Miami (OH)
Mid-American
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#191
Expected Predictive Rating-2.9#215
Pace68.5#204
Improvement+1.2#131

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#129
First Shot+2.9#89
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#264
Layup/Dunks-2.9#291
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#97
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#45
Freethrows-0.2#184
Improvement+1.2#109

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#274
First Shot-2.4#242
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#270
Layups/Dunks+2.6#79
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#266
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#291
Freethrows-0.8#236
Improvement+0.0#189
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 2.7% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.5 15.0
.500 or above 10.6% 20.4% 6.0%
.500 or above in Conference 18.5% 32.2% 11.9%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 13.5% 6.2% 16.9%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
First Round1.5% 2.6% 1.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Akron (Home) - 32.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 35 - 106 - 16
Quad 46 - 212 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 113   Wright St. L 81-88 40%     0 - 1 -6.0 -0.8 -4.5
  Nov 13, 2019 257   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 84-80 53%     1 - 1 +1.4 +4.7 -3.5
  Nov 16, 2019 337   Alabama A&M W 79-63 89%     2 - 1 +0.7 +2.4 -1.1
  Nov 25, 2019 143   Drake W 67-59 38%     3 - 1 +9.5 -10.4 +19.2
  Nov 26, 2019 180   South Alabama L 71-82 46%     3 - 2 -11.7 +0.7 -13.0
  Nov 27, 2019 113   Wright St. L 66-71 30%     3 - 3 -1.2 -7.0 +6.0
  Dec 03, 2019 119   Northern Kentucky L 54-76 41%     3 - 4 -21.5 -18.1 -3.5
  Dec 07, 2019 251   @ Evansville L 87-101 52%     3 - 5 -16.2 +11.4 -27.3
  Dec 15, 2019 351   Mississippi Valley W 79-67 96%     4 - 5 -10.8 -5.3 -5.5
  Dec 18, 2019 7   @ Louisville L 46-70 4%     4 - 6 -5.3 -15.4 +9.2
  Dec 21, 2019 91   Bradley W 71-55 32%     5 - 6 +19.0 +4.4 +15.5
  Jan 04, 2020 184   @ Central Michigan L 82-93 36%     5 - 7 0 - 1 -9.1 +6.8 -15.8
  Jan 07, 2020 152   @ Bowling Green L 76-78 29%     5 - 8 0 - 2 +1.9 +2.5 -0.6
  Jan 10, 2020 132   Buffalo L 78-83 46%     5 - 9 0 - 3 -5.7 -4.0 -1.3
  Jan 14, 2020 105   Kent St. W 77-74 37%     6 - 9 1 - 3 +4.7 +2.4 +2.2
  Jan 18, 2020 100   @ Ball St. L 62-71 19%     6 - 10 1 - 4 -1.4 +3.1 -5.5
  Jan 21, 2020 87   Akron L 71-76 32%    
  Jan 25, 2020 234   Eastern Michigan W 68-63 69%    
  Jan 28, 2020 184   Central Michigan W 81-79 58%    
  Feb 01, 2020 188   @ Northern Illinois L 67-70 38%    
  Feb 04, 2020 240   Western Michigan W 75-69 71%    
  Feb 08, 2020 202   @ Ohio L 72-74 43%    
  Feb 11, 2020 120   @ Toledo L 69-77 23%    
  Feb 15, 2020 188   Northern Illinois W 70-67 60%    
  Feb 22, 2020 87   @ Akron L 68-79 16%    
  Feb 25, 2020 105   @ Kent St. L 69-78 20%    
  Feb 29, 2020 152   Bowling Green W 77-76 51%    
  Mar 03, 2020 132   @ Buffalo L 76-83 27%    
  Mar 06, 2020 202   Ohio W 75-71 64%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.6 0.9 0.0 2.9 4th
5th 0.3 2.3 2.2 0.4 0.0 5.3 5th
6th 0.2 2.6 4.6 1.0 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.1 2.4 6.7 2.6 0.1 12.0 7th
8th 0.0 1.6 7.5 5.0 0.5 14.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 7.4 7.4 1.2 0.0 17.4 9th
10th 0.1 1.3 6.0 7.6 1.9 0.1 17.0 10th
11th 0.1 1.2 4.8 5.9 2.1 0.1 14.1 11th
12th 0.1 0.8 2.3 2.6 0.9 0.1 6.7 12th
Total 0.1 0.9 3.6 8.6 14.2 18.8 19.5 15.9 10.4 5.3 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 75.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 40.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 10.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.6% 11.4% 11.4% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
11-7 2.1% 6.8% 6.8% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.9
10-8 5.3% 6.1% 6.1% 14.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.0
9-9 10.4% 3.0% 3.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 10.1
8-10 15.9% 2.0% 2.0% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 15.6
7-11 19.5% 0.9% 0.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 19.3
6-12 18.8% 0.8% 0.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 18.6
5-13 14.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 14.1
4-14 8.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.6
3-15 3.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.6
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 98.4 0.0%