Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
95 High Point 48.1%   14   7 - 2 0 - 0 23 - 5 13 - 3 +5.4      +5.9 58 -0.5 184 74.0 62 +3.6 119 0.0 1
112 Winthrop 33.4%   5 - 5 0 - 0 18 - 10 12 - 4 +3.5      +4.7 71 -1.2 210 73.4 75 -0.3 174 0.0 1
227 UNC Asheville 5.5%   3 - 7 0 - 0 12 - 15 8 - 8 -3.7      -0.9 188 -2.8 268 67.7 229 -6.8 266 0.0 1
260 Presbyterian 3.1%   4 - 6 0 - 0 12 - 16 7 - 9 -5.5      -4.4 293 -1.0 203 59.8 365 -5.1 245 0.0 1
261 South Carolina Upstate 3.0%   4 - 6 0 - 0 12 - 16 7 - 9 -5.5      -4.3 289 -1.2 207 71.5 130 -4.7 240 0.0 1
266 Charleston Southern 2.6%   4 - 5 0 - 0 11 - 15 6 - 8 -5.6      -4.1 281 -1.5 221 72.7 94 -6.7 265 0.0 1
267 Radford 3.0%   2 - 7 0 - 0 11 - 17 7 - 9 -5.7      -2.6 238 -3.1 279 77.3 26 -13.4 338 0.0 1
310 Longwood 1.2%   4 - 6 0 - 0 10 - 18 6 - 10 -8.3      -3.2 253 -5.1 336 71.4 133 -10.0 310 0.0 1
357 Gardner-Webb 0.1%   0 - 10 0 - 0 3 - 23 2 - 12 -14.2      -7.2 342 -7.0 350 76.6 36 -15.4 348 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Dec 10 106 Miami (OH) 90 227 UNC Asheville 87   
Sat, Dec 13 136 St. Thomas 80 227 UNC Asheville 59   
Sat, Dec 13 348 Delaware St. 81 310 Longwood 76   
Sat, Dec 13 22 North Carolina 80 261 South Carolina Upstate 62   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Dec 14 259 Appalachian St. 67 95 High Point 78 84%   
Sun, Dec 14 364 Coppin St. 69 267 Radford 85 92%   
Mon, Dec 15 357 Gardner-Webb 74 244 Wofford 80 73%   
Tue, Dec 16 360 South Carolina St. 70 261 South Carolina Upstate 76 72%   
Wed, Dec 17 287 East Carolina 67 260 Presbyterian 65 56%   
Wed, Dec 17 310 Longwood 67 51 Wake Forest 89 97%   
Thu, Dec 18 267 Radford 79 121 William & Mary 91 86%   
Thu, Dec 18 266 Charleston Southern 85 344 North Florida 76 80%   
Thu, Dec 18 342 North Dakota 72 112 Winthrop 84 87%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1.5 65.1 26.1 6.2 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Winthrop 1.9 41.4 40.5 11.3 4.1 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
UNC Asheville 4.1 4.3 12.5 25.6 20.6 14.5 10.8 7.1 3.7 0.9
Presbyterian 4.9 2.0 7.0 17.3 19.1 17.7 15.3 11.7 7.6 2.3
South Carolina Upstate 4.9 1.9 7.1 17.3 19.6 17.6 15.0 11.6 7.7 2.2
Charleston Southern 6.1 0.4 2.1 7.5 11.4 14.8 18.1 20.3 20.6 4.8
Radford 5.0 1.8 6.5 16.8 18.3 17.3 15.5 12.6 8.4 2.8
Longwood 6.1 0.4 2.1 7.6 11.4 14.8 17.7 20.1 18.6 7.3
Gardner-Webb 8.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.8 8.8 21.5 63.5




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 13 - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.1 5.2 9.6 15.0 20.6 22.3 17.0 6.9
Winthrop 12 - 4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.2 2.6 5.3 9.6 14.7 18.8 19.7 16.3 8.7 2.6
UNC Asheville 8 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.1 5.9 10.0 13.6 15.6 16.7 13.5 10.0 5.5 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.1
Presbyterian 7 - 9 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.0 6.2 10.5 14.1 16.4 15.6 13.0 9.7 5.5 2.9 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 7 - 9 0.0 0.4 1.2 3.1 6.5 10.1 13.6 16.2 16.2 13.4 9.5 5.6 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.0
Charleston Southern 6 - 10 0.3 1.5 4.6 9.0 13.7 16.7 17.3 14.8 10.4 6.8 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
Radford 7 - 9 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.5 7.0 11.1 14.5 15.7 15.3 12.9 8.9 5.4 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0
Longwood 6 - 10 0.3 1.5 4.6 9.0 13.9 16.5 16.6 14.6 10.4 6.4 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0
Gardner-Webb 2 - 14 9.6 21.1 24.0 20.6 13.1 7.0 3.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 65.1% 51.2 12.7 1.1 0.1 0.0
Winthrop 41.4% 28.3 12.0 1.1 0.1 0.0
UNC Asheville 4.3% 2.0 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
Presbyterian 2.0% 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 1.9% 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Charleston Southern 0.4% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Radford 1.8% 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Longwood 0.4% 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Gardner-Webb


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 48.1% 48.1% 0.0% 14   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 3.6 13.0 18.0 10.3 2.4 0.2 51.9 0.0%
Winthrop 33.4% 33.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.5 4.2 11.5 11.7 4.7 0.7 66.6 0.0%
UNC Asheville 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 2.9 94.5 0.0%
Presbyterian 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.8 96.9 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.8 97.0 0.0%
Charleston Southern 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 97.4 0.0%
Radford 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.5 97.0 0.0%
Longwood 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 98.8 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 48.1% 0.0% 48.1% 6.7% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 33.4% 0.2% 33.3% 3.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 5.5% 2.0% 4.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 3.1% 1.1% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 3.0% 1.1% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 2.6% 1.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 3.0% 1.8% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 96.4% 1.0 3.6 96.4
2nd Round 10.1% 0.1 89.9 10.1
Sweet Sixteen 2.0% 0.0 98.0 2.0
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0