IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Queens
Atlantic Sun
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.9	#321
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.3	#172
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.2	#272

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.6	#342

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.0%	2.0%	0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	15.1	15.7

.500 or above	9.9%	22.8%	5.6%
.500 or above in Conference	17.8%	31.1%	13.4%
Conference Champion	0.5%	1.3%	0.3%
Last Place in Conference	24.1%	12.5%	27.9%

First Four	0.5%	0.8%	0.5%
First Round	0.7%	1.5%	0.5%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Marshall (Home) - 24.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 8	1 - 12
Quad 4	6 - 8	8 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	159	Marshall	L	76-83	25%
Nov 15, 2022	182	@ La Salle	L	66-78	13%
Nov 18, 2022	347	Green Bay	W	71-68	62%
Nov 26, 2022	123	@ George Mason	L	62-78	8%
Nov 29, 2022	234	@ Bowling Green	L	76-86	21%
Dec 09, 2022	255	@ High Point	L	67-75	25%
Dec 14, 2022	189	@ East Tennessee St.	L	66-78	16%
Dec 20, 2022	98	@ Nebraska	L	69-88	7%
Dec 22, 2022	319	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	77-80	41%
Dec 29, 2022	254	Austin Peay	L	68-70	43%
Dec 31, 2022	219	@ Eastern Kentucky	L	73-84	19%
Jan 05, 2023	250	@ Bellarmine	L	64-73	24%
Jan 07, 2023	242	Kennesaw St.	L	71-74	39%
Jan 12, 2023	334	Central Arkansas	W	81-77	64%
Jan 14, 2023	309	North Alabama	W	74-72	57%
Jan 19, 2023	243	@ North Florida	L	70-79	23%
Jan 21, 2023	160	@ Jacksonville	L	59-72	15%
Jan 26, 2023	203	Florida Gulf Coast	L	76-81	33%
Jan 28, 2023	292	Stetson	W	72-71	53%
Feb 02, 2023	225	@ Lipscomb	L	72-82	21%
Feb 04, 2023	254	@ Austin Peay	L	65-73	25%
Feb 09, 2023	219	Eastern Kentucky	L	76-81	36%
Feb 11, 2023	250	Bellarmine	L	67-70	41%
Feb 16, 2023	209	@ Jacksonville St.	L	66-77	19%
Feb 18, 2023	242	@ Kennesaw St.	L	68-77	23%
Feb 22, 2023	100	Liberty	L	64-76	17%
Feb 24, 2023	100	@ Liberty	L	61-79	8%
Projected Record						8 - 19	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.5	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0				1.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.0	0.4	0.8	0.5	0.1	0.0					1.8	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	1.1	0.7	0.1	0.0						2.3	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	1.4	1.1	0.2	0.0							3.2	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	1.6	1.7	0.3	0.0								4.0	6th
7th							0.0	0.2	1.6	2.4	0.8	0.0									5.1	7th
8th						0.0	0.1	1.6	3.2	1.4	0.1	0.0									6.4	8th
9th						0.1	1.4	3.8	2.2	0.3	0.0										7.8	9th
10th				0.0	0.1	1.4	4.2	3.4	0.5	0.0											9.7	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	1.4	4.6	4.3	1.2	0.0												11.6	11th
12th		0.0	0.3	2.1	5.2	4.9	1.5	0.1	0.0												14.1	12th
13th		0.9	3.4	5.9	4.6	1.6	0.2	0.0													16.4	13th
14th	2.0	4.5	5.1	3.0	1.0	0.1	0.0														15.8	14th

Total	2.0	5.4	8.7	11.2	12.3	12.7	11.7	10.3	8.0	6.2	4.4	3.0	1.9	1.2	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	81.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0
15-3	60.2%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-4	26.2%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	5.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.5%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																							0.0
17-1	0.0%		27.0%	19.0%	7.9%	12.4												0.0		0.0				0.0		9.8%
16-2	0.1%		19.5%	19.5%		12.8													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
15-3	0.3%		17.9%	17.9%		13.6													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
14-4	0.6%		13.2%	13.2%		13.9														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.5
13-5	1.2%		8.7%	8.7%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	1.1
12-6	1.9%		5.6%	5.6%		15.3															0.0	0.0	0.0	1.8
11-7	3.0%		3.4%	3.4%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	2.9
10-8	4.4%		2.9%	2.9%		15.8																0.0	0.1	4.3
9-9	6.2%		2.1%	2.1%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	6.1
8-10	8.0%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.1	7.9
7-11	10.3%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	10.2
6-12	11.7%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	11.7
5-13	12.7%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	12.6
4-14	12.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	12.3
3-15	11.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.1
2-16	8.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	8.7
1-17	5.4%																							5.4
0-18	2.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	2.0

Total	100%		1.0%	1.0%	0.0%	15.4												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.7	99.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	1.0%