North Florida
Atlantic Sun
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#154
Expected Predictive Rating+9.0#63
Pace77.7#36
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#157
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#163
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.0% 24.4% 16.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 13.6 14.4
.500 or above 74.9% 90.5% 72.2%
.500 or above in Conference 89.7% 94.6% 88.8%
Conference Champion 22.0% 31.8% 20.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.1% 0.9%
First Four1.2% 0.5% 1.3%
First Round17.4% 24.2% 16.2%
Second Round1.6% 2.9% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.7% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iowa (Away) - 14.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 21 - 7
Quad 33 - 34 - 9
Quad 413 - 317 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 22   @ Florida L 59-74 8%     0 - 1 +1.3 -2.5 +3.4
  Nov 11, 2019 112   Georgia Southern W 80-77 51%     1 - 1 +3.0 -6.7 +9.2
  Nov 14, 2019 223   Southern Miss W 66-63 74%     2 - 1 -3.4 -11.0 +7.6
  Nov 21, 2019 60   @ Iowa L 76-87 14%    
  Nov 24, 2019 43   @ Creighton L 73-86 11%    
  Nov 28, 2019 246   LIU Brooklyn W 82-77 67%    
  Dec 02, 2019 322   High Point W 77-63 90%    
  Dec 07, 2019 227   @ Austin Peay W 81-80 53%    
  Dec 14, 2019 223   @ Southern Miss W 72-71 52%    
  Dec 17, 2019 17   @ Florida St. L 66-83 6%    
  Dec 21, 2019 58   @ Syracuse L 64-75 15%    
  Dec 30, 2019 62   @ Dayton L 68-79 17%    
  Jan 02, 2020 332   @ Kennesaw St. W 79-70 78%    
  Jan 04, 2020 309   @ North Alabama W 80-73 71%    
  Jan 09, 2020 279   Florida Gulf Coast W 79-70 80%    
  Jan 11, 2020 190   NJIT W 75-70 67%    
  Jan 16, 2020 302   @ Jacksonville W 81-76 68%    
  Jan 23, 2020 91   Liberty L 68-70 42%    
  Jan 25, 2020 193   @ Lipscomb L 81-82 48%    
  Jan 30, 2020 329   Stetson W 86-72 89%    
  Feb 01, 2020 332   Kennesaw St. W 82-67 90%    
  Feb 06, 2020 190   @ NJIT L 72-73 47%    
  Feb 08, 2020 279   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 76-73 61%    
  Feb 13, 2020 302   Jacksonville W 84-73 83%    
  Feb 15, 2020 309   North Alabama W 83-70 85%    
  Feb 20, 2020 91   @ Liberty L 65-73 24%    
  Feb 22, 2020 193   Lipscomb W 84-79 67%    
  Feb 27, 2020 329   @ Stetson W 83-75 76%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 11 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 3.2 6.3 6.9 3.9 1.0 22.0 1st
2nd 0.5 2.7 7.9 9.7 6.4 1.4 28.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.8 7.7 6.4 2.2 0.2 20.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.3 5.5 3.2 0.6 0.0 13.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.4 3.6 1.3 0.1 8.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.5 0.6 0.0 3.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.5 3.0 4.9 8.2 11.1 13.8 15.6 15.0 12.9 8.3 3.9 1.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 1.0    1.0
15-1 100.0% 3.9    3.5 0.4
14-2 83.0% 6.9    5.0 1.9 0.0
13-3 48.7% 6.3    3.0 2.9 0.3
12-4 21.0% 3.2    1.0 1.5 0.6 0.0
11-5 4.8% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 22.0% 22.0 13.6 7.0 1.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 1.0% 53.4% 52.9% 0.5% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.1%
15-1 3.9% 44.6% 44.2% 0.4% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.1 0.7%
14-2 8.3% 34.6% 34.6% 13.5 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 5.5
13-3 12.9% 27.4% 27.4% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 1.0 0.1 9.3 0.1%
12-4 15.0% 21.7% 21.7% 14.4 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.4 0.3 11.7
11-5 15.6% 17.4% 17.4% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 0.6 12.9
10-6 13.8% 11.1% 11.1% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 12.2
9-7 11.1% 8.4% 8.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 10.2
8-8 8.2% 6.7% 6.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 7.6
7-9 4.9% 4.4% 4.4% 15.9 0.0 0.2 4.6
6-10 3.0% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.1 2.9
5-11 1.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.5
4-12 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7
3-13 0.2% 0.2
2-14 0.1% 0.1
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 18.0% 17.9% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.3 4.8 5.5 2.9 82.0 0.0%