UNC Asheville
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -4.6 236
Results Rating -5.2 247
Consistency 0.13 84
Pace 63.6 310
Improvement -0.9 220

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 246 C- C- C- C+ F
Defense C- 226 C- C+ C- C D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 29% 359 C- 57% 206 -5.9 349
2 Pt. Jumpers 58% 22 B- 42% 69 +7.1 3
Three Pointers 35% 299 C+ 35% 138 -2.6 270
Shot Selection/Accuracy F -2.6 364 C+ +1.2 123
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 222
Second Chance C- 29.4% 212 C- 0.99 238 C- 0.29 217
Opponents' Steals C+ 8.8% 126
Other Turnovers D 8.2% 307
Turnovers C- 17.1% 213
Freethrows B- 0.33 89 D 69% 311 C+ 0.23 148
Total Offense C- -2.8 246

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D- 37% 326 C+ 9.9% 123
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 15% 320 C 5.5% 221
Three Pointers B+ 92% 25 B- 0.5% 72
Total F+ 45% 348 C+ 5.0% 116


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 52 C 58% 166 +2.6 271
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 269 D- 44% 342 +0.0 185
Three Pointers 39% 250 C 34% 202 -1.0 139
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.7 303 C- +0.8 211
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 231
Second Chance C- 30.9% 208 B 0.94 47 C+ 0.29 110
Turnovers from Steals D 7.6% 311
Other Turnovers B- 8.0% 84
Turnovers C- 15.6% 246
Freethrows C- 0.32 230 A 68% 7 C 0.22 173
Total Defense C- -1.7 226

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 132 C 11.4% 151
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 131 C- 4.1% 213
Three Pointers D- 89% 332 C- 0.8% 177
Total C 54% 161 C+ 6.0% 141

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.2 341 17.1 129
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 278 0.19 264
Consistency 0.11 106 0.10 44
Improvement -0.1 195 -0.8 226

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 236 236 236
Results Rating Rank 247 247 247
Conference Record 8 - 8 8 - 8 8 - 8
Conference Finish 4 4 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 60 - 8
Quad 30 - 40 - 12
Quad 412 - 512 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 82 @Wichita St. L 58 - 75 9% -4  10% 0 - 1 D+ -7 F+ -9 F+ A+ F C+ +2 A- F A+
 Sat, Nov 8 230 @Georgia Southern L 90 - 93 37% +1  56% 0 - 2 C- -4 C- -0 B- B+ F+ D+ -3 D+ A F
