Missouri
Southeastern
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.9#48
Expected Predictive Rating+12.2#43
Pace78.8#16
Improvement+0.2#47

Offense
Total Offense+9.4#14
First Shot+10.7#5
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#266
Layup/Dunks+5.8#21
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#91
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#55
Freethrows-0.9#228
Improvement+0.2#53

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#164
First Shot-0.6#202
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#110
Layups/Dunks+6.7#11
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#325
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#291
Freethrows-1.8#289
Improvement+0.0#139
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 4.5% 4.7% 0.6%
Top 6 Seed 14.3% 14.9% 4.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 54.7% 56.0% 33.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 52.9% 54.3% 31.7%
Average Seed 8.0 8.0 8.8
.500 or above 88.6% 89.8% 70.7%
.500 or above in Conference 50.4% 51.4% 35.5%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.0% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 1.4% 3.1%
First Four6.6% 6.7% 5.3%
First Round51.2% 52.6% 30.5%
Second Round25.4% 26.3% 11.9%
Sweet Sixteen7.6% 7.9% 2.2%
Elite Eight2.6% 2.7% 0.7%
Final Four0.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Southeast Missouri St. (Home) - 93.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 9
Quad 25 - 39 - 11
Quad 33 - 011 - 12
Quad 48 - 019 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 222   Southern Indiana W 97-91 93%     1 - 0 -0.2 +7.8 -8.9
  Nov 11, 2022 159   Penn W 92-85 87%     2 - 0 +4.6 +15.0 -10.4
  Nov 13, 2022 333   Lindenwood W 82-53 98%     3 - 0 +14.2 -2.1 +14.8
  Nov 15, 2022 227   SIU Edwardsville W 105-80 93%     4 - 0 +18.4 +19.4 -3.9
  Nov 20, 2022 363   Mississippi Valley W 83-62 99%     5 - 0 -0.8 -3.7 +1.9
  Nov 23, 2022 240   Coastal Carolina W 89-51 93%     6 - 0 +31.1 +4.3 +23.1
  Nov 26, 2022 340   Houston Christian W 105-69 98%     7 - 0 +20.8 +20.6 -2.0
  Nov 29, 2022 95   @ Wichita St. W 88-84 OT 57%     8 - 0 +12.2 +9.7 +2.0
  Dec 04, 2022 234   Southeast Missouri St. W 91-74 94%    
  Dec 10, 2022 20   Kansas L 79-81 43%    
  Dec 16, 2022 75   Central Florida W 74-71 59%    
  Dec 22, 2022 10   Illinois L 80-88 24%    
  Dec 28, 2022 17   Kentucky L 79-82 39%    
  Jan 04, 2023 15   @ Arkansas L 76-86 19%    
  Jan 07, 2023 88   Vanderbilt W 83-76 73%    
  Jan 11, 2023 56   @ Texas A&M L 81-83 41%    
  Jan 14, 2023 67   @ Florida L 84-85 45%    
  Jan 18, 2023 15   Arkansas L 79-83 37%    
  Jan 21, 2023 13   Alabama L 82-86 37%    
  Jan 24, 2023 64   @ Mississippi L 76-77 45%    
  Jan 28, 2023 33   Iowa St. W 76-74 56%    
  Feb 01, 2023 62   LSU W 82-77 66%    
  Feb 04, 2023 28   @ Mississippi St. L 68-74 29%    
  Feb 07, 2023 232   South Carolina W 85-68 93%    
  Feb 11, 2023 5   @ Tennessee L 69-81 15%    
  Feb 14, 2023 29   @ Auburn L 75-81 30%    
  Feb 18, 2023 56   Texas A&M W 84-80 62%    
  Feb 21, 2023 28   Mississippi St. L 70-71 50%    
  Feb 25, 2023 123   @ Georgia W 78-74 62%    
  Mar 01, 2023 62   @ LSU L 79-80 45%    
  Mar 04, 2023 64   Mississippi W 79-74 66%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 2.6 1.6 0.3 0.0 5.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.2 2.4 0.4 0.0 6.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.6 3.7 0.7 0.0 8.7 5th
6th 0.3 3.2 5.3 1.4 0.0 10.2 6th
7th 0.1 2.1 6.4 2.6 0.2 0.0 11.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 5.5 3.5 0.4 10.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.9 4.5 4.5 0.8 0.0 10.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.4 4.7 1.5 0.0 10.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.0 1.7 0.1 8.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.0 1.6 0.2 0.0 6.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.8 6.8 10.0 12.7 14.0 14.5 12.8 9.6 6.6 3.8 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 93.2% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
15-3 70.8% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 32.9% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 8.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 27.8% 72.2% 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.3% 100.0% 9.0% 91.0% 2.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.8% 100.0% 9.3% 90.7% 3.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.9% 99.8% 9.1% 90.7% 4.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8%
13-5 3.8% 99.8% 7.7% 92.1% 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
12-6 6.6% 99.2% 5.9% 93.3% 6.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.8 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.1%
11-7 9.6% 96.4% 4.9% 91.5% 7.3 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 2.4 2.1 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.3 96.2%
10-8 12.8% 89.7% 4.8% 85.0% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.1 3.1 2.9 1.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 1.3 89.2%
9-9 14.5% 74.5% 3.9% 70.6% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 3.1 3.0 1.6 0.2 0.0 3.7 73.5%
8-10 14.0% 46.0% 3.1% 42.9% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.1 2.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.6 44.3%
7-11 12.7% 19.4% 2.7% 16.7% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.2 17.2%
6-12 10.0% 6.0% 2.4% 3.6% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.4 3.6%
5-13 6.8% 1.7% 1.4% 0.4% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.7 0.4%
4-14 3.8% 1.1% 1.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7
3-15 1.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.6
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 54.7% 3.8% 50.9% 8.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.4 4.0 5.8 7.4 8.4 8.8 7.7 6.0 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 45.3 52.9%