Washington St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +2.3 125
Expected Predictive Rating -0.4 172
Pace 69.5 154
Improvement +2.8 71

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- #86 A- C- C- C C+
Defense C- #224 C C+ D C C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 252 67% 26 +1.8 115
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 256 40% 102 -1.0 231
Three Pointers 47% 56 38% 24 +6.2 24
1st FG Attempt 1.16 21 +7.0 21
Second Chance 30.5% 185 0.99 239 0.30 199
Turnovers 17.8% 239
Freethrows 0.30 221 74% 138 0.22 192
Total Offense +3.8 86

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 231 57% 153 +1.2 135
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 107 41% 286 -1.5 296
Three Pointers 40% 196 33% 137 +0.8 152
1st FG Attempt 1.01 161 +0.5 162
Second Chance 26.4% 51 1.12 311 0.30 135
Turnovers 14.7% 315
Freethrows 0.30 179 73% 247 0.22 185
Total Defense -1.5 224

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.3 154 -0.4 106
Shot Type Accuracy +6.5 15 -0.1 179
Possession Length 16.6 103 18.1 304
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 178 0.17 163
Improvement +3.2 #39 -0.4 #210

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 1.7% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 12.9 14.8
.500 or above 0.2% 5.3% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 32.6% 74.0% 31.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.3% 1.7% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gonzaga (Away) - 3.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 80 - 13
Quad 35 - 46 - 17
Quad 47 - 113 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 189 Idaho L 81 - 83 76% -9  0% 0 - 1 D+ -7 C +1 C C- A+ D- -8 F C+ C-
 Fri, Nov 7 111 @Davidson L 69 - 85 34% -16  0% 0 - 2 D -9 D+ -3 F+ B F D -6 F B A-
 Mon, Nov 10 122 St. Thomas W 81 - 71 61% +15  97% 1 - 2 B +9 B +6 B A+ F+ B- +4 B B+ D+
 Fri, Nov 14 45 Washington L 69 - 81 26% -10  4% 1 - 3 C- -3 B- +5 B- B A F+ -10 C- B- F+
 Wed, Nov 19 284 Southern Utah W 98 - 74 87% +12  83% 2 - 3 B+ +14 A+ +16 B+ A+ A C- -3 F+ A+ C
 Tue, Nov 25 74 Arizona St. L 94 - 100 30% +2  62% 2 - 4 C+ +2 A+ +19 A+ B+ A F -17 F F D+
 Wed, Nov 26 54 Seton Hall L 61 - 75 23% -11  0% 2 - 5 C- -4 C- -2 B- D B- C- -3 D- F A
 Tue, Dec 2 126 @Bradley L 60 - 64 39% +3  84% 2 - 6 C +1 F -12 C+ F F A+ +13 A+ D+ F
 Sun, Dec 7 67 Nevada L 64 - 78 39% -5  29% 2 - 7 D -9 D+ -3 C+ C F D -7 A F D-
 Sun, Dec 14 46 @USC L 61 - 68 13% -6  0% 2 - 8 B- +7 D- -6 B- F C- A+ +14 A+ A+ D+
 Wed, Dec 17 227 Eastern Washington W 78 - 63 72% +12  99% 3 - 8 B+ +11 D+ -2 A- F+ F A+ +14 A A+ D+
 Sat, Dec 20 171 Mercer W 84 - 78 72% +4  78% 4 - 8 C+ +2 C- -0 A+ F C+ B- +2 C+ B+ D-
 Sun, Dec 28 199 @Portland W 67 - 62 56% +3  65% 5 - 8 1 - 0 B- +6 D -5 C F D+ A +11 A+ D- F
