Portland
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#246
Expected Predictive Rating-1.7#193
Pace74.5#55
Improvement+0.9#110

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#249
First Shot-1.8#220
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#265
Layup/Dunks+6.3#21
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#302
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#297
Freethrows-2.2#303
Improvement+0.8#106

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#229
First Shot-0.5#187
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#278
Layups/Dunks+1.0#141
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#22
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#309
Freethrows-0.1#189
Improvement+0.1#180
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.0 n/a 12.0
.500 or above 4.1% 9.8% 2.4%
.500 or above in Conference 6.0% 8.4% 5.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 29.3% 22.7% 31.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Santa Barbara (Away) - 22.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 61 - 10
Quad 33 - 74 - 17
Quad 47 - 310 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 351 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-74 84%     1 - 0 -6.7 -9.0 +0.9
  Sun, Nov 9 197 UC Davis W 67-63 52%     2 - 0 -1.4 -6.7 +5.4
  Sat, Nov 15 90 @Wyoming L 56-93 10%     2 - 1 -28.1 -13.5 -14.4
  Fri, Nov 21 267 Cal St. Fullerton W 103-85 65%     3 - 1 +9.2 +15.1 -7.7
  Sat, Nov 22 151 Northern Colorado L 80-86 OT 40%     3 - 2 -8.4 -5.9 -1.8
  Sun, Nov 23 131 St. Thomas L 66-76 36%     3 - 3 -11.3 -9.1 -2.0
  Wed, Nov 26 276 Long Beach St. W 93-73 66%     4 - 3 +10.8 +12.2 -1.9
  Mon, Dec 1 88 @Stanford L 72-94 10%     4 - 4 -12.9 +4.1 -17.2
  Sun, Dec 14 132 Kent St. W 88-78 36%     5 - 4 +8.7 -0.2 +7.5
  Wed, Dec 17 62 @Oregon L 69-94 7%     5 - 5 -13.1 -6.3 -4.1
  Mon, Dec 22 159 @UC Santa Barbara L 72-80 22%    
  Sun, Dec 28 149 Washington St. L 75-78 40%    
  Tue, Dec 30 77 Santa Clara L 73-82 20%    
  Fri, Jan 2 41 @St. Mary's L 62-82 3%    
  Sun, Jan 4 94 @San Francisco L 67-80 11%    
  Thu, Jan 8 138 Pacific L 72-75 38%    
  Sat, Jan 10 165 Oregon St. L 72-73 44%    
  Wed, Jan 14 294 @Pepperdine L 71-72 47%    
  Sat, Jan 17 145 @Loyola Marymount L 66-75 21%    
  Sat, Jan 24 41 St. Mary's L 65-79 10%    
  Wed, Jan 28 138 @Pacific L 69-78 20%    
  Sat, Jan 31 149 @Washington St. L 72-81 22%    
  Wed, Feb 4 5 Gonzaga L 67-91 2%    
  Sat, Feb 7 123 Seattle L 72-77 34%    
  Wed, Feb 11 245 @San Diego L 78-81 39%    
  Wed, Feb 18 294 Pepperdine W 74-69 67%    
  Sat, Feb 21 123 @Seattle L 69-80 16%    
  Wed, Feb 25 5 @Gonzaga L 64-94 0.4%   
  Sat, Feb 28 245 San Diego W 81-78 61%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 4th
5th 0.4 1.3 0.7 0.1 2.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.1 1.4 0.3 4.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.7 2.9 0.6 0.0 6.5 7th
8th 0.5 3.7 4.7 1.3 0.1 10.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 4.5 7.2 2.4 0.1 14.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 5.5 9.0 3.8 0.2 0.0 19.4 10th
11th 0.1 2.1 7.2 9.2 3.5 0.3 22.5 11th
12th 0.8 3.7 6.3 5.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 18.3 12th
Total 0.8 3.9 8.5 13.5 17.1 17.6 15.3 10.5 6.8 3.6 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.1
12-6 0.2% 0.2
11-7 0.6% 0.6
10-8 1.6% 0.4% 0.4% 12.0 0.0 1.6
9-9 3.6% 3.6
8-10 6.8% 6.8
7-11 10.5% 10.5
6-12 15.3% 15.3
5-13 17.6% 17.6
4-14 17.1% 17.1
3-15 13.5% 13.5
2-16 8.5% 8.5
1-17 3.9% 3.9
0-18 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%