Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -5.0 247
Results Rating -7.0 278
Consistency 0.15 143
Pace 77.0 16
Improvement -0.1 189

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 243 C+ D D+ D- B
Defense C- 247 B- C F D B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 189 C 57% 196 -0.5 200
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 343 D+ 36% 264 -4.0 346
Three Pointers 51% 19 B- 36% 105 +6.3 21
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.2 35 C +0.6 138
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.06 116
Second Chance C- 28.2% 239 D- 0.91 334 D 0.26 296
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.6% 294
Other Turnovers C- 7.7% 253
Turnovers D+ 18.4% 293
Freethrows D 0.26 321 F+ 66% 353 D- 0.17 350
Total Offense C- -2.8 243

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 47% 207 B- 9.5% 107
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 19% 258 D- 7.8% 327
Three Pointers D+ 79% 280 C 0.9% 185
Total C+ 58% 128 B- 5.0% 105


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 97 B 53% 57 -0.2 167
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 29 C+ 38% 157 +2.4 338
Three Pointers 31% 362 C+ 33% 148 -5.4 6
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.6 75 B- -2.6 72
1st FG Attempt B- 0.96 64
Second Chance C 29.8% 165 C- 1.05 223 C 0.31 200
Turnovers from Steals F+ 6.1% 358
Other Turnovers D- 5.9% 339
Turnovers F 12.1% 364
Freethrows D 0.35 317 C+ 71% 114 D 0.25 304
Total Defense C- -2.3 247

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B+ 39% 27 B 14.9% 53
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 17% 30 C- 4.1% 214
Three Pointers B 79% 47 D+ 0.3% 298
Total A 43% 8 B 7.4% 52

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.1 50 16.5 40
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 298 0.18 204
Consistency 0.12 175 0.12 156
Improvement +0.4 174 -0.5 211

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 247 247 247
Results Rating Rank 278 278 277
Conference Record 6 - 10 6 - 10 6 - 10
Conference Finish 7 7 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 33 - 8
Quad 49 - 912 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 56 @Virginia Tech L 67 - 98 5% -13  12% 0 - 1 F+ -18 F+ -9 C- F D+ D -5 B+ F F
 Mon, Nov 10 341 @The Citadel W 96 - 86 67% +0  43% 1 - 1 C +0 A +12 B C+ B F -12 F A+ F
 Thu, Nov 13 311 @Alabama A&M L 64 - 68 55% -5  20% 1 - 2 D -10 F -15 D- D+ F B +5 A F A-