 Tue, Dec 30 132 @Seattle L 55 - 69 40% -6  13% 5 - 9 1 - 1 D -9 F -10 F C- F C+ +1 D+ A+ D+
 Fri, Jan 2 149 Loyola Marymount W 78 - 76 68% -1  49% 6 - 9 2 - 1 C -0 B- +4 A+ F C- D+ -4 B- B- F
 Sun, Jan 4 178 Oregon St. W 81 - 67 73% +11  99% 7 - 9 3 - 1 B +10 A- +9 A- A F+ C+ +1 C+ C- D
 Sat, Jan 10 40 @St. Mary's L 82 - 88 11% -9  6% 7 - 10 3 - 2 B +10 A+ +14 A+ C+ D- D+ -4 D- A+ A-
 Thu, Jan 15 13 Gonzaga L 65 - 86 11% -10  10% 7 - 11 3 - 3 D+ -5 C- -1 A+ D- F D+ -5 B D- D+
 Sun, Jan 18 106 @San Francisco L 80 - 85 32% -0  38% 7 - 12 3 - 4 C+ +2 A+ +14 A+ F+ D F -12 F F B+
 Wed, Jan 21 223 @San Diego L 92 - 96 60% -8  6% 7 - 13 3 - 5 C- -4 A+ +15 B- B- A F -20 F F F
 Sat, Jan 24 292 Pepperdine W 95 - 79 88% +12  97% 8 - 13 4 - 5 B- +5 A+ +15 A+ B C- F+ -9 F A- B
 Wed, Jan 28 132 Seattle W 70 - 58 63% +6  91% 9 - 13 5 - 5 B +11 C+ +2 A+ F F A- +9 A+ C D-
 Sat, Jan 31 199 Portland W 104 - 74 77% +15  94% 10 - 13 6 - 5 A+ +25 A+ +25 A+ A A+ C -1 A- F F
 Wed, Feb 4 178 @Oregon St. L 64 - 74 52% +4  76% 10 - 14 6 - 6 D -8 F+ -8 F C- B- C -0 A+ D F
 Sat, Feb 7 44 Santa Clara L 92 - 96 26% -3  20% 10 - 15 6 - 7 B- +5 A+ +19 A+ A+ B+ F -14 F A+ D
 Tue, Feb 10 13 @Gonzaga L 71 - 90 3%
 Wed, Feb 18 114 Pacific W 76 - 74 58%
 Sat, Feb 21 40 St. Mary's L 70 - 78 24%
 Wed, Feb 25 149 @Loyola Marymount L 74 - 75 46%
 Sat, Feb 28 292 @Pepperdine W 79 - 72 74%
Totals 12 - 18 8 - 10 +2 B- +4 A- C- C- C- -2 C C+ D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- B+ C+ B+ A- 36% 17% 47% C+ A- C C- C- C- C- C+ C C- C D+ C+ C 37% 23% 40% C+ C B D C+ D C C- C
1.14 67% 40% 38% +7 0 1.16 31% 1.0 .30 18% .30 74% .22 1.11 57% 41% 33% 0 0 1.01 26% 1.1 .30 15% .30 73% .22
Nov
3		 Idaho C C A+ F C- 37% 16% 47% B+ C F+ A+ C- A+ A+ C+ A+ D- C F F+ F 35% 12% 54% D+ F A- F+ C+ C- C- C C-
1.13 58% 75% 25% 0 +1 1.02 18% 1.3 .24 7% .51 74% .38 1.16 56% 67% 39% +7 +1 1.17 21% 1.1 .24 15% .31 74% .23
Nov
7		 Davidson D+ F C+ F+ F+ 35% 26% 39% C F+ B- B B F A+ A+ A+ D F F+ F F 30% 22% 48% B- F A+ F B A- F F F
0.99 44% 42% 28% -8 -1 0.85 33% 1.1 .36 23% .43 83% .35 1.22 79% 50% 45% +17 -1 1.35 18% 1.5 .27 21% .38 81% .31
Nov
10		 St. Thomas B B A+ D+ B- 42% 10% 48% B- B C+ A+ A+ F+ B- A+ A B- F A+ B- B 35% 12% 54% B- B A+ F B+ D+ B- F C
1.18 65% 60% 30% +3 +2 1.10 31% 2.0 .62 22% .30 94% .28 1.03 78% 0% 32% +1 +1 1.06 3% 3.0 .10 13% .27 81% .22
Nov
14		 Washington B- B+ D+ D- C+ 38% 12% 50% A B- B+ C+ B A F A+ D F+ B+ F D- C- 32% 19% 49% D C- B- C+ B- F+ F C- F
1.11 63% 33% 28% -3 +1 0.98 32% 1.0 .32 11% .18 80% .14 1.30 53% 56% 39% +6 0 1.13 34% 1.1 .38 11% .42 78% .33
Nov
19		 Southern Utah A+ A A+ C- A- 36% 24% 40% D+ B+ C+ A+ A+ A C C- C- C- D+ F F F 31% 31% 38% A F+ A+ A A+ C D+ D D
1.36 71% 57% 35% +10 -1 1.21 34% 1.9 .66 10% .25 69% .17 1.03 63% 44% 40% +7 -2 1.12 17% 0.8 .13 19% .28 75% .21
Nov
