Miami (FL)
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.3#106
Expected Predictive Rating+3.8#126
Pace69.3#178
Improvement-0.5#230

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#71
First Shot+4.4#50
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#201
Layup/Dunks+3.6#64
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#43
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#324
Freethrows+3.2#29
Improvement+0.2#148

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#164
First Shot+0.1#178
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#164
Layups/Dunks-3.9#292
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#14
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#179
Freethrows+0.2#179
Improvement-0.7#266
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.7% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 12.6% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.9% 11.6% 3.6%
Average Seed 9.9 9.6 10.1
.500 or above 34.0% 55.4% 29.7%
.500 or above in Conference 21.1% 29.6% 19.4%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 12.7% 6.8% 13.9%
First Four1.5% 3.2% 1.2%
First Round4.6% 11.1% 3.3%
Second Round1.9% 4.8% 1.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 1.1% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama (Neutral) - 16.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 8
Quad 24 - 65 - 14
Quad 35 - 310 - 17
Quad 45 - 115 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 260   Canisius W 77-67 88%     1 - 0 +1.6 -4.1 +5.2
  Nov 13, 2021 66   Central Florida L 89-95 49%     1 - 1 -1.5 +13.0 -14.1
  Nov 16, 2021 200   @ Florida Atlantic W 68-66 62%     2 - 1 +3.2 -4.8 +8.0
  Nov 21, 2021 306   Florida A&M W 86-59 92%     3 - 1 +16.0 +11.5 +4.8
  Nov 25, 2021 120   Dayton L 60-76 55%     3 - 2 -12.9 -9.9 -3.5
  Nov 26, 2021 115   North Texas W 69-63 53%     4 - 2 +9.5 +8.6 +1.6
  Nov 28, 2021 18   Alabama L 74-84 17%    
  Dec 01, 2021 68   @ Penn St. L 63-69 29%    
  Dec 04, 2021 45   Clemson L 66-69 41%    
  Dec 08, 2021 221   Lipscomb W 80-70 82%    
  Dec 12, 2021 246   Fordham W 73-64 79%    
  Dec 20, 2021 267   Stetson W 78-65 89%    
  Dec 29, 2021 65   North Carolina St. L 73-74 49%    
  Jan 01, 2022 85   Wake Forest W 75-74 53%    
  Jan 05, 2022 78   Syracuse W 77-76 53%    
  Jan 08, 2022 4   @ Duke L 67-84 6%    
  Jan 11, 2022 24   @ Florida St. L 67-79 14%    
  Jan 18, 2022 44   North Carolina L 79-82 41%    
  Jan 22, 2022 24   Florida St. L 70-76 29%    
  Jan 26, 2022 28   @ Virginia Tech L 63-75 15%    
  Jan 29, 2022 84   @ Georgia Tech L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 02, 2022 64   Notre Dame L 72-73 49%    
  Feb 05, 2022 39   @ Virginia L 56-65 20%    
  Feb 09, 2022 84   Georgia Tech W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 12, 2022 85   @ Wake Forest L 72-77 33%    
  Feb 16, 2022 36   @ Louisville L 66-76 18%    
  Feb 19, 2022 39   Virginia L 59-62 38%    
  Feb 22, 2022 213   @ Pittsburgh W 72-68 62%    
  Feb 26, 2022 28   Virginia Tech L 66-72 31%    
  Mar 02, 2022 133   @ Boston College L 69-70 47%    
  Mar 05, 2022 78   @ Syracuse L 74-79 32%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 7 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.5 4th
5th 0.3 1.1 1.5 0.4 0.1 3.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 2.2 0.6 0.0 4.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 2.9 1.4 0.1 5.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.0 2.6 0.4 6.6 8th
9th 0.4 2.7 4.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 8.1 9th
10th 0.2 2.3 4.9 1.9 0.2 9.4 10th
11th 0.2 2.0 5.1 3.1 0.3 10.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.2 4.3 0.9 0.0 12.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 2.8 5.4 4.0 1.2 0.1 13.9 13th
14th 0.1 1.0 3.0 4.7 3.7 0.9 0.1 13.4 14th
15th 0.3 0.9 1.9 2.2 1.5 0.4 0.1 7.1 15th
Total 0.3 1.0 2.9 5.7 9.2 11.7 12.3 13.4 12.4 10.1 8.2 5.3 3.5 2.3 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 66.7% 0.0    0.0
16-4 55.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-5 18.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
14-6 3.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.6% 94.9% 5.1% 89.8% 8.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 94.6%
14-6 1.2% 75.9% 6.9% 69.0% 8.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 74.1%
13-7 2.3% 56.4% 4.8% 51.5% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.1 1.0 54.2%
12-8 3.5% 33.8% 2.8% 31.0% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 2.3 31.9%
11-9 5.3% 16.4% 0.6% 15.9% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.2 4.4 16.0%
10-10 8.2% 4.3% 0.4% 3.9% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.8 3.9%
9-11 10.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.0 0.5%
8-12 12.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 12.4 0.1%
7-13 13.4% 0.2% 0.2% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.3
6-14 12.3% 12.3
5-15 11.7% 11.7
4-16 9.2% 9.2
3-17 5.7% 5.7
2-18 2.9% 2.9
1-19 1.0% 1.0
0-20 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 5.4% 0.5% 4.9% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.7 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 94.6 4.9%