 Fri, Nov 14 272 Lindenwood L 77 - 83 55% +6  73% 1 - 3 D- -12 D- -7 B- F D- D -5 D A F
 Tue, Nov 18 327 IU Indianapolis W 103 - 91 80% +13  84% 2 - 3 C- -2 C+ +3 B+ B- D+ D- -7 B D+ F
 Fri, Nov 21 235 @East Carolina W 77 - 65 37% +7  99% 3 - 3 B +11 C +2 A- F A A +9 B+ C D-
 Fri, Nov 28 94 @South Carolina L 62 - 74 10% -4  7% 3 - 4 C- -3 F+ -9 D F B- B+ +6 A C F
 Tue, Dec 2 232 @Tennessee Martin L 56 - 73 36% -5  15% 3 - 5 F -18 F -12 F D+ D D- -7 B B- F
 Mon, Dec 8 356 South Carolina St. W 84 - 44 89% +15  72% 4 - 5 A +21 C+ +3 C+ F C+ A+ +19 A+ A+ C+
 Thu, Dec 18 339 North Florida W 113 - 90 84% +12  99% 5 - 5 B- +8 A- +11 A+ F D D- -7 C B- F
 Sun, Dec 21 182 @Furman L 76 - 84 26% -6  10% 5 - 6 D+ -6 D+ -3 C- D B D+ -3 B D F
 Sun, Dec 28 141 @Richmond W 77 - 72 20% +4  83% 6 - 6 B +9 C -0 C- D+ C- A +9 A- A+ D+
 Wed, Dec 31 361 @Gardner-Webb W 89 - 79 83% -1  51% 7 - 6 1 - 0 D+ -5 C+ +2 C+ C+ C- D- -8 A- F F
 Sat, Jan 3 236 UNC Asheville W 86 - 83 60% +6  95% 8 - 6 2 - 0 C- -5 B- +5 A+ A F F+ -9 A+ F F
 Wed, Jan 7 153 @Winthrop L 77 - 81 21% +2  56% 8 - 7 2 - 1 C -1 D -5 F A A B +4 A C+ D
 Sat, Jan 10 92 High Point L 82 - 84 OT 23% +2  61% 8 - 8 2 - 2 C +1 D -5 C F A+ B+ +6 A A- D-
 Wed, Jan 14 306 South Carolina Upstate L 81 - 86 OT 74% +1  59% 8 - 9 2 - 3 F+ -17 D- -7 A F C+ F+ -9 A- F F
 Wed, Jan 21 266 @Presbyterian L 83 - 87 42% -8  5% 8 - 10 2 - 4 D+ -7 C+ +3 B- A- C+ F -10 F A- F
 Fri, Jan 23 264 @Longwood L 79 - 81 OT 41% -6  10% 8 - 11 2 - 5 C- -5 D- -8 C D+ F B +4 C+ A+ B-
 Thu, Jan 29 252 Radford L 75 - 84 62% -8  6% 8 - 12 2 - 6 F+ -17 F -13 F F+ D C- -3 C+ F+ C
 Wed, Feb 4 92 @High Point L 55 - 80 10% -11  7% 8 - 13 2 - 7 F+ -16 F -18 C+ F F B- +2 B C- D
 Sat, Feb 7 306 @South Carolina Upstate L 94 - 100 OT 53% +0  48% 8 - 14 2 - 8 D- -12 A- +10 B- A+ F F -22 F B F
 Thu, Feb 12 266 Presbyterian W 84 - 67 65% +8  94% 9 - 14 3 - 8 B- +8 B+ +8 B+ A+ F C+ +1 B C- B-
 Sat, Feb 14 252 @Radford L 80 - 90 39% -14  3% 9 - 15 3 - 9 D- -12 D -5 B- F D+ D- -7 F D- C-
 Tue, Feb 17 361 Gardner-Webb W 75 - 66 92% +10  99% 10 - 15 4 - 9 D- -12 F -15 F D B B- +2 C- A+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 264 Longwood L 96 - 107 2OT 64% +5  79% 10 - 16 4 - 10 F -20 C +0 A+ B F F -18 B+ F F
 Thu, Feb 26 153 Winthrop W 86 - 84 41% +4  83% 11 - 16 5 - 10 C -1 C- -2 B- F+ D- C+ +1 B+ D+ B-
 Sat, Feb 28 236 @UNC Asheville W 92 - 75 37% +3  56% 12 - 16 6 - 10 A- +15 A+ +15 A+ F F C -0 C C F
