Delaware
Colonial Athletic
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#195
Expected Predictive Rating-4.5#245
Pace67.3#223
Improvement+0.0#189

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#144
First Shot+0.7#143
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#175
Layup/Dunks-2.7#269
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#165
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#181
Freethrows+3.8#26
Improvement-0.1#294

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#244
First Shot-3.0#265
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#143
Layups/Dunks-5.1#321
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#140
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#141
Freethrows+0.0#176
Improvement+0.1#77
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.3% 5.7% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.4 15.0
.500 or above 46.2% 61.1% 35.2%
.500 or above in Conference 70.0% 77.2% 64.8%
Conference Champion 4.1% 5.7% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.3% 0.9%
First Four1.0% 0.8% 1.2%
First Round3.9% 5.3% 2.9%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Davidson (Home) - 42.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 34 - 75 - 11
Quad 410 - 414 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 225   @ Air Force L 71-75 46%     0 - 1 -4.4 +2.9 -7.4
  Nov 18, 2022 19   @ Duke L 58-92 4%     0 - 2 -15.7 -6.7 -8.3
  Nov 25, 2022 123   Colgate W 72-68 33%     1 - 2 +7.3 -2.1 +9.3
  Nov 26, 2022 361   Hartford W 78-50 92%     2 - 2 +10.8 -2.3 +13.1
  Nov 27, 2022 159   @ Penn L 73-86 32%     2 - 3 -9.6 +3.2 -13.5
  Dec 01, 2022 157   Cornell L 67-74 54%     2 - 4 -9.4 -5.2 -4.6
  Dec 03, 2022 119   Davidson L 70-72 43%    
  Dec 11, 2022 194   Siena W 71-68 61%    
  Dec 16, 2022 143   @ Princeton L 67-73 29%    
  Dec 19, 2022 228   @ Rider L 71-72 46%    
  Dec 21, 2022 152   Ohio W 72-71 53%    
  Dec 29, 2022 132   Hofstra L 75-76 47%    
  Dec 31, 2022 344   Elon W 78-63 91%    
  Jan 07, 2023 80   @ College of Charleston L 75-86 16%    
  Jan 11, 2023 115   Towson L 67-69 42%    
  Jan 14, 2023 132   @ Hofstra L 72-79 27%    
  Jan 16, 2023 257   @ Northeastern W 68-67 51%    
  Jan 19, 2023 288   William & Mary W 75-67 77%    
  Jan 21, 2023 169   @ Drexel L 65-69 36%    
  Jan 26, 2023 335   @ Hampton W 77-69 75%    
  Jan 28, 2023 257   Northeastern W 70-64 72%    
  Feb 02, 2023 328   @ Monmouth W 74-67 73%    
  Feb 04, 2023 80   College of Charleston L 78-83 33%    
  Feb 08, 2023 169   Drexel W 68-66 56%    
  Feb 13, 2023 342   Stony Brook W 77-63 90%    
  Feb 16, 2023 115   @ Towson L 64-72 24%    
  Feb 18, 2023 138   UNC Wilmington L 67-68 48%    
  Feb 23, 2023 274   @ N.C. A&T W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 25, 2023 344   @ Elon W 75-66 77%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 4.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.2 2.6 0.9 0.0 6.1 2nd
3rd 0.5 3.0 3.8 0.9 0.0 8.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.9 5.3 1.2 0.1 11.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.2 6.4 2.3 0.2 14.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 5.2 6.7 3.0 0.3 16.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 4.7 6.1 2.6 0.3 15.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 3.8 4.5 2.0 0.2 0.0 11.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.5 2.9 1.2 0.1 7.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.5 0.5 0.0 3.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.8 11th
12th 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.9 5.2 8.4 11.6 14.3 14.4 14.1 11.3 7.6 4.7 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 95.1% 0.9    0.7 0.2
15-3 62.0% 1.5    0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0
14-4 24.5% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 3.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 1.8 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 26.8% 26.8% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.9% 19.0% 19.0% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7
15-3 2.3% 14.1% 14.1% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.0
14-4 4.7% 10.7% 10.7% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 4.2
13-5 7.6% 9.3% 9.3% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 6.9
12-6 11.3% 6.5% 6.5% 14.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 10.6
11-7 14.1% 4.1% 4.1% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 13.5
10-8 14.4% 3.2% 3.2% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 13.9
9-9 14.3% 2.4% 2.4% 15.9 0.0 0.3 14.0
8-10 11.6% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2 11.4
7-11 8.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 8.2
6-12 5.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 5.2
5-13 2.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.9
4-14 1.3% 1.3
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.1 1.4 95.7 0.0%