Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.4#133
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#167
Pace64.2#301
Improvement-1.5#294

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#136
First Shot-0.4#185
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#97
Layup/Dunks+3.0#74
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#187
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#258
Freethrows-0.2#192
Improvement-1.6#318

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#119
First Shot-4.6#309
After Offensive Rebounds+6.1#1
Layups/Dunks-1.0#226
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#304
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#238
Freethrows-0.1#197
Improvement+0.1#182
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.2% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Average Seed 10.6 10.5 11.5
.500 or above 17.3% 20.4% 7.5%
.500 or above in Conference 12.9% 14.3% 8.7%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 19.2% 17.3% 25.1%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
First Round0.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Florida (Home) - 75.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 51 - 9
Quad 22 - 74 - 16
Quad 33 - 36 - 18
Quad 46 - 113 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 242   Dartmouth W 73-57 82%     1 - 0 +8.9 +5.3 +5.1
  Nov 12, 2021 343   Holy Cross W 85-55 95%     2 - 0 +14.0 +5.7 +8.9
  Nov 14, 2021 222   Fairfield W 72-64 78%     3 - 0 +2.2 -0.5 +3.0
  Nov 17, 2021 72   @ Rhode Island L 49-57 24%     3 - 1 +1.9 -11.9 +12.8
  Nov 20, 2021 51   Utah L 61-68 27%     3 - 2 +1.9 -4.3 +5.8
  Nov 21, 2021 72   Rhode Island L 65-71 33%     3 - 3 +0.9 +4.7 -4.6
  Nov 26, 2021 323   Columbia W 73-60 91%     4 - 3 +0.2 -2.0 +3.3
  Nov 29, 2021 207   South Florida W 62-54 76%    
  Dec 03, 2021 64   Notre Dame L 67-69 42%    
  Dec 11, 2021 60   @ Saint Louis L 65-73 22%    
  Dec 13, 2021 286   Albany W 72-60 87%    
  Dec 22, 2021 85   @ Wake Forest L 66-73 26%    
  Dec 29, 2021 24   Florida St. L 64-72 23%    
  Jan 01, 2022 44   North Carolina L 72-77 33%    
  Jan 08, 2022 213   @ Pittsburgh W 66-64 56%    
  Jan 12, 2022 84   Georgia Tech L 66-67 46%    
  Jan 15, 2022 45   @ Clemson L 58-68 17%    
  Jan 19, 2022 36   @ Louisville L 60-72 14%    
  Jan 22, 2022 28   Virginia Tech L 61-69 26%    
  Jan 26, 2022 44   @ North Carolina L 69-80 17%    
  Jan 29, 2022 213   Pittsburgh W 69-61 75%    
  Feb 01, 2022 39   @ Virginia L 51-62 16%    
  Feb 08, 2022 78   Syracuse L 71-72 45%    
  Feb 12, 2022 4   Duke L 64-77 12%    
  Feb 16, 2022 64   @ Notre Dame L 64-72 24%    
  Feb 19, 2022 78   @ Syracuse L 68-75 26%    
  Feb 23, 2022 65   @ North Carolina St. L 65-73 23%    
  Feb 26, 2022 45   Clemson L 61-65 35%    
  Mar 02, 2022 106   Miami (FL) W 70-69 53%    
  Mar 05, 2022 84   @ Georgia Tech L 63-70 28%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 6 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.8 3rd
4th 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.9 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 1.6 0.4 0.0 3.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 1.9 1.0 0.1 3.9 7th
8th 0.5 2.5 1.7 0.2 0.0 4.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.2 0.6 0.0 6.5 9th
10th 0.2 2.0 4.0 1.8 0.1 0.0 8.1 10th
11th 0.2 2.2 5.3 3.0 0.3 11.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.0 5.7 4.3 0.7 0.0 13.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 2.8 6.3 4.8 1.3 0.1 15.8 13th
14th 0.1 1.0 4.3 6.5 4.9 1.1 0.1 17.8 14th
15th 0.3 1.7 3.5 3.6 2.0 0.5 0.0 11.6 15th
Total 0.3 1.8 4.5 8.5 11.5 13.9 14.0 13.3 10.6 8.7 5.4 3.7 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 50.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 25.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 16.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 4.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-6 0.4% 44.2% 4.7% 39.5% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 41.5%
13-7 1.0% 26.7% 2.0% 24.8% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 25.3%
12-8 2.1% 7.7% 1.4% 6.3% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.9 6.4%
11-9 3.7% 2.2% 0.5% 1.6% 11.3 0.0 0.1 3.6 1.6%
10-10 5.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.7% 11.8 0.0 0.0 5.4 0.7%
9-11 8.7% 0.3% 0.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.7
8-12 10.6% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 10.6
7-13 13.3% 13.3
6-14 14.0% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 14.0
5-15 13.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.9
4-16 11.5% 11.5
3-17 8.5% 8.5
2-18 4.5% 4.5
1-19 1.8% 1.8
0-20 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.0% 0.2% 0.9% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.0 0.9%