 Fri, Mar 6 153 Winthrop L 81 - 86 30% +2  69% 12 - 17 C- -5 D+ -3 D D- A+ C- -2 A+ F F
Totals 12 - 17 6 - 10 -5 C- -3 F+ C B C- -2 B- F+ D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C D+ B- C 38% 20% 51% B C+ C- D- D D+ D F+ D- C- B C+ C+ B- 42% 27% 31% B- B- C C- C F D C+ D
1.05 57% 36% 36% +1 +1 1.06 28% 0.9 .26 18% .26 66% .17 1.12 53% 38% 33% -3 -1 0.96 30% 1.1 .31 12% .35 71% .19
Nov
3		 Virginia Tech F+ F F A D+ 38% 14% 48% B+ C- C F F D+ C F+ D+ D D- A B- B 32% 29% 39% A B+ F F F F F+ B+ D
0.86 41% 13% 39% -6 +1 0.91 29% 0.5 .16 19% .24 67% .16 1.26 70% 28% 33% 0 -2 1.00 41% 1.4 .57 9% .38 70% .27
Nov
10		 The Citadel A C+ A A B- 45% 7% 47% B B B+ D- C+ B B+ A A- F F F F F 35% 33% 33% A F A A+ A+ F F C F
1.33 64% 50% 42% +9 +2 1.25 40% 0.9 .37 12% .33 76% .25 1.19 67% 53% 41% +11 -2 1.21 19% 0.7 .13 11% .47 67% .31
Nov
13		 Alabama A&M F B F F F+ 41% 11% 48% B- D- B+ F D+ F B- F D B A+ D- D+ A 41% 34% 25% B- A F F F A- A+ F B+
0.92 67% 20% 29% -2 +1 1.00 38% 0.8 .30 26% .37 58% .21 0.98 26% 42% 36% -11 -2 0.77 38% 1.2 .45 20% .22 92% .20
Nov
14		 Lindenwood D- A A+ F+ C+ 41% 4% 55% A- B- D- F F D- F D+ F D B- D- F F+ 40% 32% 28% A D B A+ A F F C- F
0.99 70% 50% 29% +1 +2 1.09 25% 0.7 .18 20% .26 69% .18 1.06 52% 39% 38% -1 -1 0.98 27% 0.8 .23 14% .46 68% .31
Nov
18		 IU Indianapolis C+ A+ A+ C+ B+ 33% 7% 60% C- B+ D+ A+ B- D+ A- F C- D- D- A+ A+ B+ 38% 23% 39% C- B B- F D+ F F A+ D+
1.25 78% 75% 36% +11 +1 1.27 33% 1.5 .48 21% .46 60% .28 1.10 65% 25% 26% -5 0 0.91 24% 1.3 .33 5% .26 60% .15
Nov
21		 East Carolina C C F A+ A 22% 22% 56% D A- F F F A D- B D A C B- A+ B+ 47% 33% 20% C+ B+ A F C D- D- A+ B
1.10 58% 25% 48% +9 -1 1.18 15% 0.8 .12 13% .21 77% .16 0.92 54% 35% 10% -10 -1 0.80 26% 1.3 .34 14% .40 54% .22
Nov
28		 South Carolina F+ D+ D+ F F+ 43% 10% 47% A D B- F F B- F F F B+ D D A+ A+ 37% 24% 39% B- A A+ F C F D- B- D
0.88 54% 33% 25% -9 +2 0.88 30% 0.5 .14 14% .13 63% .08 1.05 65% 46% 14% -7 -1 0.87 19% 1.7 .32 7% .38 76% .29
Dec
2		 Tennessee Martin F B B- F F 19% 10% 71% B- F C- D D+ D F F F D- D+ A+ B+ B+ 27% 15% 58% C- B F+ A B- F F F F
0.85 67% 40% 24% -9 0 0.83 31% 0.8 .26 21% .23 58% .13 1.11 62% 14% 29% -7 0 0.88 40% 0.7 .27 12% .55 78% .43
Dec
8		 South Carolina St. C+ F F A+ C+ 34% 9% 57% C- C+ D+ F F C+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ 28% 52% 20% A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ C+ F A+ A-
