Wichita St.
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.6#94
Expected Predictive Rating+15.4#31
Pace72.4#87
Improvement-3.2#346

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#139
First Shot+3.7#81
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#309
Layup/Dunks+8.0#7
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#239
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.0#348
Freethrows+3.8#25
Improvement-4.7#363

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#70
First Shot+9.2#4
After Offensive Rebounds-4.9#361
Layups/Dunks+0.4#157
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#59
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#71
Freethrows+4.0#7
Improvement+1.5#60
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.3% 13.7% 8.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.2% 2.7% 0.7%
Average Seed 11.1 11.1 11.5
.500 or above 97.4% 98.5% 93.8%
.500 or above in Conference 86.1% 87.9% 80.7%
Conference Champion 10.8% 11.8% 7.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.4% 1.0%
First Four1.3% 1.6% 0.4%
First Round11.6% 12.8% 7.9%
Second Round3.3% 3.7% 2.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 1.0% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Tennessee St. (Home) - 75.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 3
Quad 23 - 34 - 6
Quad 39 - 312 - 9
Quad 410 - 122 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 115   @ Western Kentucky W 91-84 47%     1 - 0 +13.3 +8.8 +3.4
  Nov 09, 2024 122   Montana St. W 89-69 73%     2 - 0 +19.3 +16.3 +3.3
  Nov 14, 2024 113   Northern Iowa W 79-73 69%     3 - 0 +6.4 +7.2 -0.7
  Nov 18, 2024 287   Monmouth W 70-66 91%     4 - 0 -5.5 -8.0 +2.5
  Nov 22, 2024 137   Saint Louis W 88-63 66%     5 - 0 +26.4 +4.2 +19.6
  Nov 28, 2024 112   Minnesota W 68-66 OT 58%     6 - 0 +5.5 -3.5 +9.0
  Nov 29, 2024 10   Florida L 51-88 14%     6 - 1 -19.5 -14.9 -5.3
  Dec 04, 2024 352   Alcorn St. W 78-54 97%     7 - 1 +8.3 -2.7 +11.0
  Dec 07, 2024 135   East Tennessee St. W 75-68 75%    
  Dec 14, 2024 97   @ DePaul L 72-75 39%    
  Dec 17, 2024 292   UMKC W 77-62 93%    
  Dec 21, 2024 59   Kansas St. L 71-72 47%    
  Jan 03, 2025 118   @ Temple L 74-75 49%    
  Jan 06, 2025 148   South Florida W 77-69 76%    
  Jan 11, 2025 249   @ Texas San Antonio W 81-74 75%    
  Jan 14, 2025 205   Charlotte W 73-62 83%    
  Jan 18, 2025 159   East Carolina W 73-65 78%    
  Jan 23, 2025 32   @ Memphis L 72-82 18%    
  Jan 26, 2025 225   @ Tulsa W 76-70 71%    
  Jan 29, 2025 77   North Texas W 63-62 55%    
  Feb 04, 2025 205   @ Charlotte W 70-65 66%    
  Feb 09, 2025 148   @ South Florida W 74-72 57%    
  Feb 12, 2025 249   Texas San Antonio W 84-71 88%    
  Feb 16, 2025 32   Memphis L 75-79 35%    
  Feb 20, 2025 92   @ Florida Atlantic L 78-81 38%    
  Feb 23, 2025 220   Tulane W 79-67 85%    
  Feb 27, 2025 124   UAB W 80-74 72%    
  Mar 03, 2025 77   @ North Texas L 60-65 34%    
  Mar 06, 2025 168   @ Rice W 70-67 61%    
  Mar 09, 2025 225   Tulsa W 79-67 86%    
Projected Record 21 - 9 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.7 3.6 2.3 0.9 0.1 10.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.3 6.6 5.9 2.2 0.3 18.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 4.1 7.5 5.2 1.2 0.1 18.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.5 7.2 3.9 0.6 0.0 15.7 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 5.5 3.1 0.5 0.0 11.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 4.0 2.8 0.4 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.3 2.3 2.7 0.4 0.0 5.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 2.2 0.6 0.0 4.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.6 0.8 0.0 2.9 9th
10th 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 1.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.1 3.9 6.5 9.8 12.9 15.4 15.2 13.4 9.9 5.9 2.7 0.9 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.9    0.9 0.0
16-2 87.7% 2.3    1.8 0.5 0.0
15-3 61.6% 3.6    2.0 1.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 27.7% 2.7    0.9 1.3 0.5 0.0 0.0
13-5 7.3% 1.0    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.8% 10.8 5.8 3.7 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 81.8% 25.8% 56.1% 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 75.5%
17-1 0.9% 69.0% 35.7% 33.3% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 51.7%
16-2 2.7% 52.8% 33.7% 19.1% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.1 1.3 28.8%
15-3 5.9% 34.3% 25.2% 9.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 0.4 0.0 3.8 12.1%
14-4 9.9% 23.7% 20.1% 3.6% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 0.8 0.0 7.5 4.5%
13-5 13.4% 14.9% 13.7% 1.2% 11.5 0.0 0.9 1.1 0.0 11.4 1.4%
12-6 15.2% 10.4% 10.2% 0.2% 11.7 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 13.6 0.2%
11-7 15.4% 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 11.9 0.2 0.9 0.1 14.2 0.0%
10-8 12.9% 4.4% 4.4% 12.1 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 12.3
9-9 9.8% 2.8% 2.8% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 9.6
8-10 6.5% 1.7% 1.7% 12.4 0.1 0.0 6.4
7-11 3.9% 1.1% 1.1% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.8
6-12 2.1% 0.7% 0.7% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.1
5-13 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.9
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 12.3% 10.4% 2.0% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 1.0 5.0 4.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 87.7 2.2%