South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#261
Expected Predictive Rating-4.7#240
Pace71.5#130
Improvement+1.7#73

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#289
First Shot-3.4#274
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#236
Layup/Dunks-0.7#209
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#128
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#275
Freethrows-0.7#221
Improvement+0.3#150

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#207
First Shot+1.1#130
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#317
Layups/Dunks-2.2#263
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#80
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#117
Freethrows+0.0#183
Improvement+1.3#81
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 3.4% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 27.6% 33.1% 13.8%
.500 or above in Conference 48.9% 51.8% 41.4%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.2% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 4.8% 4.2% 6.5%
First Four1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
First Round2.5% 2.9% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina St. (Away) - 71.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 42 - 10
Quad 411 - 713 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 127 @California Baptist L 75-87 16%     0 - 1 -6.7 +3.7 -10.3
  Wed, Nov 5 184 @Fresno St. W 67-66 25%     1 - 1 +2.4 -5.3 +7.7
  Sat, Nov 15 109 @UNC Wilmington L 60-73 13%     1 - 2 -6.2 -2.8 -5.2
  Wed, Nov 19 265 Tennessee Tech L 84-88 62%     1 - 3 -12.6 +0.2 -12.4
  Fri, Nov 21 315 @West Georgia L 64-72 52%     1 - 4 -14.0 -13.1 -0.9
  Tue, Nov 25 349 NC Central W 82-67 83%     2 - 4 -0.4 +5.1 -5.3
  Sat, Nov 29 26 @Nebraska L 63-72 3%     2 - 5 +8.9 -3.4 +12.5
  Wed, Dec 3 243 Coastal Carolina W 85-78 OT 59%     3 - 5 -0.7 -0.5 -1.1
  Sat, Dec 6 294 Western Carolina W 78-67 68%     4 - 5 +0.7 -0.9 +1.4
  Sat, Dec 13 22 @North Carolina L 62-80 2%     4 - 6 +0.2 +4.1 -5.6
  Tue, Dec 16 360 @South Carolina St. W 76-70 72%    
  Sat, Dec 20 166 @Youngstown St. L 68-76 23%    
  Wed, Dec 31 267 Radford W 79-76 61%    
  Sat, Jan 3 260 @Presbyterian L 65-68 39%    
  Sat, Jan 10 112 Winthrop L 75-81 29%    
  Wed, Jan 14 266 @Charleston Southern L 72-75 40%    
  Sat, Jan 17 95 @High Point L 72-86 10%    
  Wed, Jan 21 227 UNC Asheville W 74-73 55%    
  Sat, Jan 24 357 @Gardner-Webb W 80-74 70%    
  Thu, Jan 29 310 Longwood W 78-72 70%    
  Wed, Feb 4 227 @UNC Asheville L 71-76 33%    
  Sat, Feb 7 266 Charleston Southern W 75-72 61%    
  Thu, Feb 12 95 High Point L 75-83 24%    
  Sat, Feb 14 310 @Longwood L 75-76 49%    
  Thu, Feb 19 112 @Winthrop L 72-84 14%    
  Sat, Feb 21 260 Presbyterian W 68-65 61%    
  Thu, Feb 26 267 @Radford L 76-79 40%    
  Sat, Feb 28 357 Gardner-Webb W 83-71 85%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.5 1.8 0.4 0.0 7.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.1 6.1 6.0 2.6 0.4 0.0 17.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.3 8.4 6.0 1.6 0.2 19.6 4th
5th 0.2 3.2 8.0 5.2 0.9 0.0 17.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.8 7.1 4.3 0.6 0.0 15.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.7 5.4 2.9 0.4 0.0 11.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.3 1.6 0.2 0.0 7.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.2 9th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.2 3.1 6.5 10.1 13.6 16.2 16.2 13.4 9.5 5.6 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 91.9% 0.3    0.2 0.1
13-3 55.9% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.0
12-4 23.0% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-5 5.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.3% 17.4% 17.4% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 1.0% 15.3% 15.3% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
12-4 2.9% 10.4% 10.4% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.6
11-5 5.6% 7.5% 7.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 5.2
10-6 9.5% 6.2% 6.2% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 8.9
9-7 13.4% 3.9% 3.9% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 12.9
8-8 16.2% 2.5% 2.5% 15.9 0.0 0.4 15.8
7-9 16.2% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.3 15.9
6-10 13.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 13.5
5-11 10.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.1
4-12 6.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.4
3-13 3.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.1
2-14 1.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.2
1-15 0.4% 0.4
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.8 97.0 0.0%