Radford
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -5.1 #255
Expected Predictive Rating -7.8 #290
Pace 75.6 #33
Improvement +3.5 #38

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #171 C D+ C B C+
Defense #314 D D C D+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #214 1.12 #217 -1.4 #233
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #292 0.71 #250 -2.3 #296
Three Pointers 48% #54 1.01 #204 +3.0 #82
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #196 -0.7 #193
Freethrows 0.36 #28 72% #187 0.26 #37
Second Chance 27.5% #266 1.02 #217 0.28 #255
Turnovers 16.9% #209
Total Offense -0.3 #171

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #111 1.16 #181 -1.7 #240
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #294 0.79 #239 +1.1 #113
Three Pointers 42% #153 1.15 #337 -3.3 #313
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #302 -3.9 #303
Freethrows 0.34 #296 72% #167 0.24 #290
Second Chance 33.2% #290 1.17 #319 0.39 #327
Turnovers 17.0% #144
Total Defense -4.9 #314

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.2% #106 1.4% #296
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -2.6% #216 6.1% #293
Possession Length 16.3 #77 17.0 #121
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 #85 0.19 #251
Improvement +3.3 #33 +0.2 #179

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 4.0% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 13.1% 25.4% 6.4%
.500 or above in Conference 66.1% 86.3% 55.1%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four1.7% 1.7% 1.7%
First Round2.4% 3.3% 2.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charleston Southern (Away) - 35.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 61 - 11
Quad 412 - 513 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 360 Western Illinois W 80 - 75 88% +5  1 - 0 -13 +11 B- A B -23 F F C+
 Tue, Nov 11 29 @North Carolina L 74 - 89 3% -11  1 - 1 +3 -3 D C- C +8 A+ B- C+
 Sat, Nov 15 153 Wright St. L 59 - 92 29% -13  1 - 2 -32 -17 F+ F F+ -14 F D C+
 Sun, Nov 16 320 Cleveland St. L 82 - 87 66% +9  1 - 3 -15 -11 F D+ F+ -3 D B- C+
 Tue, Nov 18 78 @South Carolina L 58 - 87 8% -15  1 - 4 -18 -10 F D+ F -8 D F B-
 Fri, Nov 21 122 UNC Wilmington L 73 - 81 32% -8  1 - 5 -8 -0 B- D F -8 F D- A+
 Mon, Nov 24 36 @SMU L 72 - 89 3% -11  1 - 6 -0 -2 F B- A +4 A- F+ A+
 Wed, Dec 3 262 Southern Miss L 75 - 82 62% -6  1 - 7 -15 -5 F D+ B+ -10 C+ C- C+
 Sun, Dec 7 355 St. Francis (PA) W 89 - 56 86% +17  2 - 7 +16 +9 C A C+ +7 B- B+ B
 Sun, Dec 14 364 Coppin St. W 107 - 77 94% +12  3 - 7 +7 +12 A+ C+ D- -8 F C- A+
 Thu, Dec 18 132 @William & Mary L 83 - 96 18% -3  3 - 8 -8 +2 D+ B- C+ -9 B- F D-
 Sun, Dec 21 353 VMI W 97 - 90 85% +2  4 - 8 -9 +11 A+ A- D -20 F F B
 Wed, Dec 31 307 @South Carolina Upstate W 76 - 69 51% +4  5 - 8 1 - 0 +2 -1 C- C F +2 B D- B-
 Wed, Jan 7 268 Presbyterian W 80 - 61 64% +6  6 - 8 2 - 0 +10 +14 A- F+ A- -1 B C F
 Sat, Jan 10 203 UNC Asheville L 72 - 91 52% -9  6 - 9 2 - 1 -25 -7 F F+ A+ -17 F A C-
 Wed, Jan 14 363 @Gardner-Webb W 89 - 80 83% +5  7 - 9 3 - 1 -6 +8 D D- B+ -14 D- F+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 261 Longwood W 85 - 83 62% +11  8 - 9 4 - 1 -6 +8 B+ F+ B- -15 F F B-
 Wed, Jan 21 124 @Winthrop L 75 - 76 17% +2  8 - 10 4 - 2 +4 +5 A+ D- F -1 F B+ B
 Fri, Jan 23 96 High Point L 83 - 93 23% -1  8 - 11 4 - 3 -7 +4 A D- F -11 F A- F+
 Thu, Jan 29 230 @Charleston Southern L 81 - 85 35%
 Sat, Jan 31 268 @Presbyterian L 75 - 77 42%
 Wed, Feb 4 124 Winthrop L 81 - 85 34%
 Sat, Feb 7 96 @High Point L 78 - 92 10%
 Sat, Feb 14 230 Charleston Southern W 84 - 82 57%
 Thu, Feb 19 363 Gardner-Webb W 91 - 75 93%
 Sat, Feb 21 203 @UNC Asheville L 75 - 80 31%
 Thu, Feb 26 307 South Carolina Upstate W 81 - 75 72%
 Sat, Feb 28 261 @Longwood L 80 - 83 39%
Totals 12 - 16 8 - 8 -5 +0 C D+ C -5 D D C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.4 11.7 10.6 3.3 0.4 29.5 3rd
4th 0.0 2.2 12.9 9.0 1.2 0.0 25.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 9.9 9.1 1.1 0.0 20.9 5th
6th 0.2 5.1 7.9 1.2 0.0 14.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.8 4.1 0.7 0.0 6.6 7th
8th 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
Total 0.2 2.7 10.2 20.9 26.5 21.8 12.4 4.4 0.9 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 46.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-4 9.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.1% 0.1
12-4 0.9% 11.5% 11.5% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8
11-5 4.4% 6.4% 6.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 4.1
10-6 12.4% 5.3% 5.3% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 11.7
9-7 21.8% 3.8% 3.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 21.0
8-8 26.5% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.8 25.7
7-9 20.9% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.4 20.5
6-10 10.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 10.1
5-11 2.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.6
4-12 0.2% 0.2
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 15.8 96.8 0.0%