25		 Arizona St. A+ B+ C- A+ A+ 29% 22% 49% D+ A+ C- A+ B+ A A+ C+ A+ F D+ F F F 44% 14% 42% D- F C F F D+ F D F
1.32 64% 36% 50% +13 -1 1.27 30% 1.4 .43 15% .48 76% .36 1.40 64% 57% 48% +14 +1 1.32 32% 1.6 .52 14% .47 79% .38
Nov
26		 Seton Hall C- B+ A+ F C 43% 7% 50% A- B- C F D B- D B D+ C- F A B F 45% 34% 21% A D- A F F A A F B
0.92 60% 67% 22% -6 +2 0.93 30% 0.7 .20 23% .31 75% .23 1.13 81% 25% 30% +5 -1 1.09 29% 1.9 .54 21% .25 85% .21
Dec
2		 Bradley F A F A+ B- 23% 41% 36% F C+ D- F F F F+ A+ D+ A+ C C A+ A+ 33% 21% 46% C A+ B+ F D+ F D+ A+ B
0.87 70% 22% 50% +5 -4 1.05 25% 0.6 .14 29% .25 83% .21 0.93 59% 36% 13% -15 0 0.71 23% 1.4 .32 10% .36 59% .21
Dec
7		 Nevada D+ A F B+ B 29% 26% 45% D- C+ A- F C F A+ B+ A+ D A+ B D- A 33% 37% 31% A A D F F D- C F D
1.01 67% 18% 37% -1 -1 0.98 34% 0.9 .31 22% .45 77% .35 1.23 38% 33% 40% -6 -2 0.86 38% 1.4 .54 9% .37 86% .31
Dec
14		 USC D- B- F C+ C+ 34% 12% 54% B B- F B F C- D+ D+ D A+ B- C- A+ A+ 48% 27% 25% C A+ A+ F+ A+ D+ F F+ F
0.87 59% 17% 33% -3 +1 0.98 12% 1.0 .12 18% .24 71% .17 0.97 57% 42% 9% -9 0 0.84 17% 1.2 .21 16% .57 79% .45
Dec
17		 Eastern Washington D+ A+ A- B A- 42% 12% 46% C+ A- B F F+ F F F F A+ C C- A+ A+ 43% 19% 38% D A A A+ A+ D+ C- A C+
1.10 73% 50% 38% +10 +1 1.25 38% 0.7 .28 21% .16 56% .09 0.89 57% 40% 20% -8 +1 0.87 23% 0.6 .13 17% .31 67% .20
Dec
20		 Mercer C- B A+ A+ A+ 37% 20% 43% C A+ F F F C+ A- F B- B- C F A+ C- 28% 33% 39% A C+ B- B+ B+ D- A+ A+ A+
1.12 63% 60% 50% +17 0 1.35 17% 0.4 .07 17% .32 65% .21 1.04 59% 55% 25% +1 -2 0.98 31% 0.9 .27 13% .22 50% .11
Dec
28		 Portland D C+ F B C 33% 18% 49% C- C D+ F F D+ A+ D- A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ 36% 18% 45% C+ A+ C+ F D- F F A+ C-
0.98 60% 13% 36% -2 0 0.98 28% 0.5 .15 19% .51 68% .34 0.91 45% 10% 16% -22 0 0.58 30% 1.4 .43 9% .38 58% .22
Dec
30		 Seattle F D+ F F F 30% 28% 43% D- F A+ F C- F A+ F B+ C+ B+ D- F F+ 17% 30% 52% A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ D+ F F+ F
0.80 50% 31% 15% -16 -2 0.66 49% 0.6 .27 28% .47 57% .26 1.01 50% 43% 42% +6 -3 1.09 6% 0.0 .00 16% .44 76% .33
Jan
2		 Loyola Marymount B- B+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 25% 39% C A+ F F F C- F+ A+ C- D+ A- C- C- B+ 44% 19% 37% F B- A F B- F D- D+ D-
1.12 61% 54% 45% +12 -1 1.24 19% 0.6 .11 17% .22 92% .21 1.09 50% 40% 35% -3 +1 0.98 19% 1.3 .24 11% .32 70% .23
Jan
4		 Oregon St. A- A+ A+ D A 39% 17% 43% C- A- A B- A F+ A C- A- C+ B+ F C+ C+ 33% 13% 53% D+ C+ B+ F C- D C- A+ B
1.24 72% 50% 30% +5 0 1.13 42% 1.1 .45 18% .41 73% .30 1.03 47% 50% 33% -3 +1 0.98 20% 1.7 .33 15% .38 67% .25
Jan
10		 St. Mary's A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 43% 12% 45% A A+ C+ B- C+ D- A C+ A D+ B C F F+ 33% 15% 52% C D- A A+ A+ A- C- F F
