Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#193
Expected Predictive Rating-4.5#238
Pace69.7#169
Improvement-1.1#273

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#216
First Shot-3.5#282
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#70
Layup/Dunks-1.6#226
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#159
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#227
Freethrows-0.4#207
Improvement+0.1#162

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#172
First Shot+2.0#105
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#288
Layups/Dunks-3.6#285
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#150
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#41
Freethrows+0.5#157
Improvement-1.2#295
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.6% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 13.5 13.8
.500 or above 15.0% 16.5% 6.5%
.500 or above in Conference 24.9% 26.0% 18.8%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 11.6% 10.8% 16.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: American (Home) - 84.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 62 - 10
Quad 33 - 75 - 17
Quad 48 - 313 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 273   Rider W 73-61 77%     1 - 0 +2.8 +3.3 +0.6
  Nov 13, 2021 137   Hofstra L 63-73 47%     1 - 1 -10.7 -9.5 -1.8
  Nov 15, 2021 102   Weber St. L 59-63 38%     1 - 2 -2.3 -14.9 +12.7
  Nov 19, 2021 149   Northeastern L 55-71 39%     1 - 3 -14.6 -10.6 -4.7
  Nov 20, 2021 75   Colorado L 76-84 OT 22%     1 - 4 -1.2 +1.7 -2.4
  Nov 22, 2021 211   Bradley W 78-70 53%     2 - 4 +5.8 +4.4 +1.3
  Nov 28, 2021 320   American W 75-64 85%    
  Dec 01, 2021 220   Bowling Green W 76-72 66%    
  Dec 04, 2021 116   @ Marshall L 75-83 24%    
  Dec 07, 2021 100   @ DePaul L 69-78 20%    
  Dec 11, 2021 194   New Hampshire W 67-64 61%    
  Dec 19, 2021 70   UC Irvine L 61-70 22%    
  Dec 22, 2021 122   Wofford L 68-69 46%    
  Dec 30, 2021 83   @ Davidson L 63-74 17%    
  Jan 02, 2022 117   George Mason L 69-71 43%    
  Jan 05, 2022 264   George Washington W 72-65 74%    
  Jan 08, 2022 119   @ Massachusetts L 75-83 24%    
  Jan 12, 2022 246   @ Fordham W 67-66 51%    
  Jan 15, 2022 120   Dayton L 67-68 45%    
  Jan 21, 2022 38   St. Bonaventure L 62-71 21%    
  Jan 26, 2022 218   @ Saint Joseph's L 74-76 44%    
  Jan 29, 2022 60   Saint Louis L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 01, 2022 76   Richmond L 71-76 33%    
  Feb 05, 2022 79   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 57-68 16%    
  Feb 09, 2022 120   @ Dayton L 64-71 25%    
  Feb 12, 2022 246   Fordham W 69-63 71%    
  Feb 19, 2022 38   @ St. Bonaventure L 59-74 9%    
  Feb 23, 2022 83   Davidson L 66-71 34%    
  Feb 26, 2022 72   @ Rhode Island L 63-74 16%    
  Mar 02, 2022 264   @ George Washington W 69-68 55%    
  Mar 05, 2022 234   La Salle W 72-67 68%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 1.8 3rd
4th 0.4 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.8 1.8 0.2 0.0 4.1 5th
6th 0.2 1.9 2.9 0.5 0.0 5.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 4.0 1.5 0.1 7.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 4.6 2.8 0.3 9.4 8th
9th 0.0 1.3 5.5 4.9 0.8 12.4 9th
10th 0.0 1.4 5.2 5.2 1.4 0.1 13.4 10th
11th 0.1 1.2 5.1 5.8 1.9 0.1 14.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 3.9 5.0 2.0 0.2 11.8 12th
13th 0.1 0.7 3.2 4.0 1.3 0.1 9.5 13th
14th 0.2 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.9 0.2 6.3 14th
Total 0.2 1.1 2.8 6.1 10.1 13.0 14.5 14.5 13.0 9.9 7.1 4.3 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 73.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 41.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 11.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.2% 0.2
14-4 0.4% 19.5% 17.1% 2.4% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.9%
13-5 1.1% 9.4% 9.4% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
12-6 2.0% 5.1% 5.1% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.9
11-7 4.3% 1.4% 1.4% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.2
10-8 7.1% 1.1% 1.1% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0
9-9 9.9% 0.6% 0.6% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.8
8-10 13.0% 0.4% 0.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 12.9
7-11 14.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.4
6-12 14.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.5
5-13 13.0% 13.0
4-14 10.1% 10.1
3-15 6.1% 6.1
2-16 2.8% 2.8
1-17 1.1% 1.1
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.5 0.0%