 Tue, Nov 11 219 Lipscomb W 69 - 64 56% +4  84% 1 - 2 C -1 D+ -3 B- B+ F B- +2 A D D+
 Wed, Nov 19 225 @Western Carolina L 73 - 80 35% -1  21% 1 - 3 D+ -8 C+ +2 A- F D F -10 D+ C- F
 Tue, Nov 25 183 Tennessee St. L 73 - 75 49% +3  71% 1 - 4 D+ -6 F+ -9 A+ D- F B- +3 B- D- A-
 Sun, Nov 30 190 Appalachian St. W 67 - 55 50% +8  95% 2 - 4 B- +7 D+ -3 D A+ F A+ +12 B B+ C
 Tue, Dec 2 297 UNC Greensboro W 82 - 77 64% +0  41% 3 - 4 C- -3 B +6 C+ B+ B- F+ -9 F C- C+
 Sat, Dec 6 34 @North Carolina St. L 63 - 75 3% -3  24% 3 - 5 C+ +5 D -5 D- C C- A +10 A F+ A
 Wed, Dec 10 96 Miami (OH) L 87 - 90 OT 25% -6  26% 3 - 6 C -1 C +2 B+ D+ B- C- -2 C- A F
 Sat, Dec 13 112 St. Thomas L 59 - 80 32% -13  7% 3 - 7 F -21 F -15 F+ C F D- -7 D+ C- D+
 Sun, Dec 21 124 @UAB L 47 - 72 17% -13  10% 3 - 8 F -19 F -21 F F F+ C -1 C- B+ F+
 Wed, Dec 31 92 High Point L 69 - 87 24% -11  3% 3 - 9 0 - 1 F+ -15 D+ -4 D- C+ A+ F -12 F D- B
 Sat, Jan 3 247 @Charleston Southern L 83 - 86 40% -6  0% 3 - 10 0 - 2 D+ -5 B- +4 F A+ C+ F+ -9 F F A-
 Wed, Jan 7 264 Longwood W 72 - 61 65% +6  98% 4 - 10 1 - 2 C+ +2 C +0 C D+ B+ B- +3 B- A F+
 Sat, Jan 10 252 @Radford W 91 - 72 41% +9  98% 5 - 10 2 - 2 A- +17 B+ +9 A+ F C B+ +7 A A F
 Wed, Jan 14 266 @Presbyterian L 70 - 71 43% -6  9% 5 - 11 2 - 3 C- -4 C- -1 F C C C- -3 F B+ C+
 Sat, Jan 17 153 Winthrop L 67 - 69 42% -6  3% 5 - 12 2 - 4 C- -5 F -10 F D B B+ +6 B+ B+ A+
 Wed, Jan 21 306 @South Carolina Upstate W 83 - 69 55% +6  93% 6 - 12 3 - 4 B- +8 A +12 A D- B C- -3 F A+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 361 Gardner-Webb W 69 - 50 93% +12  95% 7 - 12 4 - 4 C- -2 D -4 C F+ C B+ +6 B C- B
 Sat, Jan 31 153 @Winthrop L 71 - 84 22% -7  0% 7 - 13 4 - 5 D -10 C+ +2 C- F A- F -13 F D- A-
 Wed, Feb 4 306 South Carolina Upstate W 76 - 67 76% +0  46% 8 - 13 5 - 5 C- -3 C +0 A D- D C- -3 C- A+ F
 Thu, Feb 12 264 @Longwood W 79 - 74 42% +0  43% 9 - 13 6 - 5 C+ +2 B +6 C B+ A+ D+ -4 F C F
 Sat, Feb 14 266 Presbyterian L 57 - 58 66% +2  79% 9 - 14 6 - 6 D -10 F -16 D- F C- B+ +6 B+ D B-
 Thu, Feb 19 92 @High Point L 48 - 74 11% -13  1% 9 - 15 6 - 7 F+ -17 F -21 F F+ F+ C+ +1 B C+ D+
 Sat, Feb 21 252 Radford W 74 - 73 OT 64% +1  57% 10 - 15 7 - 7 D+ -7 D- -7 D+ F+ A+ C +0 B- B+ C-
 Thu, Feb 26 361 @Gardner-Webb W 77 - 71 84% +1  53% 11 - 15 8 - 7 D -9 B- +5 C- A+ C- F -13 D- D F
 Sat, Feb 28 247 Charleston Southern L 75 - 92 63% -3  35% 11 - 16 8 - 8 F -25 D -5 B- C- C- F -20 F A- B+
