San Jose St.
Mountain West
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.8#324
Expected Predictive Rating-3.4#233
Pace72.7#103
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#328
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#298
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 13.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.2% 0.5% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.7% 1.1% 0.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 64.3% 57.3% 68.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Grambling St. (Home) - 39.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 60 - 11
Quad 32 - 92 - 20
Quad 43 - 55 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 186   @ Hofstra W 79-71 13%     1 - 0 +9.5 +1.7 +7.7
  Nov 10, 2019 257   Portland L 57-72 39%     1 - 1 -22.8 -20.8 -1.5
  Nov 14, 2019 14   @ Arizona L 39-87 1%     1 - 2 -30.1 -26.7 -1.9
  Nov 20, 2019 252   Grambling St. L 72-75 39%    
  Nov 23, 2019 272   Portland St. L 75-77 42%    
  Nov 27, 2019 68   Oregon St. L 62-80 4%    
  Dec 01, 2019 88   @ UCLA L 63-83 4%    
  Dec 04, 2019 23   Utah St. L 62-83 3%    
  Dec 08, 2019 49   @ San Diego St. L 58-82 2%    
  Dec 14, 2019 94   Stanford L 65-78 12%    
  Dec 18, 2019 118   @ Santa Clara L 63-79 7%    
  Dec 22, 2019 247   UC Riverside L 63-66 40%    
  Dec 28, 2019 113   Pepperdine L 72-83 18%    
  Jan 01, 2020 82   New Mexico L 73-87 11%    
  Jan 04, 2020 122   @ Fresno St. L 62-78 8%    
  Jan 08, 2020 104   Nevada L 69-81 15%    
  Jan 11, 2020 171   Colorado St. L 68-75 27%    
  Jan 15, 2020 138   @ UNLV L 64-79 9%    
  Jan 21, 2020 82   @ New Mexico L 70-90 4%    
  Jan 25, 2020 179   Air Force L 68-75 28%    
  Jan 29, 2020 105   @ Boise St. L 63-81 6%    
  Feb 01, 2020 290   Wyoming L 60-61 49%    
  Feb 08, 2020 104   @ Nevada L 66-84 6%    
  Feb 12, 2020 122   Fresno St. L 65-75 19%    
  Feb 15, 2020 179   @ Air Force L 65-78 13%    
  Feb 19, 2020 105   Boise St. L 66-78 16%    
  Feb 22, 2020 171   @ Colorado St. L 65-78 13%    
  Feb 25, 2020 23   @ Utah St. L 59-86 1%    
  Feb 29, 2020 138   UNLV L 67-76 22%    
Projected Record 5 - 24 3 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 5th
6th 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 1.4 1.6 0.7 0.0 4.2 8th
9th 0.2 1.4 3.4 3.2 1.5 0.2 9.9 9th
10th 3.5 9.2 10.7 7.1 1.8 0.2 32.5 10th
11th 12.0 18.0 13.1 6.0 1.1 0.1 50.3 11th
Total 12.0 21.5 22.5 18.1 12.0 6.7 3.7 1.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.1
10-8 0.1% 0.1
9-9 0.4% 0.4
8-10 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 13.0 0.0 0.8
7-11 1.9% 1.9
6-12 3.7% 3.7
5-13 6.7% 6.7
4-14 12.0% 12.0
3-15 18.1% 18.1
2-16 22.5% 22.5
1-17 21.5% 21.5
0-18 12.0% 12.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.5%