IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Southeast Missouri St.
Ohio Valley
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.9	#281
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	77.9	#15
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.3	#227

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.6	#328

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.4%	21.9%	9.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.2	14.7	15.4

.500 or above	41.8%	74.2%	36.5%
.500 or above in Conference	71.2%	89.6%	68.2%
Conference Champion	13.2%	26.7%	11.0%
Last Place in Conference	3.4%	0.6%	3.8%

First Four	3.8%	4.2%	3.7%
First Round	9.2%	19.3%	7.6%
Second Round	0.3%	1.0%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: South Florida (Away) - 14.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 8
Quad 4	12 - 8	13 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	142	@ South Florida	L	66-77	14%
Nov 16, 2022	313	@ Evansville	L	72-73	48%
Nov 19, 2022	117	@ Bradley	L	70-84	12%
Nov 26, 2022	233	Boston University	L	74-78	37%
Nov 27, 2022	232	UC Davis	L	74-78	37%
Nov 28, 2022	306	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	76-77	46%
Dec 04, 2022	70	@ Missouri	L	68-86	7%
Dec 07, 2022	197	Purdue Fort Wayne	L	78-81	41%
Dec 14, 2022	230	@ Arkansas St.	L	75-82	29%
Dec 17, 2022	29	@ Iowa	L	73-96	3%
Dec 21, 2022	138	Southern Illinois	L	67-73	32%
Dec 29, 2022	339	@ Southern Indiana	W	78-76	57%
Dec 31, 2022	326	SIU Edwardsville	W	82-76	69%
Jan 05, 2023	352	@ Tennessee Martin	W	85-79	68%
Jan 07, 2023	261	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	75-80	36%
Jan 12, 2023	355	Lindenwood	W	85-72	85%
Jan 14, 2023	187	@ Morehead St.	L	68-77	23%
Jan 19, 2023	352	Tennessee Martin	W	88-76	83%
Jan 21, 2023	305	Tennessee Tech	W	84-79	64%
Jan 26, 2023	276	Tennessee St.	W	80-78	57%
Jan 28, 2023	330	@ Eastern Illinois	W	76-75	54%
Feb 02, 2023	261	Arkansas Little Rock	W	78-77	55%
Feb 04, 2023	305	@ Tennessee Tech	L	81-82	45%
Feb 09, 2023	276	@ Tennessee St.	L	77-81	39%
Feb 11, 2023	187	Morehead St.	L	71-74	40%
Feb 16, 2023	330	Eastern Illinois	W	79-72	71%
Feb 18, 2023	339	Southern Indiana	W	81-73	74%
Feb 23, 2023	355	@ Lindenwood	W	82-75	71%
Feb 25, 2023	326	@ SIU Edwardsville	W	79-78	51%
Projected Record						13 - 16	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	1.1	2.7	3.6	3.2	1.8	0.5		13.2	1st
2nd										0.0	0.1	0.7	3.0	5.0	4.3	2.0	0.4				15.6	2nd
3rd										0.1	1.5	4.3	5.5	3.2	0.7	0.0					15.2	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	2.0	4.8	4.9	1.9	0.2	0.0						14.1	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.3	4.7	3.8	1.1	0.1	0.0							12.3	5th
6th						0.0	0.4	2.3	4.2	2.6	0.7	0.0									10.2	6th
7th					0.0	0.5	2.1	3.1	1.8	0.3	0.0										7.9	7th
8th				0.1	0.6	1.8	2.2	1.0	0.2	0.0											5.9	8th
9th			0.1	0.7	1.2	1.2	0.4	0.1													3.7	9th
10th	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0													1.9	10th

Total	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.3	2.2	3.6	5.2	6.8	8.7	9.7	10.8	11.1	10.8	9.5	7.7	5.7	3.6	1.8	0.5			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.5		0.5
17-1	100.0%	1.8		1.7	0.1
16-2	88.3%	3.2		2.6	0.6	0.0
15-3	64.0%	3.6		2.2	1.3	0.1
14-4	34.8%	2.7		1.1	1.2	0.3	0.0
13-5	12.1%	1.1		0.3	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-6	1.8%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	13.2%	13.2		8.5	3.8	0.8	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.5%		67.9%	67.9%		13.4					0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.2
17-1	1.8%		59.7%	59.7%		14.0												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.7
16-2	3.6%		41.5%	41.5%		14.5													0.1	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.3	2.1
15-3	5.7%		32.5%	32.5%		15.0													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.6	3.8
14-4	7.7%		24.6%	24.6%		15.4													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.0	5.8
13-5	9.5%		17.3%	17.3%		15.6														0.0	0.1	0.4	1.2	7.9
12-6	10.8%		11.6%	11.6%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.2	1.0	9.5
11-7	11.1%		7.5%	7.5%		15.9																0.1	0.8	10.3
10-8	10.8%		4.4%	4.4%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.5	10.3
9-9	9.7%		2.9%	2.9%		16.0																0.0	0.3	9.4
8-10	8.7%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																	0.1	8.5
7-11	6.8%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	6.8
6-12	5.2%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	5.1
5-13	3.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	3.6
4-14	2.2%																							2.2
3-15	1.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	1.3
2-16	0.6%																							0.6
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		11.4%	11.4%	0.0%	15.2					0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.7	1.7	2.9	5.9	88.6		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%