Preseason Rankings
Central Florida
Big 12
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.5#81
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.2#303
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#123
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#55
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 2.2% 2.6% 0.5%
Top 6 Seed 5.3% 5.9% 1.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.7% 20.6% 8.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 16.9% 18.8% 6.8%
Average Seed 8.1 8.0 9.0
.500 or above 50.2% 54.5% 26.1%
.500 or above in Conference 22.4% 24.2% 11.8%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.1% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 25.7% 23.6% 37.6%
First Four3.0% 3.2% 1.5%
First Round17.2% 18.9% 7.3%
Second Round9.1% 10.2% 3.2%
Sweet Sixteen3.3% 3.7% 1.1%
Elite Eight1.3% 1.4% 0.5%
Final Four0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida International (Home) - 84.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 9
Quad 23 - 35 - 12
Quad 33 - 18 - 14
Quad 46 - 115 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 196   Florida International W 75-64 85%    
  Nov 10, 2023 30   @ Miami (FL) L 66-75 22%    
  Nov 16, 2023 161   Cal St. Fullerton W 68-59 79%    
  Nov 19, 2023 151   South Dakota St. W 69-64 68%    
  Nov 26, 2023 207   Stetson W 73-61 85%    
  Dec 02, 2023 184   Lipscomb W 75-65 82%    
  Dec 06, 2023 246   Jacksonville W 65-51 89%    
  Dec 10, 2023 60   Mississippi W 66-65 52%    
  Dec 18, 2023 264   Maine W 72-57 90%    
  Dec 21, 2023 343   Florida A&M W 73-52 96%    
  Dec 29, 2023 349   Bethune-Cookman W 79-57 97%    
  Jan 06, 2024 32   @ Kansas St. L 65-73 24%    
  Jan 10, 2024 1   Kansas L 64-74 21%    
  Jan 13, 2024 50   BYU L 69-70 50%    
  Jan 17, 2024 15   @ Texas L 62-73 18%    
  Jan 20, 2024 4   @ Houston L 56-69 13%    
  Jan 23, 2024 63   West Virginia W 69-68 54%    
  Jan 27, 2024 58   @ Cincinnati L 65-71 33%    
  Jan 31, 2024 14   Baylor L 66-71 34%    
  Feb 03, 2024 53   Oklahoma W 65-64 50%    
  Feb 10, 2024 41   @ Texas Tech L 63-70 28%    
  Feb 13, 2024 50   @ BYU L 66-72 31%    
  Feb 17, 2024 58   Cincinnati W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 20, 2024 63   @ West Virginia L 66-71 34%    
  Feb 24, 2024 41   Texas Tech L 66-67 46%    
  Feb 28, 2024 59   @ Oklahoma St. L 62-68 32%    
  Mar 02, 2024 40   Iowa St. L 61-62 46%    
  Mar 06, 2024 4   Houston L 59-66 28%    
  Mar 09, 2024 24   @ TCU L 64-73 23%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 1.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.9 5th
6th 0.4 2.2 1.9 0.4 0.0 5.0 6th
7th 0.2 2.0 3.0 0.7 0.0 5.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 3.8 1.5 0.1 0.0 6.9 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 3.9 2.6 0.3 0.0 7.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 3.7 4.0 0.7 0.0 9.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 3.5 4.7 1.5 0.1 10.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.8 3.2 5.1 2.2 0.2 11.6 12th
13th 0.1 1.4 4.0 5.5 2.6 0.4 0.0 13.9 13th
14th 1.3 3.6 5.4 4.8 2.0 0.3 0.0 17.4 14th
Total 1.3 3.6 6.9 9.6 11.2 12.3 12.0 11.1 9.6 7.6 5.4 3.9 2.6 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 91.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 69.1% 0.2    0.2 0.1
14-4 35.1% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 11.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.0% 100.0% 26.1% 73.9% 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.2% 100.0% 21.6% 78.4% 1.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.3% 100.0% 14.0% 86.0% 2.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.8% 100.0% 11.6% 88.4% 3.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.5% 99.4% 9.0% 90.4% 4.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.3%
12-6 2.6% 96.0% 7.8% 88.2% 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 95.7%
11-7 3.9% 87.9% 4.6% 83.3% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.5 87.3%
10-8 5.4% 70.1% 4.3% 65.7% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.6 68.7%
9-9 7.6% 46.3% 3.6% 42.8% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.1 44.3%
8-10 9.6% 16.8% 2.4% 14.4% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 14.7%
7-11 11.1% 5.0% 2.1% 2.8% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.6 2.9%
6-12 12.0% 1.6% 1.5% 0.1% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.8 0.1%
5-13 12.3% 0.8% 0.8% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.2
4-14 11.2% 0.7% 0.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 11.1
3-15 9.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.5
2-16 6.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.8
1-17 3.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.6
0-18 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 18.7% 2.1% 16.6% 8.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.8 2.9 2.4 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 81.3 16.9%