Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.2#85
Expected Predictive Rating+10.4#61
Pace73.2#85
Improvement+1.1#79

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#90
First Shot+4.3#54
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#249
Layup/Dunks+5.0#41
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#316
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#146
Freethrows+1.6#84
Improvement+0.3#140

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#87
First Shot+3.2#78
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#199
Layups/Dunks-0.2#203
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#251
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#82
Freethrows+2.0#74
Improvement+0.8#94
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.3% 2.1% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.7% 18.5% 7.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 11.7% 17.3% 6.7%
Average Seed 9.5 9.3 9.8
.500 or above 73.3% 83.3% 64.2%
.500 or above in Conference 31.2% 36.7% 26.2%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.0% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 5.6% 4.4% 6.7%
First Four3.5% 4.7% 2.3%
First Round11.0% 16.2% 6.2%
Second Round4.5% 7.1% 2.1%
Sweet Sixteen1.3% 2.1% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Final Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northwestern (Home) - 47.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 9
Quad 23 - 45 - 13
Quad 34 - 110 - 14
Quad 48 - 018 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 338   William & Mary W 77-59 96%     1 - 0 +3.4 -4.7 +7.4
  Nov 12, 2021 303   Western Carolina W 87-75 94%     2 - 0 +1.1 -0.1 +0.2
  Nov 17, 2021 340   Charleston Southern W 95-59 97%     3 - 0 +20.6 +2.3 +14.0
  Nov 20, 2021 278   N.C. A&T W 87-63 92%     4 - 0 +14.6 +10.8 +3.5
  Nov 23, 2021 310   Kennesaw St. W 92-61 94%     5 - 0 +19.8 +10.7 +7.5
  Nov 26, 2021 128   Oregon St. W 80-77 OT 64%     6 - 0 +5.6 -0.4 +5.6
  Nov 27, 2021 10   LSU L 61-75 17%     6 - 1 +2.2 -7.2 +10.2
  Nov 30, 2021 42   Northwestern L 73-74 48%    
  Dec 04, 2021 28   @ Virginia Tech L 65-75 19%    
  Dec 11, 2021 337   South Carolina Upstate W 85-64 97%    
  Dec 14, 2021 255   VMI W 79-65 91%    
  Dec 17, 2021 198   Charlotte W 73-65 77%    
  Dec 22, 2021 133   Boston College W 73-66 74%    
  Dec 29, 2021 36   @ Louisville L 67-75 22%    
  Jan 01, 2022 106   @ Miami (FL) L 74-75 47%    
  Jan 04, 2022 24   Florida St. L 71-75 34%    
  Jan 08, 2022 78   Syracuse W 79-76 60%    
  Jan 12, 2022 4   Duke L 71-80 20%    
  Jan 15, 2022 39   @ Virginia L 57-64 25%    
  Jan 19, 2022 84   @ Georgia Tech L 70-73 39%    
  Jan 22, 2022 44   North Carolina L 80-81 47%    
  Jan 29, 2022 78   @ Syracuse L 76-79 37%    
  Feb 02, 2022 213   Pittsburgh W 75-64 85%    
  Feb 05, 2022 24   @ Florida St. L 68-78 18%    
  Feb 09, 2022 65   @ North Carolina St. L 72-76 35%    
  Feb 12, 2022 106   Miami (FL) W 77-72 67%    
  Feb 15, 2022 4   @ Duke L 68-83 8%    
  Feb 19, 2022 64   Notre Dame W 74-72 56%    
  Feb 23, 2022 45   @ Clemson L 64-71 28%    
  Feb 26, 2022 36   Louisville L 70-72 42%    
  Mar 02, 2022 65   North Carolina St. W 75-73 56%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 8 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.1 2.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.4 0.3 0.1 3.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.3 0.6 0.1 5.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 2.9 1.2 0.1 0.0 5.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 3.5 2.3 0.3 0.0 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 4.0 3.7 0.6 0.0 9.1 8th
9th 0.3 3.2 5.0 1.5 0.1 10.1 9th
10th 0.2 2.6 5.4 2.6 0.2 11.0 10th
11th 0.2 1.9 5.0 4.0 0.4 0.0 11.5 11th
12th 0.2 1.8 4.5 3.9 0.8 11.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.0 3.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 10.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.7 2.3 0.8 0.1 7.7 14th
15th 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.6 15th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.7 4.7 8.4 11.3 12.9 14.4 13.2 10.8 8.0 5.8 3.4 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 75.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 57.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
16-4 57.1% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
15-5 16.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 5.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 100.0% 23.8% 76.2% 4.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.4% 100.0% 17.1% 82.9% 5.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.9% 96.6% 9.0% 87.6% 7.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 96.3%
14-6 1.8% 88.2% 10.7% 77.5% 8.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 86.8%
13-7 3.4% 74.7% 6.0% 68.8% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.9 73.1%
12-8 5.8% 51.0% 1.5% 49.5% 10.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.2 0.4 0.0 2.9 50.3%
11-9 8.0% 31.3% 1.3% 30.1% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 5.5 30.5%
10-10 10.8% 10.7% 0.9% 9.8% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.0 9.6 9.9%
9-11 13.2% 2.4% 0.5% 1.8% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 12.8 1.8%
8-12 14.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.3 0.3%
7-13 12.9% 0.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.8
6-14 11.3% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 11.3
5-15 8.4% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 8.4
4-16 4.7% 4.7
3-17 2.7% 2.7
2-18 1.0% 1.0
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 12.7% 1.1% 11.6% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.7 2.1 3.5 1.6 0.1 0.0 87.4 11.7%