UNC Asheville
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#227
Expected Predictive Rating-6.8#266
Pace67.7#229
Improvement+0.1#179

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#188
First Shot-2.4#244
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#89
Layup/Dunks-3.9#305
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#19
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#295
Freethrows+0.3#161
Improvement-0.2#197

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#268
First Shot-1.8#236
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#261
Layups/Dunks-3.5#301
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#317
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#36
Freethrows-0.5#214
Improvement+0.2#163
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.5% 7.5% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 14.9 15.5
.500 or above 25.7% 46.4% 21.7%
.500 or above in Conference 65.5% 73.4% 64.0%
Conference Champion 4.3% 6.3% 3.9%
Last Place in Conference 2.2% 1.4% 2.4%
First Four2.0% 1.3% 2.1%
First Round4.7% 7.0% 4.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UAB (Away) - 16.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 62 - 10
Quad 410 - 612 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 98 @Wichita St. L 58-75 14%     0 - 1 -9.0 -8.4 -1.2
  Sat, Nov 8 231 @Georgia Southern L 90-93 40%     0 - 2 -4.0 +3.6 -7.2
  Tue, Nov 11 142 Lipscomb W 69-64 43%     1 - 2 +3.1 +1.9 +1.6
  Wed, Nov 19 294 @Western Carolina L 73-80 52%     1 - 3 -11.3 +5.4 -17.3
  Tue, Nov 25 236 Tennessee St. L 73-75 63%     1 - 4 -9.1 -3.8 -5.2
  Sun, Nov 30 259 Appalachian St. W 67-55 67%     2 - 4 +3.6 -2.9 +7.5
  Tue, Dec 2 281 UNC Greensboro W 82-77 61%     3 - 4 -1.5 +11.2 -12.3
  Sat, Dec 6 29 @North Carolina St. L 63-75 4%     3 - 5 +5.1 -1.0 +5.7
  Wed, Dec 10 106 Miami (OH) L 87-90 OT 33%     3 - 6 -2.1 +4.5 -6.3
  Sat, Dec 13 136 St. Thomas L 59-80 41%     3 - 7 -22.4 -12.0 -11.5
  Sun, Dec 21 110 @UAB L 70-80 16%    
  Wed, Dec 31 95 High Point L 76-82 28%    
  Sat, Jan 3 266 @Charleston Southern L 74-75 47%    
  Wed, Jan 7 310 Longwood W 80-72 76%    
  Sat, Jan 10 267 @Radford L 77-78 46%    
  Wed, Jan 14 260 @Presbyterian L 66-67 46%    
  Sat, Jan 17 112 Winthrop L 77-81 35%    
  Wed, Jan 21 261 @South Carolina Upstate L 73-74 45%    
  Thu, Jan 29 357 Gardner-Webb W 84-71 89%    
  Sat, Jan 31 112 @Winthrop L 74-84 18%    
  Wed, Feb 4 261 South Carolina Upstate W 76-71 67%    
  Thu, Feb 12 310 @Longwood W 77-75 56%    
  Sat, Feb 14 260 Presbyterian W 69-64 67%    
  Thu, Feb 19 95 @High Point L 73-85 14%    
  Sat, Feb 21 267 Radford W 80-75 68%    
  Thu, Feb 26 357 @Gardner-Webb W 81-74 75%    
  Sat, Feb 28 266 Charleston Southern W 77-72 67%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.1 4.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.7 3.3 1.3 0.1 12.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.4 8.2 9.0 4.8 1.0 0.1 25.6 3rd
4th 0.2 3.1 8.1 7.1 1.9 0.2 0.0 20.6 4th
5th 0.1 2.3 6.6 4.6 0.8 0.0 0.0 14.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 5.2 3.3 0.5 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.0 2.3 0.3 0.0 7.1 7th
8th 0.2 0.8 1.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 3.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.1 5.9 10.0 13.6 15.6 16.7 13.5 10.0 5.5 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
14-2 87.3% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
13-3 54.8% 1.6    0.8 0.7 0.1
12-4 20.6% 1.1    0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0
11-5 4.0% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.3% 4.3 2.0 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.2% 28.8% 28.8% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 1.0% 22.3% 22.3% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
13-3 2.9% 18.7% 18.7% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 2.4
12-4 5.5% 13.1% 13.1% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 4.8
11-5 10.0% 10.2% 10.2% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.3 9.0
10-6 13.5% 6.7% 6.7% 15.5 0.0 0.4 0.5 12.6
9-7 16.7% 4.5% 4.5% 15.9 0.1 0.7 16.0
8-8 15.6% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6 15.1
7-9 13.6% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.4 13.2
6-10 10.0% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 9.9
5-11 5.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 5.8
4-12 3.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 3.1
3-13 1.3% 1.3
2-14 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 2.9 94.5 0.0%