Preseason Rankings
Cornell
Ivy League
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#217
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace78.2#13
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#166
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#263
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.0% 21.3% 9.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 1.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.1 14.4
.500 or above 46.2% 77.4% 41.4%
.500 or above in Conference 56.7% 77.5% 53.5%
Conference Champion 12.8% 26.1% 10.8%
Last Place in Conference 11.5% 3.9% 12.6%
First Four1.9% 1.6% 1.9%
First Round10.1% 20.5% 8.5%
Second Round0.9% 3.2% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston College (Away) - 13.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 21 - 5
Quad 32 - 53 - 9
Quad 49 - 412 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 86   @ Boston College L 69-81 13%    
  Nov 14, 2022 291   @ St. Francis (PA) W 80-77 60%    
  Nov 22, 2022 290   Canisius W 83-74 78%    
  Nov 25, 2022 260   @ Monmouth W 76-75 51%    
  Dec 01, 2022 153   @ Delaware L 75-81 31%    
  Dec 04, 2022 271   Lafayette W 79-72 72%    
  Dec 07, 2022 32   @ Miami (FL) L 71-88 8%    
  Dec 17, 2022 52   @ Syracuse L 73-88 11%    
  Dec 20, 2022 282   Lehigh W 83-75 74%    
  Dec 22, 2022 113   @ Colgate L 74-83 24%    
  Dec 29, 2022 323   Binghamton W 84-73 82%    
  Jan 01, 2023 257   @ Dartmouth L 72-73 50%    
  Jan 06, 2023 150   Penn L 80-81 50%    
  Jan 07, 2023 165   Princeton W 80-79 53%    
  Jan 13, 2023 146   Yale L 78-79 49%    
  Jan 16, 2023 315   @ Columbia W 83-79 63%    
  Jan 21, 2023 167   @ Harvard L 74-79 35%    
  Jan 28, 2023 240   Brown W 79-75 63%    
  Feb 03, 2023 165   @ Princeton L 77-82 34%    
  Feb 04, 2023 150   @ Penn L 78-84 32%    
  Feb 11, 2023 240   @ Brown L 76-78 45%    
  Feb 17, 2023 257   Dartmouth W 76-70 68%    
  Feb 18, 2023 167   Harvard W 77-76 53%    
  Feb 25, 2023 146   @ Yale L 75-81 31%    
  Mar 04, 2023 315   Columbia W 86-76 79%    
Projected Record 12 - 13 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.4 3.9 3.4 1.9 0.6 12.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 4.4 5.0 2.2 0.4 13.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.0 6.0 4.8 1.3 0.1 14.2 3rd
4th 0.2 2.4 6.8 4.5 0.7 0.0 14.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.1 6.5 3.7 0.5 0.0 14.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.3 5.6 3.0 0.3 0.0 13.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 3.6 4.3 1.8 0.1 11.3 7th
8th 0.4 1.6 2.4 1.8 0.6 0.0 6.8 8th
Total 0.4 1.7 3.6 6.1 8.5 10.8 12.2 12.8 12.3 10.5 8.7 6.1 3.7 1.9 0.6 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
13-1 100.0% 1.9    1.9 0.1
12-2 90.3% 3.4    2.7 0.7 0.0
11-3 63.2% 3.9    2.2 1.5 0.2 0.0
10-4 27.8% 2.4    0.7 1.1 0.5 0.1
9-5 5.9% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 12.8% 12.8 8.0 3.6 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.6% 70.0% 61.1% 8.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 23.0%
13-1 1.9% 50.9% 48.5% 2.4% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 4.6%
12-2 3.7% 37.8% 37.0% 0.8% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.3 1.2%
11-3 6.1% 28.4% 28.3% 0.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.0 4.4 0.2%
10-4 8.7% 20.6% 20.5% 0.1% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.1 6.9 0.1%
9-5 10.5% 14.4% 14.4% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.3 9.0
8-6 12.3% 10.1% 10.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 11.0
7-7 12.8% 6.5% 6.5% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 11.9
6-8 12.2% 4.7% 4.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 11.6
5-9 10.8% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 10.5
4-10 8.5% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 8.4
3-11 6.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 6.0
2-12 3.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.6
1-13 1.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.7
0-14 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 11.0% 10.9% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.0 2.3 2.2 2.6 89.0 0.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 4.5 42.3 19.2 19.2 19.2
Lose Out 0.1%