New Hampshire
America East
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#298
Expected Predictive Rating-6.2#261
Pace71.9#109
Improvement-0.6#210

Offense
Total Offense-7.9#341
First Shot-7.9#345
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#173
Layup/Dunks-5.0#338
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#288
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#96
Freethrows-2.5#330
Improvement-3.6#332

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#162
First Shot-1.3#208
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#69
Layups/Dunks-0.2#184
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#172
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#142
Freethrows-2.3#304
Improvement+3.0#32
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.4% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 13.0% 19.4% 4.7%
.500 or above in Conference 26.5% 37.4% 12.3%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 9.4% 3.0% 17.7%
First Four1.0% 1.1% 0.9%
First Round0.7% 0.8% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Binghamton (Away) - 56.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 411 - 712 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 339   Holy Cross W 87-83 77%     1 - 0 -11.8 -1.7 -10.3
  Nov 12, 2019 75   @ St. John's L 61-74 6%     1 - 1 -3.0 -8.2 +5.9
  Nov 16, 2019 178   @ Boston University L 70-84 17%     1 - 2 -11.7 -3.2 -8.6
  Nov 19, 2019 350   @ Central Connecticut St. W 77-63 78%     2 - 2 -2.1 -7.1 +4.3
  Nov 23, 2019 267   @ James Madison L 71-78 32%     2 - 3 -10.1 -14.2 +5.1
  Nov 26, 2019 248   Bryant W 87-76 OT 50%     3 - 3 +3.2 -5.9 +7.0
  Nov 30, 2019 152   @ Florida International L 69-70 14%     3 - 4 +2.5 -6.5 +9.0
  Dec 07, 2019 235   @ Quinnipiac L 67-75 26%     3 - 5 -9.3 -9.9 +0.9
  Dec 18, 2019 335   @ Marist W 64-56 54%     4 - 5 -0.8 -4.5 +4.4
  Dec 22, 2019 78   @ Connecticut L 62-88 6%     4 - 6 -16.2 -4.1 -12.2
  Dec 30, 2019 202   Dartmouth W 70-56 41%     5 - 6 +8.5 -6.3 +14.3
  Jan 04, 2020 282   @ Hartford L 52-61 35%     5 - 7 0 - 1 -13.0 -18.8 +5.4
  Jan 08, 2020 336   Maine W 57-51 74%     6 - 7 1 - 1 -8.7 -19.6 +11.3
  Jan 11, 2020 136   @ Stony Brook L 48-73 12%     6 - 8 1 - 2 -20.2 -24.2 +5.8
  Jan 15, 2020 225   Albany L 73-76 OT 45%     6 - 9 1 - 3 -9.6 -8.6 -0.7
  Jan 18, 2020 302   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 65-60 63%     7 - 9 2 - 3 -6.3 -8.6 +2.7
  Jan 25, 2020 338   @ Binghamton W 70-68 56%    
  Jan 29, 2020 81   Vermont L 58-70 14%    
  Feb 01, 2020 271   @ Umass Lowell L 70-75 33%    
  Feb 08, 2020 136   Stony Brook L 63-70 26%    
  Feb 12, 2020 81   @ Vermont L 55-72 5%    
  Feb 15, 2020 302   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 64-66 41%    
  Feb 20, 2020 282   Hartford W 66-64 58%    
  Feb 22, 2020 225   @ Albany L 62-69 26%    
  Feb 26, 2020 336   @ Maine W 64-63 54%    
  Feb 29, 2020 338   Binghamton W 72-65 76%    
  Mar 03, 2020 271   Umass Lowell W 73-72 55%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 6 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 2.3 1.7 0.4 0.0 5.2 3rd
4th 0.2 2.9 6.7 4.3 0.9 0.0 15.1 4th
5th 0.4 5.1 12.1 6.8 1.2 0.1 25.6 5th
6th 0.2 5.2 13.0 6.2 0.6 0.0 25.3 6th
7th 0.1 3.2 8.7 4.0 0.3 16.3 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 4.5 2.4 0.1 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.4 2.0 1.2 0.1 3.7 9th
Total 0.4 3.3 9.1 16.9 22.4 21.5 14.9 7.8 2.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-4 34.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 2.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-4 0.1% 12.0% 12.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-5 0.7% 3.4% 3.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.7
10-6 2.9% 3.8% 3.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.8
9-7 7.8% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.6
8-8 14.9% 1.7% 1.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 14.7
7-9 21.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.3 21.2
6-10 22.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.2 22.2
5-11 16.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 16.7
4-12 9.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.1
3-13 3.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.3
2-14 0.4% 0.4
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 1.2 98.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%