Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.9#102
Expected Predictive Rating+5.1#96
Pace72.3#96
Improvement+1.1#133

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#68
First Shot+3.6#72
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#156
Layup/Dunks-1.6#232
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#53
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#228
Freethrows+3.9#8
Improvement+2.1#65

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#136
First Shot-0.7#180
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#41
Layups/Dunks-3.1#296
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#157
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#130
Freethrows+0.7#137
Improvement-1.0#240
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.5% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.8% 1.2% 0.4%
Average Seed 10.9 10.8 11.3
.500 or above 15.0% 24.8% 8.2%
.500 or above in Conference 2.8% 5.3% 1.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 35.6% 23.2% 44.2%
First Four0.5% 0.8% 0.3%
First Round0.6% 1.1% 0.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia (Home) - 41.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 10
Quad 24 - 66 - 16
Quad 33 - 29 - 18
Quad 44 - 014 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 147   @ Boston College L 70-77 54%     0 - 1 0 - 1 -3.1 -2.0 -0.8
  Nov 10, 2019 246   Columbia W 65-63 88%     1 - 1 -5.6 -16.6 +10.9
  Nov 13, 2019 253   UNC Asheville W 98-79 88%     2 - 1 +10.9 +14.6 -4.8
  Nov 17, 2019 185   @ Charlotte L 65-67 OT 61%     2 - 2 +0.0 -6.6 +6.7
  Nov 22, 2019 93   @ Davidson W 82-70 37%     3 - 2 +20.4 +11.0 +9.3
  Nov 28, 2019 125   College of Charleston W 65-56 59%     4 - 2 +11.6 -2.1 +14.6
  Nov 29, 2019 292   Long Beach St. W 88-75 88%     5 - 2 +5.3 +6.8 -2.3
  Dec 01, 2019 11   Arizona L 66-73 17%     5 - 3 +8.2 -0.4 +8.6
  Dec 04, 2019 25   @ Penn St. L 54-76 15%     5 - 4 -6.1 -15.2 +10.9
  Dec 07, 2019 42   North Carolina St. L 82-91 38%     5 - 5 0 - 2 -1.0 +2.9 -3.1
  Dec 14, 2019 53   Xavier W 80-78 42%     6 - 5 +8.8 +6.8 +1.9
  Dec 21, 2019 287   N.C. A&T W 76-64 91%     7 - 5 +1.8 -4.3 +5.3
  Jan 04, 2020 76   @ Pittsburgh W 69-65 31%     8 - 5 1 - 2 +14.1 +7.9 +6.6
  Jan 08, 2020 15   Florida St. L 68-78 27%     8 - 6 1 - 3 +1.4 +1.1 +0.4
  Jan 11, 2020 2   @ Duke L 59-90 5%     8 - 7 1 - 4 -7.6 -0.9 -7.5
  Jan 14, 2020 60   Virginia Tech L 70-80 48%     8 - 8 1 - 5 -4.5 -3.9 +0.0
  Jan 19, 2020 147   Boston College W 80-62 75%     9 - 8 2 - 5 +16.0 +8.4 +7.6
  Jan 21, 2020 70   @ Clemson L 68-71 30%     9 - 9 2 - 6 +7.4 +8.2 -1.0
  Jan 26, 2020 47   Virginia L 57-59 41%    
  Jan 29, 2020 55   @ Notre Dame L 70-77 25%    
  Feb 01, 2020 70   Clemson W 68-67 52%    
  Feb 05, 2020 9   @ Louisville L 64-78 9%    
  Feb 08, 2020 50   @ Syracuse L 69-77 23%    
  Feb 11, 2020 59   North Carolina L 76-77 47%    
  Feb 15, 2020 96   @ Miami (FL) L 74-77 38%    
  Feb 19, 2020 80   Georgia Tech W 71-70 55%    
  Feb 25, 2020 2   Duke L 70-83 12%    
  Feb 29, 2020 55   Notre Dame L 73-74 46%    
  Mar 03, 2020 59   @ North Carolina L 74-80 28%    
  Mar 06, 2020 42   @ North Carolina St. L 72-81 20%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 6 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 0.8 0.1 2.0 7th
8th 0.8 2.1 0.4 0.0 3.2 8th
9th 0.5 3.4 1.7 0.1 5.6 9th
10th 0.2 3.5 4.3 0.6 8.6 10th
11th 0.1 2.0 7.1 1.7 0.0 10.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 7.1 5.2 0.3 13.4 12th
13th 0.6 5.5 8.2 1.5 0.0 15.7 13th
14th 0.7 4.9 9.7 3.4 0.2 18.9 14th
15th 1.5 5.6 8.1 4.4 0.4 0.0 19.9 15th
Total 1.5 6.2 13.5 20.5 21.2 17.9 10.5 5.8 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-9 0.5% 51.9% 3.8% 48.1% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 50.0%
10-10 2.2% 12.7% 0.9% 11.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.9 11.9%
9-11 5.8% 2.9% 0.3% 2.6% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.6 2.6%
8-12 10.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 11.0 0.1 10.5 0.2%
7-13 17.9% 0.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.1 17.9
6-14 21.2% 0.1% 0.1% 12.5 0.0 0.0 21.2
5-15 20.5% 20.5
4-16 13.5% 13.5
3-17 6.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.2
2-18 1.5% 1.5
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.9% 0.2% 0.8% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 99.1 0.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%