Norfolk St.
Mid-Eastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.1#307
Expected Predictive Rating-4.9#240
Pace71.8#121
Improvement-0.4#224

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#319
First Shot-6.2#326
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#150
Layup/Dunks-4.9#307
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#50
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#288
Freethrows-0.4#195
Improvement-0.7#277

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#270
First Shot-6.5#333
After Offensive Rebounds+3.2#32
Layups/Dunks-1.4#218
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#269
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#272
Freethrows-0.7#216
Improvement+0.3#123
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.9% 25.1% 17.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 41.3% 68.1% 38.5%
.500 or above in Conference 79.3% 90.0% 78.2%
Conference Champion 24.7% 36.8% 23.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.8% 0.9% 3.0%
First Four16.2% 19.9% 15.8%
First Round9.0% 14.2% 8.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northwestern (Away) - 9.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 41 - 7
Quad 412 - 813 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2019 47   @ Mississippi L 55-68 3%     0 - 1 +0.3 -9.6 +9.6
  Nov 19, 2019 123   @ Bradley L 57-69 9%     0 - 2 -6.4 -7.8 +0.6
  Nov 22, 2019 136   @ Northwestern L 58-72 10%    
  Nov 27, 2019 269   @ Monmouth L 65-72 27%    
  Dec 01, 2019 332   Niagara W 76-71 69%    
  Dec 04, 2019 223   @ Southern Illinois L 61-70 21%    
  Dec 07, 2019 257   @ Hampton L 73-80 27%    
  Dec 15, 2019 117   @ Loyola Chicago L 60-75 9%    
  Dec 20, 2019 99   Bowling Green L 67-81 11%    
  Dec 29, 2019 174   @ Stony Brook L 62-73 16%    
  Jan 04, 2020 336   Bethune-Cookman W 76-70 70%    
  Jan 06, 2020 323   @ Coppin St. L 76-77 45%    
  Jan 11, 2020 347   @ Howard W 78-75 60%    
  Jan 18, 2020 349   Maryland Eastern Shore W 59-48 83%    
  Jan 25, 2020 325   South Carolina St. W 75-70 66%    
  Jan 27, 2020 339   Florida A&M W 72-65 73%    
  Feb 01, 2020 327   @ N.C. A&T L 69-70 46%    
  Feb 03, 2020 319   @ NC Central L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 08, 2020 348   Delaware St. W 66-55 82%    
  Feb 15, 2020 314   Morgan St. W 75-72 62%    
  Feb 17, 2020 323   Coppin St. W 79-74 65%    
  Feb 22, 2020 339   @ Florida A&M W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 24, 2020 336   @ Bethune-Cookman L 73-74 50%    
  Feb 29, 2020 347   Howard W 81-72 78%    
  Mar 02, 2020 348   @ Delaware St. W 63-58 66%    
  Mar 05, 2020 314   @ Morgan St. L 72-75 41%    
Projected Record 12 - 14 10 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.3 2.5 5.7 7.1 5.7 2.7 0.8 24.7 1st
2nd 0.3 2.8 6.2 4.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 16.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.2 6.2 4.0 1.0 0.0 13.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 5.2 3.7 0.7 0.0 10.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.9 3.7 0.6 0.0 8.9 5th
6th 0.2 2.4 3.9 0.8 0.0 7.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 3.5 1.1 0.0 0.0 6.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 2.4 1.4 0.1 4.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.5 0.2 3.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.2 2.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 3.5 5.9 8.1 10.1 12.3 13.7 13.4 11.5 8.9 5.9 2.7 0.8 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.8    0.8
15-1 99.9% 2.7    2.7 0.1
14-2 95.8% 5.7    4.9 0.8 0.0
13-3 80.3% 7.1    4.9 2.1 0.2
12-4 49.1% 5.7    2.3 2.5 0.7 0.1 0.0
11-5 18.5% 2.5    0.4 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
10-6 2.0% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 24.7% 24.7 15.9 6.5 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.8% 59.1% 59.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3
15-1 2.7% 47.1% 47.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.5
14-2 5.9% 42.2% 42.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.4 3.4
13-3 8.9% 32.8% 32.8% 16.0 0.0 2.9 6.0
12-4 11.5% 28.4% 28.4% 16.0 0.0 3.3 8.3
11-5 13.4% 20.9% 20.9% 16.0 2.8 10.6
10-6 13.7% 16.1% 16.1% 16.0 2.2 11.5
9-7 12.3% 9.9% 9.9% 16.0 1.2 11.1
8-8 10.1% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 0.7 9.4
7-9 8.1% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.3 7.8
6-10 5.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 5.8
5-11 3.5% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 3.4
4-12 1.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.9
3-13 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.8
2-14 0.3% 0.3
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 17.9% 17.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 17.3 82.1 0.0%