 Fri, Mar 6 264 Longwood W 85 - 82 OT 54% +1  63% 12 - 16 C- -3 C +1 C- D- B- D+ -3 A F F
 Sat, Mar 7 92 High Point L 71 - 75 17% -2  17% 12 - 17 C+ +2 C- -1 D- B+ A- B- +3 C- A+ C-
Totals 12 - 17 8 - 8 -5 C- -3 D+ C+ F C- -2 C+ D C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C- B- C+ C+ 29% 58% 35% F C- C- C- C- C- B- D C+ C- C D- C C- 43% 18% 39% D C- C- B C+ C- C- A C
1.05 57% 42% 35% +1 -3 0.99 29% 1.0 .29 17% .33 69% .23 1.11 58% 44% 34% +1 +1 1.05 31% 0.9 .29 16% .32 68% .23
Nov
4		 Wichita St. F+ F C D- D+ 13% 58% 29% F F+ B- A+ A+ F D+ F D- C+ A+ F B A- 45% 29% 27% C+ A- F F F A+ B A+ A-
0.86 33% 39% 29% -5 -7 0.79 31% 1.5 .47 24% .25 62% .15 1.11 36% 50% 31% -8 -1 0.86 51% 1.3 .66 21% .28 60% .17
Nov
8		 Georgia Southern C- C+ A+ F B+ 40% 37% 23% F B- D A+ B+ F+ C+ A B+ D+ B- F B- D+ 47% 14% 39% D+ D+ C- A+ A F F B F
1.12 62% 63% 25% +8 -2 1.13 31% 1.4 .45 22% .38 83% .32 1.16 52% 75% 32% +1 +2 1.07 29% 0.6 .17 11% .55 72% .39
Nov
11		 Lipscomb D+ B- A+ B B+ 26% 37% 37% F B- C A+ B+ F A+ F A+ B- B- F A+ A+ 42% 12% 46% C- A F A+ D D+ D- C+ D
1.07 64% 50% 38% +8 -3 1.12 31% 1.2 .38 23% .48 63% .30 0.99 55% 50% 21% -9 +1 0.87 39% 0.8 .29 15% .27 73% .20
Nov
19		 Western Carolina C+ A B A+ A+ 15% 43% 43% F A- C- F F D A+ F C F D+ D- A+ D+ 49% 24% 27% C- D+ F A+ C- F F F F
1.13 71% 45% 50% +15 -4 1.23 25% 0.6 .16 17% .43 52% .22 1.24 59% 45% 25% -1 0 1.00 49% 0.7 .36 12% .51 79% .41
Nov
25		 Tennessee St. F+ B- A+ A+ A+ 35% 43% 22% F A+ C- F D- F A+ F A+ B- B- D- A+ B 49% 26% 25% F+ B- F+ D+ D- A- D+ C D+
0.99 62% 63% 63% +21 -3 1.38 28% 0.9 .24 31% .55 64% .36 1.02 54% 43% 23% -5 0 0.92 38% 1.1 .41 20% .29 76% .22
Nov
30		 Appalachian St. D+ A A+ F C- 29% 29% 41% F+ D B A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ F C+ A+ B- 21% 30% 49% A+ B A+ D- B+ C B A+ A
1.04 67% 50% 18% -4 -2 0.90 36% 1.3 .46 20% .52 81% .43 0.85 80% 36% 22% -5 -2 0.87 21% 1.1 .24 16% .28 47% .13
Dec
2		 UNC Greensboro B D- A+ A+ B 35% 35% 31% F C+ D+ A+ B+ B- A+ C A F+ F C- F F 31% 22% 47% C F C+ F+ C- C+ D+ C- D+
1.26 53% 53% 47% +9 -2 1.16 28% 1.5 .41 12% .37 71% .26 1.19 79% 40% 43% +13 -1 1.27 25% 1.2 .29 17% .39 71% .28
Dec
6		 North Carolina St. D F D A C 13% 46% 42% F D- D+ B+ C C- C+ A B A F+ B- A+ A+ 48% 12% 40% D A B F F+ A A- D B
0.93 33% 32% 40% -2 -5 0.88 24% 1.1 .26 21% .32 76% .24 1.11 71% 33% 20% -3 +2 1.00 28% 1.7 .47 18% .27 80% .22
