Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#169
Expected Predictive Rating-2.5#220
Pace62.3#333
Improvement-0.2#304

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#181
First Shot-2.1#246
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#80
Layup/Dunks-1.1#214
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#163
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#171
Freethrows-1.4#258
Improvement+0.1#96

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#178
First Shot-2.0#237
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#62
Layups/Dunks-9.6#363
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#216
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.0#28
Freethrows+2.0#82
Improvement-0.3#346
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.2% 7.3% 5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.5 15.1
.500 or above 82.7% 90.3% 73.4%
.500 or above in Conference 89.1% 91.9% 85.7%
Conference Champion 9.6% 11.9% 6.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Four0.9% 0.7% 1.2%
First Round5.9% 7.0% 4.4%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Princeton (Home) - 54.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 33 - 54 - 9
Quad 413 - 317 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 145   Old Dominion W 71-59 55%     1 - 0 +10.5 +2.9 +8.4
  Nov 15, 2022 159   Penn L 59-64 59%     1 - 1 -7.6 -16.0 +8.3
  Nov 21, 2022 292   Texas Arlington W 59-38 74%     2 - 1 +14.1 -4.2 +21.6
  Nov 22, 2022 98   Florida Gulf Coast L 59-67 31%     2 - 2 -2.9 -8.1 +4.5
  Nov 23, 2022 131   Indiana St. L 81-85 39%     2 - 3 -1.4 +14.0 -15.6
  Nov 27, 2022 95   @ Temple L 61-73 22%     2 - 4 -3.9 +1.1 -6.7
  Nov 30, 2022 273   Lafayette W 64-56 79%     3 - 4 -0.5 +0.9 +0.1
  Dec 03, 2022 143   Princeton W 67-66 55%    
  Dec 10, 2022 221   @ La Salle W 64-63 50%    
  Dec 14, 2022 68   @ Seton Hall L 60-71 15%    
  Dec 17, 2022 358   Delaware St. W 77-58 96%    
  Dec 22, 2022 240   @ Fairfield W 63-62 53%    
  Dec 29, 2022 344   Elon W 74-58 92%    
  Dec 31, 2022 288   William & Mary W 71-62 81%    
  Jan 05, 2023 115   @ Towson L 60-67 26%    
  Jan 07, 2023 328   Monmouth W 73-59 90%    
  Jan 12, 2023 342   @ Stony Brook W 71-61 81%    
  Jan 14, 2023 257   @ Northeastern W 64-62 56%    
  Jan 19, 2023 335   Hampton W 76-61 91%    
  Jan 21, 2023 195   Delaware W 69-65 64%    
  Jan 26, 2023 274   @ N.C. A&T W 68-66 58%    
  Jan 28, 2023 344   @ Elon W 71-61 81%    
  Feb 02, 2023 80   College of Charleston L 73-77 37%    
  Feb 04, 2023 328   @ Monmouth W 70-62 76%    
  Feb 08, 2023 195   @ Delaware L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 11, 2023 115   Towson L 63-64 46%    
  Feb 13, 2023 132   @ Hofstra L 67-73 30%    
  Feb 16, 2023 138   UNC Wilmington W 64-63 52%    
  Feb 18, 2023 335   @ Hampton W 73-64 77%    
  Feb 23, 2023 257   Northeastern W 67-59 75%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 12 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.6 2.7 1.0 0.2 9.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.5 5.7 3.1 0.6 0.0 13.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.3 7.2 3.1 0.3 0.0 15.6 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 4.5 7.7 3.5 0.3 16.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.3 6.8 3.2 0.3 15.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.2 5.2 2.6 0.3 11.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.5 2.0 0.2 8.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 5.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.7 0.1 2.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.0 5.7 8.9 12.3 14.7 16.0 14.7 11.0 6.9 3.3 1.0 0.2 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 99.0% 1.0    0.9 0.1
16-2 81.2% 2.7    1.8 0.8 0.0
15-3 51.8% 3.6    1.3 1.7 0.5 0.0
14-4 16.9% 1.9    0.3 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 2.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.6% 9.6 4.4 3.4 1.3 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 40.0% 40.0% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.0% 19.3% 19.3% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
16-2 3.3% 17.5% 17.5% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.7
15-3 6.9% 15.2% 15.2% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 5.8
14-4 11.0% 10.9% 10.9% 14.5 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 9.8
13-5 14.7% 6.6% 6.6% 14.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 13.7
12-6 16.0% 5.2% 5.2% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 15.2
11-7 14.7% 4.8% 4.8% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 14.0
10-8 12.3% 3.0% 3.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 12.0
9-9 8.9% 1.5% 1.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 8.8
8-10 5.7% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 5.6
7-11 3.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.0
6-12 1.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.5
5-13 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.6
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.0 1.8 93.8 0.0%