Winthrop
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +0.4 154
Results Rating +1.1 136
Consistency 0.14 123
Pace 73.6 49
Improvement -4.6 332

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 142 D+ B- B- B+ B
Defense C 192 C C C- D+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 163 D- 51% 330 -2.4 272
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 323 D 33% 319 -3.4 332
Three Pointers 47% 50 C- 33% 219 +2.8 84
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +0.9 64 D -3.8 309
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 273
Second Chance B- 33.1% 97 C 1.05 146 B- 0.35 96
Opponents' Steals B 7.9% 40
Other Turnovers C 7.1% 168
Turnovers B- 15.0% 79
Freethrows A- 0.37 16 C+ 74% 140 B+ 0.27 23
Total Offense C +0.9 142

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 160 C 11.3% 201
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 163 C- 5.8% 242
Three Pointers D+ 79% 283 C- 1.0% 239
Total C+ 58% 110 C 5.7% 199


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 247 C+ 57% 141 -1.6 117
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 219 F+ 44% 348 +0.7 244
Three Pointers 44% 82 C+ 33% 150 +1.2 256
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 178 C +0.3 193
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 192
Second Chance B- 28.1% 92 D+ 1.10 284 C 0.31 180
Turnovers from Steals C- 9.1% 201
Other Turnovers C 7.1% 188
Turnovers C- 16.2% 210
Freethrows D+ 0.33 263 D+ 74% 280 D+ 0.24 277
Total Defense C -0.5 192

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 43% 70 C- 9.9% 216
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 19% 53 D+ 3.0% 297
Three Pointers C+ 83% 147 D+ 0.5% 252
Total B- 51% 93 D+ 4.4% 271

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.4 78 16.9 106
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 190 0.15 117
Consistency 0.11 104 0.12 150
Improvement -5.6 355 +1.1 138

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 155 153 152
Results Rating Rank 139 137 135
Conference Record 13 - 3 13 - 3 13 - 3
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 21 - 21 - 6
Quad 33 - 14 - 7
Quad 416 - 420 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 192 Queens W 81 - 74 58% +2  72% 1 - 0 B- +5 D+ -3 F A B- A- +8 A F+ A+
 Fri, Nov 7 99 @George Mason L 90 - 96 23% -0  47% 1 - 1 C+ +2 A- +11 B F A+ D- -8 F B- B
 Tue, Nov 11 240 @Coastal Carolina L 66 - 72 58% -7  1% 1 - 2 D+ -8 F+ -9 D- F C+ C+ +1 F F A+
 Sat, Nov 15 189 Mercer W 105 - 69 69% +16  94% 2 - 2 A+ +31 A- +11 B+ B A- A+ +16 A B A+