1.23 50% 25% 44% +5 +1 1.15 34% 0.7 .24 16% .52 80% .42 0.64 31% 25% 33% -15 -5 0.63 28% 0.5 .13 22% .45 38% .17
Dec
18		 North Florida A- A+ A- A+ A+ 25% 10% 65% C- A+ F F F D C+ A+ B+ D- C C C C 40% 16% 44% C- C A+ F B- F F D+ F
1.41 80% 50% 51% +24 0 1.50 23% 1.0 .23 15% .29 85% .25 1.12 56% 40% 33% -1 +1 1.02 16% 1.5 .24 11% .35 80% .28
Dec
21		 Furman D+ B C- F D+ 43% 8% 49% A C- D- C D B F F F D+ B+ A- D+ B 38% 21% 41% B+ B A+ F D F F F F
1.02 63% 40% 26% -4 +2 0.98 23% 1.0 .23 12% .14 56% .08 1.13 52% 33% 35% -3 0 0.96 20% 1.8 .35 11% .39 77% .30
Dec
28		 Richmond C A F F+ D 31% 11% 58% A- C- B F D+ C- A F B A A+ A- F A- 29% 39% 31% A A- C A+ A+ D+ F F F
1.06 71% 17% 28% -4 +1 0.96 36% 0.9 .31 18% .39 65% .25 1.00 47% 30% 44% -2 -3 0.92 24% 0.2 .05 12% .46 86% .39
Dec
31		 Gardner-Webb C+ D- A+ A- C 48% 12% 40% B C+ D- A+ C+ C- A+ F+ A+ D- A+ F D+ A 48% 13% 38% D A- F+ F F F F F F
1.21 54% 67% 40% +5 +2 1.16 29% 1.4 .41 16% .50 68% .34 1.07 28% 43% 35% -13 +2 0.79 28% 1.4 .38 14% .52 88% .46
Jan
3		 UNC Asheville B- A+ A A- A+ 53% 9% 38% A A+ A+ B- A F A+ F A- F+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 42% 32% 26% F+ A+ F F F F F C- F
1.19 72% 50% 39% +11 +3 1.30 42% 1.0 .42 22% .52 52% .27 1.15 33% 38% 23% -15 -1 0.70 44% 1.3 .58 11% .61 69% .42
Jan
7		 Winthrop D F+ A F F 43% 10% 47% A- F C+ A+ A A C+ F F+ B B- A- A+ A+ 54% 12% 34% F+ A D+ A- C+ D F A+ C-
1.00 48% 50% 19% -14 +2 0.78 30% 1.5 .45 12% .34 57% .19 1.05 50% 29% 20% -13 +2 0.81 36% 0.9 .32 13% .46 61% .28
Jan
10		 High Point D F A+ A C- 46% 10% 44% B+ C F B- F A+ F F F B+ C+ A+ C A 49% 25% 25% B+ A C A+ A- D- F A+ F
1.01 41% 67% 39% -1 +2 1.03 19% 1.1 .21 15% .22 60% .13 1.04 59% 13% 33% -6 0 0.90 31% 0.8 .25 11% .56 60% .33
Jan
14		 South Carolina Upstate D- A+ A- C A 44% 16% 40% C+ A F F F C+ A F D+ F+ A+ C- A A- 46% 37% 17% A A- D F F F F+ A- D
1.02 72% 44% 35% +8 +1 1.19 19% 0.0 .00 15% .37 52% .19 1.08 41% 39% 27% -9 -1 0.81 33% 1.3 .41 10% .35 64% .22
Jan
21		 Presbyterian C+ D+ F A C+ 41% 7% 52% B+ B- D A+ A- C+ F F F F F D+ F F 40% 36% 23% A- F A+ F+ A- F F A F
1.13 54% 25% 40% +2 +2 1.10 26% 1.6 .42 15% .13 38% .05 1.18 68% 41% 55% +13 -2 1.23 20% 1.2 .23 12% .56 61% .34
Jan
23		 Longwood D- F+ D A C- 35% 6% 59% B C C+ F D+ F C- D- D B A D F+ C+ 51% 33% 16% C+ C+ A+ B A+ B- F F F
0.97 53% 33% 41% +4 +2 1.13 30% 0.7 .21 27% .33 65% .22 0.99 46% 41% 38% -4 -1 0.92 21% 0.9 .18 21% .52 82% .43
Jan