1.16 71% 67% 36% +11 +1 1.27 25% 1.0 .25 18% .33 74% .24 1.24 53% 38% 48% +9 0 1.21 29% 0.6 .18 20% .35 100% .35
Jan
15		 Gonzaga C- F D+ A+ A+ 32% 14% 55% A A+ B F D- F A+ F C D+ C A- C+ A- 50% 22% 28% F+ B F B D- D+ C+ C- C+
0.96 43% 33% 50% +8 0 1.18 28% 0.4 .11 25% .39 50% .20 1.27 63% 33% 33% +1 +1 1.06 47% 1.1 .53 12% .28 71% .20
Jan
18		 San Francisco A+ A+ C A+ A+ 47% 15% 38% B+ A+ D+ F F+ D F D- F F C+ D F F 33% 25% 42% A- F D F F B+ C- F D-
1.24 76% 38% 50% +18 +1 1.40 23% 0.7 .15 16% .06 67% .04 1.32 56% 42% 50% +10 -1 1.21 37% 1.4 .52 19% .34 83% .29
Jan
21		 San Diego A+ A- A C- B 40% 16% 44% C+ B- B C B- A A- A+ A+ F F C+ F F 26% 29% 45% A F F C F F B A+ A
1.31 70% 50% 32% +5 +1 1.14 40% 1.1 .43 14% .42 84% .35 1.37 73% 35% 54% +17 -2 1.31 43% 1.0 .43 9% .20 54% .11
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Pepperdine A+ A+ B A+ A+ 31% 13% 56% D+ A+ A- D+ B C- C- C C- F+ D F D+ F 31% 37% 33% A+ F B+ A A- B C+ F C-
1.34 76% 43% 43% +14 0 1.31 41% 1.0 .41 17% .25 73% .19 1.11 63% 63% 35% +11 -3 1.19 23% 0.7 .15 21% .27 87% .23
Jan
28		 Seattle C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 32% 27% 41% D- A+ D- F F F A F B A- B- A+ A+ A+ 47% 16% 37% D A+ B- D C D- C F+ D+
1.03 77% 64% 47% +21 -1 1.41 25% 0.3 .08 28% .39 63% .24 0.85 54% 13% 16% -16 +1 0.73 23% 0.9 .21 15% .29 76% .22
Jan
31		 Portland A+ A+ F A+ A+ 39% 13% 48% B A+ C A+ A A+ C A+ B C A+ F A+ A- 40% 26% 34% B+ A- D+ F F F F A+ F+
1.45 73% 14% 52% +16 +1 1.36 32% 1.5 .48 11% .30 84% .25 1.03 40% 62% 24% -6 -1 0.88 33% 1.5 .49 13% .48 57% .27
Feb
4		 Oregon St. F+ F F F+ F 32% 6% 62% B- F F A+ C- B- A+ B- A+ C B A+ A+ A+ 53% 20% 27% D- A+ F+ B- D F D- B- D
0.95 33% 0% 28% -16 +1 0.72 21% 1.4 .28 13% .44 77% .34 1.09 48% 27% 20% -13 +1 0.78 32% 1.2 .37 7% .43 74% .32
Feb
7		 Santa Clara A+ A- F A+ A+ 48% 12% 40% B+ A+ A A A+ B+ F A+ D+ F F F F F 43% 20% 38% C F B A+ A+ D D+ F D
1.30 68% 17% 48% +11 +2 1.27 41% 1.3 .52 18% .26 87% .22 1.35 75% 64% 43% +17 0 1.38 34% 0.6 .22 14% .26 81% .21



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 2.1 16.8 6.0 0.3 25.2 4th
5th 0.1 15.3 8.8 0.2 24.4 5th
6th 2.3 16.6 0.6 19.5 6th
7th 0.0 8.8 4.3 0.0 13.1 7th
8th 0.5 9.6 0.3 10.4 8th
9th 2.3 3.1 0.0 5.3 9th
10th 1.8 0.2 2.0 10th
11th 0.2 0.2 11th
12th 12th
Total 4.8 24.1 38.6 26.2 6.2 0.3 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.3% 6.0% 6.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.2
10-8 6.2% 1.2% 1.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.1
9-9 26.2% 0.5% 0.5% 14.8 0.0 0.1 26.1
8-10 38.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 38.5
7-11 24.1% 0.1% 0.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 24.0
6-12 4.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.8
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 14.4 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 2.9%