 Tue, Nov 18 13 @Arkansas L 83 - 84 4% -1  37% 2 - 3 A +20 A +13 B+ A+ A- A- +7 A D+ C+
 Sun, Nov 23 346 @Jackson St. W 80 - 62 84% +8  80% 3 - 3 B- +8 B +6 C+ B- A- B- +3 F+ B B-
 Tue, Nov 25 14 @Nebraska L 73 - 80 4% -2  28% 3 - 4 B+ +14 A +12 A B- A B- +2 A- B F
 Sat, Nov 29 356 South Carolina St. W 101 - 79 95% +14  91% 4 - 4 C+ +3 A +13 B+ A+ D F -11 F F+ D
 Tue, Dec 2 223 @LIU Brooklyn W 94 - 92 OT 53% +4  71% 5 - 4 C +2 A +12 D- A+ A F -10 F+ F D+
 Sat, Dec 6 240 Coastal Carolina L 84 - 88 78% +1  51% 5 - 5 D- -12 B+ +8 D+ A+ C- F -20 F F+ F
 Thu, Dec 18 280 @North Dakota L 88 - 90 67% +2  48% 5 - 6 D+ -6 A- +10 B A- A- F -16 D+ F F
 Sun, Dec 28 18 @Texas Tech L 57 - 87 4% -26  0% 5 - 7 D -9 F -10 F D F C+ +2 C C A
 Wed, Dec 31 263 @Longwood L 70 - 82 61% -7  2% 5 - 8 0 - 1 D- -15 D+ -3 F B- A+ F -12 F F C
 Sat, Jan 3 361 Gardner-Webb W 88 - 77 97% -5  24% 6 - 8 1 - 1 D -10 B +6 C+ F A- F -15 F A- F
 Wed, Jan 7 247 Charleston Southern W 81 - 77 79% -2  26% 7 - 8 2 - 1 C- -4 D -6 F+ C C- C+ +1 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 10 306 @South Carolina Upstate W 71 - 50 73% +15  89% 8 - 8 3 - 1 A- +15 C- -1 C- C- D A+ +17 A+ C B
 Wed, Jan 14 92 High Point W 92 - 75 41% +15  93% 9 - 8 4 - 1 A +20 A+ +15 B+ A+ A+ B +4 B- A+ C
 Sat, Jan 17 236 @UNC Asheville W 69 - 67 58% +6  91% 10 - 8 5 - 1 C +0 D- -7 F C- F A- +7 A+ B D-
 Wed, Jan 21 252 Radford W 76 - 75 79% -2  23% 11 - 8 6 - 1 D+ -7 D+ -3 B D- C+ D+ -4 F B A+
 Sat, Jan 24 266 @Presbyterian W 82 - 72 62% +5  92% 12 - 8 7 - 1 B- +7 B- +5 F B+ A+ B- +2 B+ B+ C+
 Sat, Jan 31 236 UNC Asheville W 84 - 71 78% +7  98% 13 - 8 8 - 1 B- +5 A +12 B+ A D- D -6 C A F
 Wed, Feb 4 252 @Radford W 80 - 78 60% +3  65% 14 - 8 9 - 1 C -0 C +1 B- F B C -1 C C+ C-
 Sat, Feb 7 263 Longwood W 79 - 74 80% +2  65% 15 - 8 10 - 1 C- -4 D- -7 F D+ C B- +3 B+ B+ F+
 Thu, Feb 12 361 @Gardner-Webb W 103 - 85 92% +13  93% 16 - 8 11 - 1 C+ +3 A +12 A- A C F -10 F D+ B-
 Thu, Feb 19 306 South Carolina Upstate W 68 - 64 87% +2  57% 17 - 8 12 - 1 D+ -8 D- -7 F A+ F C -0 A C+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 92 @High Point L 87 - 89 21% -8  2% 17 - 9 12 - 2 B- +7 B+ +9 F+ A+ A+ C- -2 D- C- A-
 Thu, Feb 26 247 @Charleston Southern L 84 - 86 59% -4  4% 17 - 10 12 - 3 C- -4 D+ -3 D- B F C -1 D+ B C
 Sat, Feb 28 266 Presbyterian W 74 - 70 81% +3  75% 18 - 10 13 - 3 C- -5 D -5 F+ F A+ C+ +0 A- D+ C-
 Fri, Mar 6 247 Charleston Southern W 86 - 81 70% -2  25% 19 - 10 C -0 C +0 F A B+ C -1 A- B- F
 Sat, Mar 7 266 Presbyterian W 73 - 71 73% +6  85% 20 - 10 C- -4 D+ -3 C F+ F+ C -1 D- A- C
