Preseason Rankings
Central Connecticut St.
Northeast
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-14.1#349
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.7#308
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#335
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-7.7#353
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 7.7% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 7.6% 35.9% 6.9%
.500 or above in Conference 26.5% 57.9% 25.7%
Conference Champion 2.4% 9.4% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 22.3% 6.3% 22.8%
First Four1.5% 4.2% 1.4%
First Round1.1% 4.7% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Massachusetts (Away) - 2.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 50 - 8
Quad 48 - 149 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 124   @ Massachusetts L 65-85 3%    
  Nov 11, 2022 227   @ Manhattan L 64-78 10%    
  Nov 13, 2022 221   Quinnipiac L 67-76 22%    
  Nov 15, 2022 49   @ St. John's L 63-90 1%    
  Nov 19, 2022 271   Lafayette L 64-72 24%    
  Nov 20, 2022 236   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 64-78 12%    
  Nov 23, 2022 337   Maine W 65-64 52%    
  Nov 26, 2022 43   @ Rutgers L 52-80 1%    
  Nov 29, 2022 240   Brown L 65-73 26%    
  Dec 03, 2022 317   @ Holy Cross L 66-74 26%    
  Dec 09, 2022 257   Dartmouth L 62-68 31%    
  Dec 11, 2022 202   @ Fordham L 58-74 10%    
  Dec 20, 2022 266   Army L 68-74 32%    
  Dec 22, 2022 149   @ Saint Joseph's L 60-78 7%    
  Dec 29, 2022 291   @ St. Francis (PA) L 65-74 23%    
  Dec 31, 2022 314   St. Francis Brooklyn L 69-71 44%    
  Jan 05, 2023 304   LIU Brooklyn L 73-76 42%    
  Jan 07, 2023 359   @ Stonehill W 69-66 58%    
  Jan 14, 2023 319   Fairleigh Dickinson L 74-75 46%    
  Jan 20, 2023 252   @ Wagner L 61-74 15%    
  Jan 22, 2023 304   @ LIU Brooklyn L 70-79 24%    
  Jan 26, 2023 280   Merrimack L 60-64 37%    
  Jan 28, 2023 291   St. Francis (PA) L 68-71 40%    
  Feb 02, 2023 314   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 66-74 27%    
  Feb 04, 2023 283   @ Sacred Heart L 67-77 21%    
  Feb 08, 2023 327   @ Hartford L 65-72 30%    
  Feb 11, 2023 319   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 71-78 29%    
  Feb 16, 2023 252   Wagner L 64-71 29%    
  Feb 18, 2023 359   Stonehill W 72-63 75%    
  Feb 23, 2023 280   @ Merrimack L 57-67 21%    
  Feb 25, 2023 283   Sacred Heart L 70-74 38%    
Projected Record 9 - 22 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 4.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.8 3.5 1.1 0.1 8.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 4.0 4.1 1.1 0.1 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.3 4.8 1.2 0.0 13.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.0 6.9 4.7 1.3 0.0 17.8 7th
8th 0.5 3.4 6.9 7.2 3.9 0.7 0.0 22.7 8th
9th 1.7 4.2 4.8 3.0 1.1 0.1 0.0 14.9 9th
Total 1.7 4.7 8.2 10.7 12.6 13.0 11.8 10.8 8.5 6.9 4.7 3.1 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 95.1% 0.4    0.4 0.0 0.0
13-3 70.0% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
12-4 36.7% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-5 12.9% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 72.7% 72.7% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 41.3% 41.3% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.4% 31.9% 31.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3
13-3 0.9% 20.3% 20.3% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7
12-4 1.8% 14.0% 14.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.6
11-5 3.1% 10.4% 10.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.8
10-6 4.7% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3 4.4
9-7 6.9% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3 6.6
8-8 8.5% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 8.3
7-9 10.8% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 10.7
6-10 11.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.8
5-11 13.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.0
4-12 12.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.5
3-13 10.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.7
2-14 8.2% 8.2
1-15 4.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.7
0-16 1.7% 1.7
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.7 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%