Santa Clara
West Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.3#146
Expected Predictive Rating+7.8#71
Pace74.8#57
Improvement-1.3#237

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#171
First Shot+3.9#64
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#340
Layup/Dunks+4.3#35
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#270
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#143
Freethrows+0.7#123
Improvement+0.1#171

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#142
First Shot-0.4#173
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#77
Layups/Dunks-0.1#177
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#99
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#104
Freethrows-3.2#323
Improvement-1.4#258
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.1 12.1 12.1
.500 or above 99.4% 99.9% 98.4%
.500 or above in Conference 56.4% 67.0% 36.8%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 0.7% 3.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pacific (Home) - 64.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 5
Quad 20 - 32 - 8
Quad 34 - 36 - 10
Quad 413 - 119 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 317   Cal Poly W 77-63 90%     1 - 0 +1.5 -2.5 +3.6
  Nov 12, 2019 134   Washington St. W 70-62 58%     2 - 0 +7.2 -7.4 +13.9
  Nov 16, 2019 41   @ Stanford L 64-82 13%     2 - 1 -4.3 -1.6 -1.8
  Nov 22, 2019 312   Idaho St. W 78-65 89%     3 - 1 +0.8 -7.9 +7.6
  Nov 27, 2019 329   Denver W 81-64 91%     4 - 1 +3.6 -4.6 +6.7
  Nov 29, 2019 331   Southeast Missouri St. W 87-75 91%     5 - 1 -1.7 -1.3 -1.5
  Nov 30, 2019 280   Cal St. Fullerton W 70-55 85%     6 - 1 +5.4 -4.5 +10.0
  Dec 04, 2019 101   @ Nevada L 67-98 27%     6 - 2 -23.4 -7.8 -13.2
  Dec 07, 2019 179   California W 71-52 68%     7 - 2 +15.4 -5.7 +20.5
  Dec 14, 2019 201   Sacramento St. W 60-58 74%     8 - 2 -3.5 -8.7 +5.3
  Dec 18, 2019 288   San Jose St. W 89-84 86%     9 - 2 -5.2 +1.0 -6.8
  Dec 20, 2019 351   Mississippi Valley W 100-71 98%     10 - 2 +6.2 +1.8 +0.4
  Dec 29, 2019 332   Alcorn St. W 92-57 91%     11 - 2 +21.3 +14.5 +7.9
  Jan 04, 2020 198   San Diego W 80-63 74%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +11.7 +11.5 +1.1
  Jan 09, 2020 104   @ San Francisco L 61-80 27%     12 - 3 1 - 1 -11.5 -10.0 -1.9
  Jan 11, 2020 39   @ St. Mary's W 67-66 12%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +15.2 +1.3 +13.9
  Jan 16, 2020 3   @ Gonzaga L 54-104 4%     13 - 4 2 - 2 -28.6 -15.4 -8.6
  Jan 18, 2020 161   Pacific W 68-64 65%    
  Jan 23, 2020 149   Pepperdine W 80-77 62%    
  Jan 25, 2020 198   @ San Diego W 72-71 53%    
  Jan 30, 2020 3   Gonzaga L 71-85 9%    
  Feb 01, 2020 268   @ Portland W 72-68 65%    
  Feb 06, 2020 149   @ Pepperdine L 77-80 39%    
  Feb 13, 2020 104   San Francisco L 77-78 49%    
  Feb 15, 2020 203   Loyola Marymount W 71-64 74%    
  Feb 20, 2020 33   @ BYU L 69-82 10%    
  Feb 22, 2020 161   @ Pacific L 65-67 42%    
  Feb 27, 2020 39   St. Mary's L 66-73 26%    
  Feb 29, 2020 268   Portland W 75-65 82%    
Projected Record 19 - 10 8 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.7 0.9 0.1 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.8 5.6 2.7 0.2 0.0 11.6 3rd
4th 0.6 6.0 10.3 4.3 0.4 21.5 4th
5th 0.3 5.5 10.9 4.1 0.3 0.0 21.1 5th
6th 0.2 4.1 10.0 4.2 0.2 18.7 6th
7th 0.2 3.2 8.2 3.3 0.3 15.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 3.1 1.3 0.0 5.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.5 0.0 1.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 10th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.5 7.1 13.9 19.4 21.6 17.6 11.0 4.8 1.2 0.2 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 33.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-4 3.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.2% 11.1% 6.7% 4.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.8%
12-4 1.2% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.9%
11-5 4.8% 1.4% 1.4% 11.8 0.0 0.1 4.7
10-6 11.0% 1.2% 1.2% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.9
9-7 17.6% 0.9% 0.9% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 17.4
8-8 21.6% 0.3% 0.3% 12.5 0.0 0.0 21.5
7-9 19.4% 0.2% 0.2% 13.2 0.0 0.0 19.4
6-10 13.9% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 13.9
5-11 7.1% 7.1
4-12 2.5% 2.5
3-13 0.6% 0.6
2-14 0.1% 0.1
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 99.5 0.0%