Preseason Rankings
Brown
Ivy League
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#240
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.0#150
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#251
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#201
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.2% 16.0% 6.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 13.4 14.6
.500 or above 41.1% 72.5% 35.7%
.500 or above in Conference 47.9% 69.8% 44.2%
Conference Champion 9.3% 19.3% 7.6%
Last Place in Conference 15.1% 5.9% 16.7%
First Four1.6% 1.5% 1.6%
First Round7.4% 15.3% 6.1%
Second Round0.6% 1.7% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vermont (Away) - 14.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 53 - 10
Quad 410 - 512 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 104   @ Vermont L 63-74 15%    
  Nov 10, 2022 113   Colgate L 70-74 36%    
  Nov 13, 2022 297   @ Loyola Maryland W 67-65 56%    
  Nov 17, 2022 258   Stony Brook W 76-71 66%    
  Nov 23, 2022 238   Umass Lowell W 72-69 60%    
  Nov 27, 2022 337   Maine W 71-60 83%    
  Nov 29, 2022 349   @ Central Connecticut St. W 73-65 74%    
  Dec 02, 2022 163   @ Bryant L 76-82 29%    
  Dec 04, 2022 327   @ Hartford W 72-68 64%    
  Dec 07, 2022 112   @ Rhode Island L 64-74 20%    
  Dec 10, 2022 25   @ Michigan St. L 62-82 6%    
  Dec 21, 2022 329   New Hampshire W 70-59 80%    
  Dec 29, 2022 85   @ Northwestern L 64-77 15%    
  Jan 02, 2023 150   Penn L 73-74 46%    
  Jan 06, 2023 167   Harvard L 69-70 49%    
  Jan 07, 2023 257   Dartmouth W 69-64 64%    
  Jan 14, 2023 165   Princeton L 72-73 49%    
  Jan 16, 2023 146   @ Yale L 67-75 27%    
  Jan 21, 2023 315   Columbia W 79-70 77%    
  Jan 28, 2023 217   @ Cornell L 75-79 37%    
  Feb 03, 2023 257   @ Dartmouth L 66-67 46%    
  Feb 04, 2023 167   @ Harvard L 66-72 31%    
  Feb 11, 2023 217   Cornell W 78-76 55%    
  Feb 17, 2023 165   @ Princeton L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 18, 2023 150   @ Penn L 70-77 28%    
  Feb 25, 2023 315   @ Columbia W 76-73 59%    
  Mar 04, 2023 146   Yale L 70-72 45%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 1.9 2.9 2.5 1.1 0.4 9.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 3.9 3.9 1.4 0.2 10.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 5.3 4.4 0.9 0.0 12.5 3rd
4th 0.2 2.6 6.7 3.9 0.5 0.0 13.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.2 6.9 3.8 0.4 0.0 14.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.3 6.7 3.2 0.3 0.0 15.4 6th
7th 0.2 1.8 4.7 5.2 2.1 0.2 14.2 7th
8th 0.8 2.4 3.3 2.2 0.7 0.1 9.4 8th
Total 0.8 2.6 5.1 7.8 10.7 12.2 13.0 12.7 10.8 9.4 6.6 4.3 2.7 1.1 0.4 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
13-1 100.0% 1.1    1.1 0.1
12-2 92.2% 2.5    2.0 0.5 0.0
11-3 66.7% 2.9    1.6 1.2 0.2 0.0
10-4 28.4% 1.9    0.5 0.9 0.4 0.0
9-5 6.4% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 9.3% 9.3 5.5 2.8 0.9 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.4% 65.0% 56.4% 8.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 19.7%
13-1 1.1% 48.2% 45.3% 3.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 5.4%
12-2 2.7% 34.3% 33.8% 0.5% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.8 0.7%
11-3 4.3% 26.8% 26.6% 0.2% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 3.2 0.3%
10-4 6.6% 18.8% 18.8% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 5.4
9-5 9.4% 14.6% 14.6% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 8.0
8-6 10.8% 8.2% 8.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 9.9
7-7 12.7% 5.8% 5.8% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 11.9
6-8 13.0% 3.8% 3.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 12.5
5-9 12.2% 2.7% 2.7% 15.9 0.0 0.3 11.9
4-10 10.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 10.5
3-11 7.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 7.7
2-12 5.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.0
1-13 2.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.6
0-14 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 8.2% 8.1% 0.1% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.4 1.7 1.7 2.2 91.8 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 5.1 17.9 21.4 39.3 21.4
Lose Out 0.0%