Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
96 High Point 52.7%   13   15 - 4 6 - 1 +5.5      +6.1 56 -0.5 182 72.1 93 +3.5 112 +7.2 1
124 Winthrop 27.0%   12 - 8 7 - 1 +2.1      +2.1 116 0.0 166 71.6 104 +1.2 143 +6.8 2
203 UNC Asheville 6.6%   6 - 12 3 - 4 -2.7      -1.9 218 -0.9 202 66.5 246 -5.6 244 -4.2 5
230 Charleston Southern 3.9%   8 - 11 2 - 5 -4.0      -3.0 258 -1.1 213 76.2 30 -6.2 264 -10.6 7
255 Radford 3.2%   8 - 11 4 - 3 -5.1      -0.3 171 -4.9 314 75.6 33 -7.8 290 -3.3 4
261 Longwood 3.2%   9 - 10 4 - 3 -5.3      -2.6 242 -2.7 261 70.7 133 -6.1 259 -1.8 3
268 Presbyterian 2.6%   8 - 11 4 - 3 -5.9      -3.4 269 -2.5 254 62.6 337 -5.7 247 -4.4 6
307 South Carolina Upstate 0.8%   6 - 13 1 - 6 -8.5      -6.3 327 -2.2 243 69.8 156 -9.1 316 -15.6 9
363 Gardner-Webb 0.0%   1 - 18 1 - 6 -18.1      -9.2 359 -8.9 361 74.3 51 -18.5 358 -15.4 8


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Jan 24 268 Presbyterian 72 124 Winthrop 82   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Jan 29 230 Charleston Southern 85 255 Radford 81 65%   
Thu, Jan 29 261 Longwood 74 307 South Carolina Upstate 73 51%   
Thu, Jan 29 96 High Point 82 268 Presbyterian 68 91%   
Thu, Jan 29 363 Gardner-Webb 66 203 UNC Asheville 84 95%   
Sat, Jan 31 203 UNC Asheville 71 124 Winthrop 79 77%   
Sat, Jan 31 268 Presbyterian 77 255 Radford 74 58%   
Sat, Jan 31 96 High Point 84 261 Longwood 76 77%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1.2 77.5 21.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Winthrop 1.6 40.4 57.4 1.9 0.3 0.0
UNC Asheville 4.0 0.2 3.1 41.2 26.9 16.1 9.2 2.9 0.5 0.0
Charleston Southern 6.3 0.0 3.5 7.2 12.3 21.0 40.0 15.6 0.3
Radford 4.4 0.2 2.1 29.5 25.3 20.9 14.5 6.6 1.0 0.0
Longwood 4.2 0.3 2.9 34.3 25.5 18.8 12.6 4.5 1.0 0.0
Presbyterian 4.8 0.2 1.4 18.8 22.8 24.1 22.6 9.0 1.2 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 7.4 0.0 0.5 1.6 3.6 8.3 24.9 57.9 3.4
Gardner-Webb 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.7 10.1 89.1

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 14 - 2 23 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.3 10.4 24.2 36.0 25.3
Winthrop 13 - 3 18 - 10 0.0 0.5 2.9 9.9 22.7 32.3 25.2 6.6
UNC Asheville 9 - 7 12 - 15 0.0 0.2 1.2 5.6 14.2 25.4 28.2 18.5 6.0 0.7
Charleston Southern 6 - 9 12 - 15 0.8 4.6 13.4 23.2 25.8 20.2 9.2 2.6 0.2
Radford 8 - 8 12 - 16 0.2 2.7 10.2 20.9 26.5 21.8 12.4 4.4 0.9 0.1
Longwood 8 - 8 13 - 15 0.3 2.3 8.5 18.7 24.9 23.2 14.4 6.0 1.4 0.2
Presbyterian 8 - 8 12 - 16 0.4 5.1 15.8 26.3 26.6 16.4 7.0 2.1 0.4 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 4 - 12 9 - 19 0.9 7.7 20.2 27.0 23.8 13.7 5.2 1.3 0.2 0.0
Gardner-Webb 2 - 13 2 - 25 51.0 34.5 11.5 2.6 0.3 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 77.5% 59.3 17.9 0.3 0.0
Winthrop 40.4% 22.3 17.8 0.3 0.0
UNC Asheville 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
Charleston Southern
Radford 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
Longwood 0.3% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Presbyterian 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.0
South Carolina Upstate
Gardner-Webb


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 52.7% 52.7% 0.0% 13   2.2 17.5 23.8 8.7 0.6 0.0 47.3 0.0%
Winthrop 27.0% 27.0% 0.0% 0.1 2.2 9.7 11.8 3.1 0.1 73.0 0.0%
UNC Asheville 6.6% 6.6% 0.0% 0.1 0.4 1.9 4.2 93.4 0.0%
Charleston Southern 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.6 96.1 0.0%
Radford 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.5 96.8 0.0%
Longwood 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.2 96.8 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.1 97.4 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.8 99.2 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 95.9% 1.0 4.1 95.9
2nd Round 7.7% 0.1 92.3 7.7
Sweet Sixteen 1.1% 0.0 98.9 1.1
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 52.7% 0.0% 52.7% 6.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 27.0% 0.0% 27.0% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 6.6% 2.7% 5.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 3.9% 1.7% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 3.2% 1.7% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 3.2% 1.2% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 2.6% 1.5% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%