Dec
10		 Miami (OH) C B B+ A+ A 29% 34% 36% F B+ F A+ D+ B- B+ B- A- C- F+ C D C- 36% 22% 41% B C- A+ D- A F C C C
1.12 65% 45% 43% +9 -2 1.16 10% 2.3 .24 15% .33 77% .26 1.15 71% 38% 38% +7 0 1.16 12% 1.3 .15 6% .33 75% .25
Dec
13		 St. Thomas F C- D+ F D- 40% 32% 28% F F+ C C- C F C- F D- D- C A+ F C- 57% 10% 33% D- D+ F A+ C- D+ F A+ D+
0.88 58% 33% 23% -6 -1 0.87 29% 1.1 .32 24% .26 62% .16 1.20 62% 20% 47% +7 +3 1.22 30% 0.7 .21 13% .42 54% .22
Dec
21		 UAB F F A- F D+ 18% 55% 27% F F D- F F F+ F+ F+ F+ C C+ A+ D+ C+ 62% 15% 23% F C- C- A+ B+ F+ C B+ C+
0.73 44% 44% 23% -3 -6 0.84 19% 0.0 .00 20% .18 67% .12 1.12 56% 25% 33% -3 +2 1.00 32% 0.8 .24 8% .30 67% .20
Dec
31		 High Point D+ A+ F F D+ 32% 38% 30% F D- F+ A+ C+ A+ A+ F B F F A F F 40% 19% 42% B F A+ F D- B F B- F
1.03 81% 26% 20% -3 -3 0.90 24% 1.5 .36 12% .41 63% .25 1.30 82% 25% 50% +17 0 1.37 19% 2.3 .43 16% .47 73% .34
Jan
3		 Charleston Southern B- F C F F 42% 32% 26% D+ F A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ D+ A+ F+ F F D- F 53% 9% 38% F+ F F D F A- F A+ F
1.15 33% 38% 23% -15 -1 0.70 44% 1.3 .58 11% .61 69% .42 1.19 72% 50% 39% +11 +3 1.30 42% 1.0 .42 22% .52 52% .27
Jan
7		 Longwood C C D A+ C+ 35% 26% 39% F+ C A+ F D+ B+ B F C B- C- A+ B B 42% 17% 42% D- B- A A A F+ D A+ C
1.13 63% 33% 44% +6 -1 1.13 44% 0.5 .22 16% .39 62% .24 0.96 60% 13% 30% -6 +1 0.92 26% 0.8 .20 16% .37 65% .24
Jan
10		 Radford B+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 29% 29% 41% F A+ D F F C A+ F A B+ F+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 8% 46% F A A A A F F C F
1.24 80% 40% 52% +18 -2 1.35 28% 0.7 .19 18% .48 62% .30 0.98 67% 25% 13% -12 +2 0.83 21% 0.8 .17 10% .48 72% .35
Jan
14		 Presbyterian C- F F A+ F+ 34% 40% 26% F F C+ D C C A+ A+ A+ C- A- F F F 53% 28% 19% D F B- A- B+ C+ F A+ D-
1.07 44% 21% 50% -6 -3 0.85 32% 0.9 .29 15% .43 83% .36 1.08 48% 58% 63% +8 0 1.19 29% 0.9 .25 20% .51 52% .27
Jan
17		 Winthrop F F A F F 23% 35% 42% F F C+ F D B A D+ A- B+ A+ F D+ A 43% 2% 54% F B+ C+ A B+ A+ F F+ F
0.96 42% 50% 18% -10 -3 0.77 30% 0.8 .23 14% .42 72% .30 0.98 25% 100% 36% -11 +3 0.85 32% 0.8 .27 21% .54 80% .44
Jan
21		 South Carolina Upstate A C+ F+ A+ A+ 45% 29% 27% D- A D+ F D- B A A- A+ C- B+ F D F+ 52% 12% 37% F F C+ A+ A+ F B- A+ A-
1.24 59% 29% 62% +9 -1 1.18 28% 1.0 .28 13% .38 77% .29 1.03 48% 83% 37% +2 +2 1.10 27% 0.4 .11 12% .26 53% .14