29		 Radford F C- F F F 42% 6% 52% B+ F C F F+ D A+ F A+ C- A+ F F C+ 45% 31% 24% B+ C+ C F F+ C F F F
0.96 57% 0% 27% -8 +2 0.90 33% 0.7 .23 20% .58 61% .35 1.07 41% 47% 42% -2 -1 0.96 29% 1.3 .37 18% .51 79% .40
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 High Point F A+ D D C+ 29% 7% 63% C+ C+ B- F F F F A+ F B- C A A B+ 58% 15% 27% D- B D+ C+ C- D B C B-
0.78 75% 33% 31% +2 +1 1.07 35% 0.6 .19 41% .17 86% .14 1.14 59% 25% 27% -4 +2 0.98 33% 1.1 .36 11% .32 75% .24
Feb
7		 South Carolina Upstate A- A- A+ D- B- 37% 5% 58% B B- A+ B A+ F C- A+ B- F A- F F F 45% 23% 32% C- F D A+ B F D- F F
1.22 67% 67% 30% +1 +2 1.09 47% 1.3 .61 22% .28 82% .23 1.30 46% 64% 45% +6 0 1.15 33% 0.6 .21 4% .34 80% .27
Feb
12		 Presbyterian B+ A+ F D B 57% 4% 39% A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ F D+ B C- C+ D+ A A+ B 46% 36% 18% B B D- B C- B- F A F
1.24 71% 0% 32% +5 +3 1.18 50% 1.3 .65 22% .27 71% .19 0.99 61% 28% 22% -6 -1 0.88 37% 0.9 .34 21% .52 61% .32
Feb
14		 Radford D F A+ A+ C+ 46% 3% 51% A B- F D+ F D+ F F F D- D+ F F F 38% 26% 36% B+ F C- F D- C- C- B+ C+
1.04 44% 50% 47% +4 +3 1.15 22% 1.0 .22 19% .13 38% .05 1.17 60% 50% 42% +8 -1 1.17 31% 1.2 .36 17% .37 67% .25
Feb
17		 Gardner-Webb F F F F+ F 59% 7% 34% A+ F F+ B- D B B- F C- B- F+ B- A+ D+ 43% 17% 40% C C- B+ A+ A+ F A D A-
1.01 50% 0% 30% -9 +3 0.90 28% 1.2 .33 13% .31 65% .20 0.89 65% 30% 25% -4 +1 0.97 18% 0.1 .02 13% .17 73% .12
Feb
21		 Longwood C B+ A+ A+ A 49% 4% 47% A A+ C A B F C- C- C- F A+ F B B+ 40% 31% 29% B B+ F D- F F F F F
1.13 69% 50% 44% +13 +3 1.34 29% 1.1 .32 24% .34 68% .23 1.26 37% 48% 30% -7 -1 0.85 43% 1.1 .47 9% .45 91% .42
Feb
26		 Winthrop C- F A+ A C+ 39% 8% 52% A- B- C+ F F+ D- C F F+ C+ A+ A+ F+ A- 45% 17% 38% C B+ F A- D+ B- F A+ F+
1.07 42% 80% 41% +2 +2 1.10 30% 0.7 .20 19% .32 57% .18 1.05 37% 20% 39% -10 +1 0.85 42% 0.9 .38 16% .51 65% .33
Feb
28		 UNC Asheville A+ B F A+ A+ 47% 9% 45% B+ A+ F D- F F A+ C- A C C- F A+ C 36% 34% 30% D C B- D C F F A+ F
1.30 64% 25% 67% +23 +2 1.53 21% 0.8 .17 21% .43 67% .29 1.06 59% 56% 21% +1 -2 1.00 27% 1.1 .30 13% .52 59% .31
Mar
6		 Winthrop D+ D- F D+ F+ 47% 12% 42% A- D F A+ D- A+ C F D+ C- C+ A- A+ A+ 25% 42% 33% A+ A+ B- F F F F+ F F
1.05 50% 29% 32% -6 +2 0.93 15% 1.4 .22 6% .33 67% .22 1.11 53% 28% 15% -15 -4 0.65 31% 1.5 .47 9% .43 87% .37



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 100.0% 100.0
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%