Iowa
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.3#50
Expected Predictive Rating+12.0#45
Pace77.7#21
Improvement-0.5#212

Offense
Total Offense+7.0#32
First Shot+8.2#16
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#245
Layup/Dunks+6.9#14
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#173
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#95
Freethrows-1.4#260
Improvement+0.5#139

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#87
First Shot+4.6#52
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#275
Layups/Dunks-3.4#298
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#100
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#115
Freethrows+5.1#2
Improvement-0.9#264
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 4.1% 4.2% 1.0%
Top 6 Seed 11.4% 11.4% 6.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 45.8% 45.9% 27.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 44.4% 44.5% 26.6%
Average Seed 7.9 7.9 8.7
.500 or above 81.7% 81.8% 57.9%
.500 or above in Conference 49.7% 49.8% 35.8%
Conference Champion 2.8% 2.8% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.7% 2.7% 5.0%
First Four5.5% 5.5% 7.0%
First Round42.9% 43.0% 22.4%
Second Round22.7% 22.8% 10.0%
Sweet Sixteen7.8% 7.8% 3.0%
Elite Eight2.8% 2.8% 1.0%
Final Four1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
Championship Game0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas A&M - Commerce (Home) - 99.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 45 - 10
Quad 25 - 310 - 13
Quad 32 - 012 - 13
Quad 47 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 355   Texas A&M - Commerce W 90-63 99%    
  Nov 07, 2024 234   Southern W 89-74 94%     1 - 0 +8.1 +11.9 -4.4
  Nov 12, 2024 224   South Dakota W 96-77 93%     2 - 0 +12.5 +10.9 +0.8
  Nov 15, 2024 74   Washington St. W 76-66 61%     3 - 0 +17.5 +1.4 +15.2
  Nov 19, 2024 257   Rider W 83-58 95%     4 - 0 +16.7 +3.7 +12.3
  Nov 22, 2024 52   Utah St. L 69-77 52%     4 - 1 +1.7 -6.2 +8.6
  Nov 26, 2024 343   South Carolina Upstate W 110-77 98%     5 - 1 +18.4 +15.1 -0.8
  Dec 03, 2024 66   Northwestern W 80-79 66%     6 - 1 1 - 0 +7.0 +12.0 -5.0
  Dec 07, 2024 16   @ Michigan L 74-82 23%    
  Dec 12, 2024 8   Iowa St. L 78-83 32%    
  Dec 15, 2024 344   New Orleans W 95-70 99%    
  Dec 21, 2024 60   Utah W 82-81 54%    
  Dec 30, 2024 350   New Hampshire W 90-64 99%    
  Jan 03, 2025 35   @ Wisconsin L 77-82 32%    
  Jan 07, 2025 44   Nebraska W 80-78 58%    
  Jan 11, 2025 39   Indiana W 82-81 55%    
  Jan 14, 2025 106   @ USC W 80-77 62%    
  Jan 17, 2025 18   @ UCLA L 70-77 26%    
  Jan 21, 2025 112   Minnesota W 76-66 81%    
  Jan 24, 2025 31   Penn St. W 84-83 51%    
  Jan 27, 2025 29   @ Ohio St. L 76-82 30%    
  Feb 04, 2025 21   Purdue L 78-79 46%    
  Feb 08, 2025 35   Wisconsin W 80-79 53%    
  Feb 12, 2025 58   @ Rutgers L 80-82 42%    
  Feb 16, 2025 19   @ Maryland L 77-84 25%    
  Feb 19, 2025 22   Oregon L 78-79 46%    
  Feb 22, 2025 75   Washington W 82-76 69%    
  Feb 25, 2025 14   @ Illinois L 78-86 24%    
  Feb 28, 2025 66   @ Northwestern L 71-73 44%    
  Mar 06, 2025 27   Michigan St. W 78-77 50%    
  Mar 09, 2025 44   @ Nebraska L 77-81 37%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.3 1.2 0.4 0.1 3.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.8 1.7 0.4 0.1 4.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 2.4 0.7 0.0 4.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.9 1.6 0.1 0.0 5.2 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 2.9 0.5 0.0 5.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.6 1.3 0.1 5.9 7th
8th 0.2 2.9 3.5 0.3 6.9 8th
9th 0.0 1.3 4.4 1.4 0.0 7.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 3.6 3.3 0.3 7.4 10th
11th 0.1 2.0 4.7 1.2 0.0 8.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 3.9 2.8 0.2 7.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 2.6 3.7 0.9 0.0 7.7 13th
14th 0.2 1.5 3.7 1.6 0.1 7.2 14th
15th 0.1 1.2 2.9 2.1 0.3 0.0 6.6 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 1.8 0.5 0.0 5.0 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.8 17th
18th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.2 18th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.3 4.5 7.0 9.8 11.8 13.7 13.0 11.7 9.2 6.9 4.3 2.5 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 86.6% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
16-4 65.5% 0.8    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 35.2% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1
14-6 8.8% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.8% 2.8 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 100.0% 23.0% 77.0% 2.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.6% 100.0% 20.8% 79.2% 2.9 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.2% 100.0% 17.3% 82.7% 3.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 2.5% 99.8% 16.0% 83.9% 4.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
14-6 4.3% 99.5% 10.5% 89.1% 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.5%
13-7 6.9% 97.8% 5.7% 92.0% 7.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.9 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.2 97.6%
12-8 9.2% 92.8% 3.3% 89.4% 7.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 2.5 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.7 92.5%
11-9 11.7% 80.1% 1.7% 78.4% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.1 2.6 2.3 1.0 0.0 2.3 79.8%
10-10 13.0% 59.3% 1.4% 58.0% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.7 2.4 2.1 0.1 5.3 58.8%
9-11 13.7% 26.8% 0.5% 26.4% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.8 0.3 10.0 26.5%
8-12 11.8% 6.7% 0.2% 6.5% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 11.0 6.5%
7-13 9.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.5% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.8 0.5%
6-14 7.0% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 7.0 0.1%
5-15 4.5% 4.5
4-16 2.3% 2.3
3-17 0.9% 0.9
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 45.8% 2.4% 43.3% 7.9 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.1 3.0 4.3 6.0 7.7 7.5 7.0 5.7 0.5 54.2 44.4%