Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.9#72
Expected Predictive Rating+4.8#113
Pace66.7#246
Improvement+1.0#86

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#84
First Shot+1.3#135
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#69
Layup/Dunks-0.9#206
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#215
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#195
Freethrows+3.8#14
Improvement+2.3#17

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#77
First Shot+4.6#50
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#254
Layups/Dunks+6.3#17
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#182
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#152
Freethrows-2.5#307
Improvement-1.2#296
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.8% 1.1% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.0% 20.6% 12.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 6.3% 8.8% 3.3%
Average Seed 10.8 10.6 11.3
.500 or above 96.2% 98.3% 93.6%
.500 or above in Conference 88.8% 91.4% 85.4%
Conference Champion 17.0% 19.8% 13.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Four2.5% 3.4% 1.5%
First Round15.8% 19.0% 11.8%
Second Round5.6% 7.3% 3.5%
Sweet Sixteen1.5% 2.1% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Harvard (Away) - 55.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 23 - 34 - 6
Quad 39 - 413 - 10
Quad 410 - 122 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 130   Boston University W 71-62 76%     1 - 0 +8.5 -4.6 +12.8
  Nov 12, 2021 229   Bryant W 83-64 89%     2 - 0 +12.7 +0.5 +11.0
  Nov 17, 2021 133   Boston College W 57-49 76%     3 - 0 +7.4 -7.9 +16.5
  Nov 20, 2021 135   Tulsa L 71-77 67%     3 - 1 -3.6 +5.1 -9.2
  Nov 21, 2021 133   Boston College W 71-65 67%     4 - 1 +8.4 +9.4 -0.2
  Nov 23, 2021 189   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 66-67 69%     4 - 2 +0.8 -0.7 +1.4
  Nov 27, 2021 145   Georgia St. W 94-59 78%     5 - 2 +33.9 +16.3 +16.8
  Dec 01, 2021 136   @ Harvard W 70-68 56%    
  Dec 04, 2021 55   @ Providence L 67-71 33%    
  Dec 07, 2021 311   Sacred Heart W 79-61 96%    
  Dec 13, 2021 244   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 73-65 78%    
  Dec 19, 2021 206   College of Charleston W 83-74 79%    
  Dec 22, 2021 226   Brown W 72-59 88%    
  Dec 30, 2021 120   Dayton W 70-63 73%    
  Jan 02, 2022 234   La Salle W 75-61 89%    
  Jan 05, 2022 117   @ George Mason W 70-69 52%    
  Jan 08, 2022 83   @ Davidson L 67-69 41%    
  Jan 12, 2022 218   Saint Joseph's W 81-68 87%    
  Jan 15, 2022 119   @ Massachusetts W 78-77 53%    
  Jan 22, 2022 264   George Washington W 76-60 92%    
  Jan 25, 2022 76   Richmond W 74-71 60%    
  Jan 28, 2022 120   @ Dayton W 67-66 53%    
  Feb 02, 2022 246   @ Fordham W 69-61 77%    
  Feb 05, 2022 119   Massachusetts W 81-74 72%    
  Feb 08, 2022 79   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 60-63 40%    
  Feb 12, 2022 83   Davidson W 70-66 63%    
  Feb 19, 2022 264   @ George Washington W 73-63 80%    
  Feb 22, 2022 38   @ St. Bonaventure L 63-70 27%    
  Feb 26, 2022 193   Duquesne W 74-63 84%    
  Mar 02, 2022 60   Saint Louis W 72-70 57%    
  Mar 05, 2022 218   @ Saint Joseph's W 78-71 72%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 12 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.5 3.9 5.6 3.8 1.8 0.4 17.0 1st
2nd 0.2 1.9 5.8 5.8 2.5 0.5 0.0 16.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 6.3 5.6 1.5 0.1 0.0 15.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.9 5.4 1.4 0.0 12.6 4th
5th 0.3 3.3 5.1 1.4 0.1 10.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 4.2 1.8 0.1 8.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 3.4 2.3 0.3 6.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.2 0.4 0.0 5.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.6 0.5 0.0 3.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.6 0.0 2.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.6 3.1 5.5 8.3 11.1 14.1 15.2 14.3 11.2 8.2 4.2 1.8 0.4 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 99.4% 1.8    1.7 0.1
16-2 89.1% 3.8    3.1 0.7 0.0
15-3 68.6% 5.6    3.3 2.1 0.3 0.0
14-4 35.1% 3.9    1.4 1.6 0.8 0.1
13-5 10.5% 1.5    0.2 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 17.0% 17.0 10.0 5.0 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 88.6% 42.9% 45.7% 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 80.0%
17-1 1.8% 78.8% 29.6% 49.2% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 69.8%
16-2 4.2% 61.5% 27.4% 34.0% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.2 1.6 46.9%
15-3 8.2% 42.9% 24.5% 18.5% 10.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.5 0.7 0.1 4.7 24.5%
14-4 11.2% 27.8% 19.2% 8.5% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 8.1 10.6%
13-5 14.3% 17.7% 14.5% 3.2% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.3 0.1 11.7 3.8%
12-6 15.2% 11.4% 10.7% 0.7% 12.1 0.3 1.0 0.4 0.0 13.5 0.7%
11-7 14.1% 6.2% 5.8% 0.4% 12.4 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 13.2 0.5%
10-8 11.1% 4.8% 4.8% 12.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 10.5
9-9 8.3% 2.5% 2.5% 13.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 8.1
8-10 5.5% 2.4% 2.4% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.4
7-11 3.1% 1.3% 1.3% 14.5 0.0 0.0 3.1
6-12 1.6% 1.2% 1.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 1.6
5-13 0.6% 0.6
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 17.0% 11.5% 5.6% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.3 2.0 4.6 5.0 1.6 0.5 0.0 83.0 6.3%