Santa Clara
West Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.6#136
Expected Predictive Rating+4.3#121
Pace72.0#122
Improvement-0.2#215

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#186
First Shot+0.0#168
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#193
Layup/Dunks-1.5#225
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#276
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#215
Freethrows+5.0#15
Improvement+0.1#146

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#109
First Shot+2.3#106
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#198
Layups/Dunks+1.8#132
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#184
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.6#18
Freethrows-6.1#343
Improvement-0.4#247
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 1.7% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.3 11.2 13.1
.500 or above 78.1% 80.6% 52.8%
.500 or above in Conference 40.0% 41.3% 26.6%
Conference Champion 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 8.6% 7.9% 16.3%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
First Round1.5% 1.6% 0.8%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Idaho St. (Home) - 91.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 32 - 8
Quad 34 - 36 - 11
Quad 412 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 311   Cal Poly W 77-63 90%     1 - 0 +1.4 -6.6 +7.4
  Nov 12, 2019 141   Washington St. W 70-62 63%     2 - 0 +6.3 -9.4 +15.1
  Nov 16, 2019 83   @ Stanford L 64-82 23%     2 - 1 -8.6 -6.1 -1.6
  Nov 22, 2019 310   Idaho St. W 78-64 91%    
  Nov 27, 2019 292   Denver W 77-65 89%    
  Nov 29, 2019 295   Southeast Missouri St. W 79-67 87%    
  Nov 30, 2019 218   Cal St. Fullerton W 74-66 75%    
  Dec 04, 2019 111   @ Nevada L 71-75 33%    
  Dec 07, 2019 121   California W 72-70 57%    
  Dec 14, 2019 265   Sacramento St. W 74-64 82%    
  Dec 18, 2019 324   San Jose St. W 79-64 91%    
  Dec 20, 2019 352   Mississippi Valley W 97-72 99%    
  Dec 29, 2019 340   Alcorn St. W 81-64 94%    
  Jan 04, 2020 156   San Diego W 70-65 67%    
  Jan 09, 2020 98   @ San Francisco L 68-74 29%    
  Jan 11, 2020 36   @ St. Mary's L 59-72 14%    
  Jan 16, 2020 5   @ Gonzaga L 65-86 3%    
  Jan 18, 2020 235   Pacific W 70-61 77%    
  Jan 23, 2020 119   Pepperdine W 78-76 55%    
  Jan 25, 2020 156   @ San Diego L 67-68 46%    
  Jan 30, 2020 5   Gonzaga L 68-83 9%    
  Feb 01, 2020 247   @ Portland W 71-68 60%    
  Feb 06, 2020 119   @ Pepperdine L 75-79 35%    
  Feb 13, 2020 98   San Francisco L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 15, 2020 169   Loyola Marymount W 68-63 68%    
  Feb 20, 2020 71   @ BYU L 71-80 21%    
  Feb 22, 2020 235   @ Pacific W 67-64 59%    
  Feb 27, 2020 36   St. Mary's L 62-69 29%    
  Feb 29, 2020 247   Portland W 74-65 77%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 7 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.8 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 1.9 1.3 0.9 0.0 4.5 2nd
3rd 0.4 2.6 3.6 2.5 0.6 9.7 3rd
4th 0.8 3.8 5.7 3.0 0.4 0.1 13.6 4th
5th 0.4 5.5 7.0 2.3 0.1 15.2 5th
6th 1.0 5.1 8.4 2.7 0.1 17.3 6th
7th 0.4 4.4 6.9 2.2 0.1 14.0 7th
8th 0.3 4.0 6.0 1.5 0.1 11.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.8 1.4 0.1 8.2 9th
10th 0.2 0.6 1.4 1.9 0.5 0.0 4.7 10th
Total 0.2 0.6 1.9 4.7 8.8 12.8 14.0 17.0 13.9 10.8 7.0 4.8 2.2 1.1 0.3 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 98.5% 0.3    0.1 0.2
13-3 23.3% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1
12-4 6.0% 0.1    0.1
11-5 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.1 0.5 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.3% 62.1% 60.6% 1.5% 6.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.8%
13-3 1.1% 29.1% 16.6% 12.6% 11.4 0.2 0.1 0.8 15.1%
12-4 2.2% 20.7% 13.5% 7.2% 11.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 1.7 8.3%
11-5 4.8% 1.7% 1.7% 11.9 0.0 0.1 4.7
10-6 7.0% 1.9% 1.9% 12.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 6.9
9-7 10.8% 0.9% 0.9% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.7
8-8 13.9% 1.0% 1.0% 12.5 0.1 0.1 13.7
7-9 17.0% 0.7% 0.7% 13.5 0.1 0.1 16.9
6-10 14.0% 0.5% 0.5% 13.9 0.0 0.1 13.9
5-11 12.8% 12.8
4-12 8.8% 8.8
3-13 4.7% 4.7
2-14 1.9% 1.9
1-15 0.6% 0.6
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.6% 1.3% 0.3% 11.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 98.4 0.3%