ball St. L 66-75 22%    
  Jan 21, 2020 137   Akron W 71-70 55%    
  Jan 25, 2020 193   Eastern Michigan W 67-62 66%    
  Jan 28, 2020 126   Central Michigan W 83-82 52%    
  Feb 01, 2020 173   @ Northern Illinois L 68-70 42%    
  Feb 04, 2020 244   Western Michigan W 77-70 74%    
  Feb 08, 2020 153   @ Ohio L 70-73 39%    
  Feb 11, 2020 84   @ Toledo L 67-76 21%    
  Feb 15, 2020 173   Northern Illinois W 71-67 62%    
  Feb 22, 2020 137   @ Akron L 68-73 35%    
  Feb 25, 2020 110   @ Kent St. L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 29, 2020 101   Bowling Green L 74-76 45%    
  Mar 03, 2020 104   @ Buffalo L 75-82 28%    
  Mar 06, 2020 153   Ohio W 73-70 59%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.7 1.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.5 2.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.9 3.0 0.9 0.1 7.4 4th
5th 0.3 2.8 3.9 1.1 0.1 8.3 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 4.6 1.7 0.1 9.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 4.8 2.7 0.2 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 4.8 3.9 0.5 0.0 10.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.2 4.4 0.9 0.0 11.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.3 4.2 1.1 0.1 11.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 1.8 3.7 3.3 1.2 0.1 10.5 11th
12th 0.2 0.7 1.8 2.2 1.6 0.5 0.0 7.0 12th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.2 4.1 6.8 9.6 11.1 12.4 12.3 11.3 9.4 7.4 5.4 3.4 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 97.2% 0.4    0.3 0.0
15-3 86.1% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
14-4 56.0% 1.2    0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 26.6% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.7% 3.7 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 63.2% 45.6% 17.6% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 32.4%
16-2 0.4% 47.5% 31.8% 15.7% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 23.0%
15-3 1.0% 33.2% 28.5% 4.7% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.6 6.6%
14-4 2.1% 21.3% 19.2% 2.1% 12.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.7 2.6%
13-5 3.4% 15.1% 15.1% 12.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.9
12-6 5.4% 11.5% 11.5% 12.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.8
11-7 7.4% 7.0% 7.0% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.9
10-8 9.4% 4.5% 4.5% 13.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 9.0
9-9 11.3% 2.5% 2.5% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 11.0
8-10 12.3% 1.3% 1.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.2
7-11 12.4% 0.9% 0.9% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.3
6-12 11.1% 0.7% 0.7% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0
5-13 9.6% 0.3% 0.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.6
4-14 6.8% 0.3% 0.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 6.7
3-15 4.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.1
2-16 2.2% 2.2
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.8% 3.6% 0.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 96.2 0.2%