 Sun, Mar 8 92 High Point L 76 - 91 30% -7  18% 20 - 11 D -9 D- -7 F C- A C -1 D+ A+ D
Totals 20 - 11 13 - 3 +0 C +1 A+ D B C -1 C- C+ B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D- D C- D 39% 24% 47% B D+ B- C B- B- A- C+ B+ C C+ F+ C+ C 37% 19% 44% C C B- D+ C C- D+ D+ D+
1.10 51% 33% 33% -4 +1 0.96 33% 1.0 .35 15% .37 74% .27 1.09 57% 44% 33% 0 0 1.03 28% 1.1 .31 16% .33 74% .27
Nov
3		 Queens D+ F F D- F 33% 22% 45% D F B A A B- A+ A A+ A- C- F A+ A 35% 18% 47% B- A F C+ F+ A+ B- F D+
1.12 47% 27% 30% -8 0 0.84 39% 1.3 .49 14% .50 81% .40 1.03 61% 56% 21% -5 0 0.92 38% 1.1 .41 24% .29 88% .25
Nov
7		 George Mason A- A+ D B+ A- 19% 22% 59% D B C- F F A+ A+ A+ A+ D- F B F F 36% 13% 51% D F F A+ B- B F C F
1.17 73% 31% 37% +4 -2 1.07 24% 0.2 .04 8% .41 86% .35 1.25 76% 33% 42% +12 +1 1.28 44% 0.6 .28 18% .69 72% .50
Nov
11		 Coastal Carolina F+ F C D- F 44% 19% 37% A D- F B+ F C+ A- F C- C+ A A F F 35% 15% 50% F F D F F A+ F A+ D
0.92 42% 40% 30% -9 +1 0.85 14% 1.2 .17 11% .36 57% .20 1.01 44% 29% 48% +4 0 1.11 29% 1.3 .39 24% .39 57% .22
Nov
15		 Mercer A- C+ B A+ A- 42% 19% 39% C+ B+ C A- B A- A+ F+ A+ A+ C+ F A+ A 27% 29% 43% A A A+ F B A+ F A+ C-
1.30 58% 45% 45% +8 0 1.19 34% 1.2 .39 14% .53 70% .37 0.85 57% 53% 18% -6 -2 0.86 19% 1.4 .27 23% .42 62% .26
Nov
18		 Arkansas A B F A+ A- 31% 19% 51% C B+ D+ A+ A+ A- F D+ F A- F A+ C A- 37% 31% 33% A+ A A+ F D+ C+ D+ F F
1.17 61% 0% 43% +1 0 1.03 24% 2.3 .53 14% .10 67% .07 1.18 79% 19% 35% +2 -1 1.04 24% 2.0 .48 13% .35 91% .32
Nov
23		 Jackson St. B B- F B+ C+ 37% 11% 52% C+ C+ D+ A+ B- A- F A+ F B- C- F C- F 18% 33% 49% A F+ B B B B- A+ A+ A+
1.24 65% 17% 39% +4 +1 1.13 33% 1.3 .42 12% .18 90% .16 0.96 56% 50% 33% +3 -3 1.02 24% 0.9 .21 20% .16 63% .10
Nov
25		 Nebraska A A+ C+ B+ A+ 7% 29% 64% D A A+ F B- A C+ F C- B- C- C- B- A- 25% 18% 57% A A- B B- B F A+ F A
1.06 100% 38% 36% +5 -3 1.05 38% 0.7 .27 16% .22 62% .14 1.16 67% 36% 32% 0 -1 1.02 24% 1.0 .24 7% .16 90% .14
Nov
29		 South Carolina St. A A A- B B+ 45% 7% 48% B- B+ A A+ A+ D F A+ F F C+ F+ F F 39% 30% 31% D- F C+ F F+ D A+ C A+
1.38 72% 50% 37% +9 +2 1.25 48% 1.7 .84 19% .25 87% .22 1.08 52% 44% 47% +6 -1 1.11 29% 1.3 .37 19% .20 67% .13
Dec
2		 LIU Brooklyn A D+ F F F 56% 12% 32% B+ D- B+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ F D- C- F F 43% 31% 26% B F+ D+ F F D+ F F F
1.23 53% 14% 28% -9 +2 0.89 40% 1.4 .55 13% .44 83% .36 1.21 65% 41% 43% +7 -1 1.15 36% 1.3 .45 18% .40 80% .32
Dec
6		 Coastal Carolina B+ C+ F F+ D 29% 21% 50% B D+ A+ C A+ C- A+ C- A+ F A F F F 31% 25% 44% D+ F B- F F+ F F D F
