Preseason Rankings
Washington St.
West Coast
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.2#124
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.4#26
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#115
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#148
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 3.1% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Average Seed 10.7 10.6 11.6
.500 or above 52.1% 57.5% 29.2%
.500 or above in Conference 50.5% 53.9% 35.7%
Conference Champion 2.0% 2.3% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 5.4% 4.4% 9.6%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
First Round2.5% 2.8% 1.0%
Second Round0.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Idaho (Home) - 81.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 22 - 42 - 9
Quad 35 - 57 - 13
Quad 47 - 215 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 235   Idaho W 81-72 81%    
  Nov 07, 2025 144   @ Davidson L 72-74 44%    
  Nov 10, 2025 148   St. Thomas W 80-75 67%    
  Nov 14, 2025 48   Washington L 74-80 29%    
  Nov 19, 2025 268   Southern Utah W 82-71 84%    
  Dec 02, 2025 107   @ Bradley L 70-75 33%    
  Dec 07, 2025 98   Nevada L 70-71 50%    
  Dec 14, 2025 29   @ USC L 70-85 10%    
  Dec 17, 2025 247   Eastern Washington W 79-72 72%    
  Dec 20, 2025 248   Mercer W 83-73 80%    
  Dec 28, 2025 262   @ Portland W 81-76 66%    
  Dec 30, 2025 121   @ Seattle L 70-73 40%    
  Jan 02, 2026 136   Loyola Marymount W 76-73 62%    
  Jan 04, 2026 113   Oregon St. W 73-71 55%    
  Jan 10, 2026 49   @ St. Mary's L 61-73 16%    
  Jan 15, 2026 19   Gonzaga L 76-87 17%    
  Jan 18, 2026 75   @ San Francisco L 72-80 25%    
  Jan 21, 2026 183   @ San Diego W 82-81 52%    
  Jan 24, 2026 239   Pepperdine W 82-72 79%    
  Jan 28, 2026 121   Seattle W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 31, 2026 262   Portland W 84-73 81%    
  Feb 04, 2026 113   @ Oregon St. L 70-74 35%    
  Feb 07, 2026 105   Santa Clara W 78-77 52%    
  Feb 10, 2026 19   @ Gonzaga L 73-90 8%    
  Feb 18, 2026 219   Pacific W 79-70 76%    
  Feb 21, 2026 49   St. Mary's L 64-70 31%    
  Feb 25, 2026 136   @ Loyola Marymount L 73-76 42%    
  Feb 28, 2026 239   @ Pepperdine W 79-75 62%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.7 1.6 0.8 0.1 5.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.7 2.2 0.7 0.0 8.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.2 4.8 2.6 0.4 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.5 5.2 2.4 0.4 0.0 12.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.5 5.3 2.5 0.3 0.0 12.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.7 2.6 0.3 0.0 12.2 7th
8th 0.3 2.8 5.3 2.4 0.2 0.0 11.0 8th
9th 0.3 2.1 4.2 2.3 0.3 9.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.5 1.7 0.2 7.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.1 2.9 12th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.5 4.6 7.2 9.3 11.6 12.6 12.1 11.5 9.5 7.6 4.6 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 81.3% 0.5    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-3 44.6% 0.7    0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-4 17.4% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 3.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 67.2% 33.6% 33.6% 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.6%
17-1 0.2% 82.3% 31.2% 51.1% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 74.3%
16-2 0.6% 49.0% 24.5% 24.5% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 32.4%
15-3 1.5% 35.4% 19.6% 15.8% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.0 19.7%
14-4 2.8% 18.2% 13.6% 4.6% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.3 5.3%
13-5 4.6% 10.1% 8.6% 1.5% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.1 1.6%
12-6 7.6% 4.6% 4.2% 0.4% 11.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 7.2 0.4%
11-7 9.5% 1.9% 1.8% 0.0% 11.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.3 0.0%
10-8 11.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.4 0.0%
9-9 12.1% 0.4% 0.4% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.1
8-10 12.6% 0.3% 0.3% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.5
7-11 11.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.6
6-12 9.3% 9.3
5-13 7.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 7.2
4-14 4.6% 4.6
3-15 2.5% 2.5
2-16 1.3% 1.3
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.7% 2.0% 0.7% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.3 0.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%