UC Irvine
Big West
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.9#104
Expected Predictive Rating+3.9#125
Pace64.8#303
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#102
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#113
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.7% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 41.5% 48.2% 37.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 1.4% 0.3%
Average Seed 13.4 12.9 13.8
.500 or above 91.0% 96.9% 87.5%
.500 or above in Conference 95.7% 98.0% 94.3%
Conference Champion 55.9% 64.4% 50.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 0.5%
First Four1.2% 1.0% 1.3%
First Round41.0% 47.8% 36.8%
Second Round6.4% 9.1% 4.8%
Sweet Sixteen1.8% 3.0% 1.1%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boise St. (Away) - 37.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 36 - 47 - 8
Quad 414 - 321 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 176   @ San Diego W 76-73 58%     1 - 0 +4.9 +3.8 +1.0
  Nov 09, 2019 112   @ Pepperdine L 73-77 42%     1 - 1 +1.9 +0.3 +1.6
  Nov 15, 2019 103   @ Boise St. L 68-71 38%    
  Nov 18, 2019 36   @ Colorado L 64-75 15%    
  Nov 21, 2019 51   @ TCU L 66-74 22%    
  Nov 24, 2019 218   Detroit Mercy W 77-70 75%    
  Nov 26, 2019 240   Louisiana W 79-71 76%    
  Nov 30, 2019 219   Eastern Michigan W 68-58 82%    
  Dec 07, 2019 199   California Baptist W 78-69 79%    
  Dec 16, 2019 121   Kent St. W 71-69 56%    
  Dec 20, 2019 164   @ Illinois-Chicago W 71-70 55%    
  Dec 28, 2019 239   Pacific W 70-59 83%    
  Jan 04, 2020 77   @ Harvard L 67-73 29%    
  Jan 11, 2020 210   Hawaii W 72-62 80%    
  Jan 15, 2020 227   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 71-66 66%    
  Jan 18, 2020 247   UC Riverside W 68-57 84%    
  Jan 22, 2020 262   @ Long Beach St. W 75-69 69%    
  Jan 25, 2020 313   Cal Poly W 76-60 92%    
  Jan 30, 2020 297   @ UC Davis W 69-60 77%    
  Feb 01, 2020 227   Cal St. Fullerton W 74-63 81%    
  Feb 06, 2020 297   UC Davis W 72-57 89%    
  Feb 08, 2020 158   @ UC Santa Barbara W 68-67 53%    
  Feb 12, 2020 247   @ UC Riverside W 65-60 67%    
  Feb 16, 2020 210   @ Hawaii W 69-65 62%    
  Feb 19, 2020 262   Long Beach St. W 78-66 84%    
  Feb 22, 2020 263   @ Cal St. Northridge W 78-72 70%    
  Feb 27, 2020 313   @ Cal Poly W 73-63 81%    
  Feb 29, 2020 158   UC Santa Barbara W 71-64 71%    
  Mar 04, 2020 263   Cal St. Northridge W 81-69 85%    
Projected Record 19 - 10 12 - 4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.6 7.9 13.8 15.2 10.7 5.3 55.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.6 7.2 6.5 3.0 0.6 21.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.3 4.0 2.5 0.6 0.0 9.6 3rd
4th 0.2 1.6 2.9 1.2 0.2 6.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 1.7 0.7 0.0 3.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.4 0.0 2.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 1.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 9th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 2.4 4.0 6.5 9.2 12.5 15.0 16.9 15.8 10.7 5.3 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 5.3    5.3
15-1 100.0% 10.7    10.5 0.2
14-2 96.5% 15.2    13.5 1.7
13-3 82.1% 13.8    10.2 3.4 0.2
12-4 52.4% 7.9    3.7 3.4 0.8
11-5 20.6% 2.6    0.6 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0
10-6 4.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 55.9% 55.9 44.0 10.0 1.7 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 5.3% 76.9% 73.5% 3.4% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.0 1.2 12.9%
15-1 10.7% 66.0% 64.6% 1.4% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.8 2.5 2.3 1.1 0.1 3.7 3.9%
14-2 15.8% 56.1% 55.9% 0.3% 13.1 0.0 0.2 2.1 3.5 2.3 0.7 0.0 6.9 0.6%
13-3 16.9% 46.4% 46.3% 0.1% 13.6 0.0 1.1 2.5 2.7 1.3 0.2 9.0 0.1%
12-4 15.0% 37.1% 37.1% 14.1 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.2 1.5 0.3 9.4
11-5 12.5% 29.7% 29.7% 14.5 0.0 0.6 1.2 1.4 0.5 8.8
10-6 9.2% 24.5% 24.5% 15.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.7 6.9
9-7 6.5% 18.3% 18.3% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 5.3
8-8 4.0% 16.1% 16.1% 15.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 3.3
7-9 2.4% 8.3% 8.3% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.2
6-10 1.0% 5.9% 5.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 1.0
5-11 0.6% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5
4-12 0.2% 0.2
3-13 0.1% 0.1
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 41.5% 41.1% 0.4% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.7 7.3 11.2 10.6 6.7 2.9 58.6 0.6%