1.20 57% 30% 29% -6 -1 0.90 44% 1.0 .46 13% .56 71% .40 1.26 44% 54% 43% +6 -1 1.12 24% 1.4 .32 11% .42 77% .32
Dec
18		 North Dakota A- D- A+ A+ B 43% 8% 50% B- B F+ A+ A- A- A+ D A+ F A+ F F C- 41% 4% 55% F+ D+ F F F F F D+ F
1.27 53% 67% 45% +8 +2 1.23 26% 1.9 .48 16% .74 67% .50 1.30 38% 50% 39% -3 +2 1.00 38% 1.4 .53 10% .51 72% .37
Dec
28		 Texas Tech F F A+ F F 35% 21% 44% A F A F D F A+ D+ A+ C+ B F D+ C+ 33% 14% 53% D C B- D+ C A F F F
0.81 35% 70% 14% -14 0 0.73 36% 0.4 .16 21% .41 65% .27 1.23 56% 71% 38% +8 0 1.18 33% 1.1 .37 20% .46 88% .41
Dec
31		 Longwood D+ F F F F 48% 8% 44% B+ F A F+ B- A+ A+ A A+ F C- B- F F 52% 13% 35% F F F F F C D- B- D
1.04 39% 25% 24% -17 +2 0.73 39% 0.8 .30 12% .54 78% .42 1.21 60% 33% 41% +4 +2 1.15 44% 1.1 .50 19% .38 71% .27
Jan
3		 Gardner-Webb B A+ F D C+ 46% 13% 41% B- C+ A F F A- A+ A A+ F C- F F+ F 27% 17% 56% A- F A+ C- A- F D- A+ C
1.30 86% 0% 32% +6 +2 1.17 47% 0.5 .24 12% .54 81% .44 1.14 57% 67% 38% +8 0 1.17 14% 1.0 .14 10% .31 58% .18
Jan
7		 Charleston Southern D D F F F 54% 12% 34% A+ F+ B+ F+ C C- A+ F B C+ A- F A+ A+ 43% 10% 47% D+ A+ C- F F F F A+ D+
1.05 50% 29% 20% -13 +2 0.81 36% 0.9 .32 13% .46 61% .28 1.00 48% 50% 19% -14 +2 0.78 30% 1.5 .45 12% .34 57% .19
Jan
10		 South Carolina Upstate C- F+ F B+ D+ 42% 6% 52% B+ C- A+ F C- D B+ F C- A+ A A+ A+ A+ 55% 22% 22% D- A+ A+ F C B C+ C- C
1.06 48% 0% 38% -3 +2 1.00 43% 0.8 .33 18% .35 58% .20 0.75 44% 0% 18% -21 +1 0.61 18% 1.4 .26 21% .26 71% .19
Jan
14		 High Point A+ B- D B- B 44% 6% 50% A- B+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D- A+ B F C+ A B- 35% 12% 53% C+ B- C A+ A+ C F B F
1.31 64% 33% 36% +4 +2 1.14 33% 1.5 .52 13% .54 67% .36 1.06 71% 33% 27% -2 +1 1.00 32% 0.5 .15 14% .46 71% .33
Jan
17		 UNC Asheville D- F A+ B- F 43% 2% 54% A F C+ D C- F A+ A+ A+ A- A+ F A+ A+ 23% 35% 42% C+ A+ C- A+ B D- F D F
0.98 25% 100% 36% -11 +3 0.85 32% 0.8 .27 21% .54 80% .44 0.96 42% 50% 18% -10 -3 0.77 30% 0.8 .23 14% .42 72% .30
Jan
21		 Radford D+ F C+ A+ B 44% 10% 46% B B F+ C+ D- C+ C+ F D+ D+ F+ F F F 48% 5% 48% F F A- C- B A+ F D+ F
1.11 48% 40% 50% +7 +2 1.19 24% 1.1 .27 17% .34 63% .21 1.09 65% 50% 40% +8 +3 1.24 23% 1.0 .23 28% .48 75% .36
Jan
24		 Presbyterian B- F+ B- F F 55% 13% 32% B+ F B+ B- B+ A+ A+ B A+ B- A+ F A+ B 30% 33% 37% A B+ B B+ B+ C+ F F F
1.15 48% 43% 24% -10 +2 0.87 37% 1.1 .39 7% .53 71% .38 1.01 43% 53% 24% -5 -2 0.87 27% 0.9 .24 20% .44 88% .38
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 UNC Asheville A F A A+ B 33% 4% 62% B B+ B+ A- A D- A+ A+ A+ D D+ F A+ C 28% 32% 40% D+ C B- A+ A F F F F
