Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.0 #230
Expected Predictive Rating -6.2 #264
Pace 76.2 #30
Improvement +0.6 #155

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #258 C+ D C- D- B
Defense #213 B C+ F D B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #225 1.13 #200 -1.5 #236
2 Pt. Jumpers 12% #338 0.72 #225 -3.6 #340
Three Pointers 52% #18 1.07 #100 +6.9 #17
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #125 +1.9 #125
Freethrows 0.26 #301 65% #352 0.17 #335
Second Chance 27.4% #268 0.89 #345 0.24 #330
Turnovers 17.3% #240
Total Offense -3.0 #258

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #88 1.05 #56 +0.2 #163
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #35 0.70 #89 -1.7 #306
Three Pointers 31% #362 0.99 #135 +5.5 #12
1st FG Attempt 0.94 #55 +4.1 #57
Freethrows 0.37 #335 70% #75 0.26 #325
Second Chance 28.6% #105 1.05 #196 0.30 #129
Turnovers 11.4% #363
Total Defense -1.1 #213

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.0% #56 -1.1% #86
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.5% #153 -7.2% #58
Possession Length 15.4 #31 16.6 #62
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #302 0.17 #187
Improvement -0.7 #221 +1.4 #97

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 4.4% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 16.7% 23.1% 4.9%
.500 or above in Conference 12.1% 17.3% 2.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.5% 2.5%
First Four1.7% 1.6% 1.9%
First Round3.2% 3.7% 2.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Radford (Home) - 64.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 31 - 62 - 9
Quad 410 - 713 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 60 @Virginia Tech L 67 - 98 7% -13  0 - 1 -19 -6 C F C- -9 B F F
 Mon, Nov 10 351 @The Citadel W 96 - 86 71% +0  1 - 1 +0 +14 B C+ C+ -15 F A+ F
 Thu, Nov 13 298 @Alabama A&M L 64 - 68 53% -5  1 - 2 -9 -10 D C- F +1 A- F B+
 Fri, Nov 14 247 Lindenwood L 77 - 83 53% +6  1 - 3 -11 -4 C+ F D- -6 D+ A+ F
 Tue, Nov 18 340 IU Indianapolis W 103 - 91 83% +13  2 - 3 -2 +6 B+ C D+ -10 B C F
 Fri, Nov 21 253 @East Carolina W 77 - 65 43% +7  3 - 3 +10 +6 A- F A- +4 B- C- D-
 Fri, Nov 28 78 @South Carolina L 62 - 74 9% -4  3 - 4 -1 -6 D+ F+ C +5 A+ C F
 Tue, Dec 2 229 @Tennessee Martin L 56 - 73 38% +7  3 - 5 -18 -11 D- F+ F -8 C A+ D
 Mon, Dec 8 359 South Carolina St. W 84 - 44 90% +15  4 - 5 +22 +5 C+ F C- +18 A+ A+ C+
 Thu, Dec 18 348 North Florida W 113 - 90 85% +12  5 - 5 +8 +12 A+ F D -8 B- B- F
 Sun, Dec 21 159 @Furman L 76 - 84 25% -6  5 - 6 -5 +1 C D- B+ -5 B D F
 Sun, Dec 28 121 @Richmond W 77 - 72 18% +4  6 - 6 +11 +4 C C- D+ +7 A A+ D
 Wed, Dec 31 363 @Gardner-Webb W 89 - 79 85% -1  7 - 6 1 - 0 -5 +4 C C D -10 B+ F F
 Sat, Jan 3 203 UNC Asheville W 86 - 83 57% +6  8 - 6 2 - 0 -3 +8 A+ A- F -11 A+ F F
 Wed, Jan 7 124 @Winthrop L 77 - 81 19% +2  8 - 7 2 - 1 +1 -2 F A- A+ +3 A- B- C-
 Sat, Jan 10 96 High Point L 82 - 84 OT 26% +2  8 - 8 2 - 2 +1 -4 D+ F+ A +5 A+ A D
 Wed, Jan 14 307 South Carolina Upstate L 81 - 86 OT 76% +1  8 - 9 2 - 3 -16 -5 B+ F C- -11 A- F F
 Wed, Jan 21 268 @Presbyterian L 83 - 87 46% -8  8 - 10 2 - 4 -7 +5 B- A- C- -12 F A- F
 Fri, Jan 23 261 @Longwood L 79 - 81 OT 43% -6  8 - 11 2 - 5 -4 -6 C D F +2 B- A+ C
 Thu, Jan 29 255 Radford W 85 - 81 65%
 Wed, Feb 4 96 @High Point L 76 - 89 12%
 Sat, Feb 7 307 @South Carolina Upstate W 76 - 75 56%
 Thu, Feb 12 268 Presbyterian W 75 - 70 68%
 Sat, Feb 14 255 @Radford L 82 - 84 43%
 Sat, Feb 21 261 Longwood W 80 - 76 65%
 Thu, Feb 26 124 Winthrop L 78 - 81 38%
 Sat, Feb 28 203 @UNC Asheville L 73 - 77 34%
Totals 12 - 15 6 - 9 -4 -3 C+ D C- -1 B C+ F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 1.8 0.2 3.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.9 4.6 0.7 0.0 7.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 8.3 2.8 0.1 12.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.4 10.5 8.6 0.4 21.0 6th
7th 0.8 6.7 17.5 13.7 1.4 40.0 7th
8th 0.7 3.7 6.6 4.3 0.4 15.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 9th
Total 0.8 4.6 13.4 23.2 25.8 20.2 9.2 2.6 0.2 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.2% 14.6% 14.6% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
9-7 2.6% 6.8% 6.8% 14.5 0.1 0.1 2.4
8-8 9.2% 6.2% 6.2% 15.2 0.0 0.4 0.1 8.7
7-9 20.2% 5.8% 5.8% 15.5 0.0 0.6 0.6 19.1
6-10 25.8% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.0 0.9 24.9
5-11 23.2% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.7 22.5
4-12 13.4% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 13.1
3-13 4.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.5
2-14 0.8% 0.8
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 15.6 96.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%