1.30 47% 50% 43% +5 +2 1.16 38% 1.1 .41 19% .53 89% .47 1.09 62% 53% 26% +1 -2 1.00 27% 0.7 .18 12% .42 83% .35
Feb
4		 Radford C C+ A+ C C+ 43% 13% 43% B- B- D- F F B B- F+ C C C C C+ C 37% 14% 49% D+ C F A+ C+ C- A- D- B
1.12 61% 57% 35% +4 +1 1.13 26% 0.7 .17 15% .35 67% .23 1.09 57% 38% 32% -2 +1 1.00 37% 0.7 .27 17% .29 76% .22
Feb
7		 Longwood D- B- F F F 32% 11% 57% C F F A+ D+ C A+ A+ A+ B- F B+ A+ B 25% 31% 43% A+ B+ A- C+ B+ F+ F A+ F
1.02 67% 20% 22% -9 +1 0.85 14% 1.6 .22 18% .63 88% .55 0.96 69% 31% 23% -7 -2 0.84 27% 0.9 .24 16% .54 63% .34
Feb
12		 Gardner-Webb A D- A+ A+ B 44% 2% 55% A A- B+ A- A C A+ C+ A+ F D+ D- F F 49% 9% 42% F+ F C F+ D+ B- D- B+ D+
1.34 54% 100% 47% +10 +3 1.27 42% 1.3 .53 16% .43 75% .32 1.11 59% 40% 43% +7 +2 1.20 23% 1.1 .26 21% .31 63% .20
Feb
19		 South Carolina Upstate D- F A+ F F 50% 5% 45% A F B+ A+ A+ F A+ F A C A+ F A+ A 31% 12% 57% D+ A A- F+ C+ F F F F
1.01 33% 100% 26% -15 +3 0.79 37% 1.5 .55 21% .47 60% .28 0.95 40% 50% 25% -12 +1 0.80 23% 1.1 .25 13% .38 77% .29
Feb
21		 High Point B+ F A+ F F 57% 2% 41% A+ F+ A A- A+ A+ C B- C+ C- D- A+ D+ D 38% 2% 60% D- D- B F C- A- F D- F
1.18 48% 100% 25% -10 +4 0.90 42% 1.2 .51 14% .31 75% .23 1.20 67% 0% 36% +4 +2 1.15 28% 1.3 .38 18% .49 80% .39
Feb
26		 Charleston Southern D+ F F A- F+ 45% 17% 38% A- D- A+ F+ B F A+ F+ A C A+ F F C- 39% 8% 52% D+ D+ C- A+ B C F+ A C-
1.05 37% 20% 39% -10 +1 0.85 42% 0.9 .38 16% .51 65% .33 1.07 42% 80% 41% +2 +2 1.10 30% 0.7 .20 19% .32 57% .18
Feb
28		 Presbyterian D F F B- F 48% 8% 44% A- F+ D F F A+ A+ B+ A+ C+ B- F A+ A 48% 24% 28% D A- A F D+ C- F C- F
1.05 42% 25% 36% -7 +2 0.92 26% 0.5 .14 10% .52 73% .38 1.00 55% 55% 8% -9 0 0.85 24% 1.5 .36 19% .47 70% .33
Mar
6		 Charleston Southern C C- F F F 25% 42% 33% F F C A+ A B+ A- A+ A+ C B+ A- B- A 47% 12% 42% D+ A- A+ F B- F F+ C- F+
1.11 53% 28% 15% -15 -4 0.65 31% 1.5 .47 9% .43 87% .37 1.05 50% 29% 32% -6 +2 0.93 15% 1.4 .22 6% .33 67% .22
Mar
7		 Presbyterian D+ C- A+ D C- 54% 11% 35% A- C C- F F+ F+ A+ B- A+ C C- F C+ F+ 31% 31% 39% A- D- B+ B+ A- C C B- C+
1.06 56% 60% 31% 0 +2 1.07 29% 0.7 .19 19% .56 71% .40 1.03 60% 53% 32% +4 -2 1.06 26% 0.9 .24 19% .32 67% .22
Mar
8		 High Point D- D+ F F F 45% 13% 43% B- F C+ D C- A A+ F A- C D A F F+ 36% 29% 35% A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ D F F F
0.97 56% 14% 21% -12 +2 0.80 34% 0.9 .32 17% .47 58% .27 1.16 65% 25% 47% +6 -1 1.11 19% 0.7 .14 11% .46 84% .39



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0%
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%