Jan
29		 Gardner-Webb D A- F A+ B- 26% 24% 50% F C C+ F F+ C A+ F B+ B+ B+ F A+ A- 53% 6% 40% F B C- C- C- B A+ A+ A+
1.16 73% 10% 48% +7 -1 1.14 37% 0.8 .29 15% .41 62% .26 0.84 48% 67% 21% -11 +3 0.85 24% 1.0 .24 22% .15 57% .09
Jan
31		 Winthrop C+ B- A+ F C+ 28% 32% 40% F C- C F F A- A A+ A+ F B+ F F F 33% 4% 62% D F D- C- D- A- F F F
1.09 62% 53% 26% +1 -2 1.00 27% 0.7 .18 12% .42 83% .35 1.30 47% 50% 43% +5 +2 1.16 38% 1.1 .41 19% .53 89% .47
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 South Carolina Upstate C A+ C B+ A+ 32% 23% 45% D- A D- C- D- D B F C C- D- B+ B D+ 40% 24% 36% C+ C- B- A+ A+ F C- B+ C+
1.13 80% 36% 38% +9 -1 1.19 25% 1.1 .29 18% .34 63% .22 0.99 64% 31% 30% -2 0 0.98 26% 0.3 .08 13% .29 65% .19
Feb
12		 Longwood B D- B A+ B- 37% 33% 31% F C B+ B B+ A+ C- B+ C+ D+ F B- D+ F 35% 18% 47% C- F F A C F D- A+ B-
1.17 56% 44% 47% +7 -2 1.12 34% 1.0 .34 12% .34 75% .25 1.10 71% 33% 35% +4 0 1.10 41% 0.8 .31 15% .38 59% .23
Feb
14		 Presbyterian F F+ A+ F D 46% 30% 24% D- D- D+ F F C- F C- F B+ A+ F A+ B+ 42% 31% 27% B- B+ B- F D B- A A+ A+
0.90 48% 53% 25% -3 -1 0.94 26% 0.4 .12 16% .17 67% .11 0.92 42% 50% 25% -7 -1 0.87 29% 1.3 .38 21% .24 58% .14
Feb
19		 High Point F F F F F 30% 26% 43% F F B- F F+ F+ D F F C+ B- F A+ A- 53% 2% 45% F B F A+ C+ D+ B D+ B-
0.75 43% 25% 25% -14 -1 0.72 36% 0.7 .24 25% .27 54% .14 1.15 56% 100% 26% -5 +3 0.98 42% 0.8 .33 12% .32 78% .25
Feb
21		 Radford D- C B+ D+ C 43% 36% 21% F D+ D- F F+ A+ F F F C A+ A- F C+ 38% 25% 37% B B- D+ A+ B+ C- F A F
1.04 58% 45% 33% +2 -2 1.04 26% 0.9 .24 11% .22 50% .11 1.03 35% 31% 47% -3 -1 0.94 32% 0.7 .22 17% .51 63% .32
Feb
26		 Gardner-Webb B- C- A+ B- C 36% 19% 45% D+ C- A A+ A+ C- A+ F A F D+ F B- D 49% 4% 47% F D- A- F D F F+ D F+
1.24 60% 50% 37% +5 0 1.12 45% 1.3 .61 16% .46 63% .29 1.15 58% 50% 30% -2 +3 1.04 17% 1.6 .28 10% .32 72% .23
Feb
28		 Charleston Southern D B- A+ F B 36% 34% 30% D- B- D+ C+ C- C- A+ F A- F D A+ F F 47% 9% 45% D- F A B+ A- B+ F C- F
1.06 59% 56% 21% +1 -2 1.00 27% 1.1 .30 13% .52 59% .31 1.30 64% 25% 67% +23 +2 1.53 21% 0.8 .17 21% .43 67% .29
Mar
6		 Longwood C C+ C+ B C 29% 21% 50% D- C- F B D- B- A+ D+ A+ D+ A- F A+ A+ 47% 14% 39% F A F D+ F F F A F
1.11 64% 40% 38% +5 -1 1.10 18% 1.0 .18 17% .63 68% .42 1.07 48% 57% 16% -13 +1 0.80 44% 1.0 .44 13% .54 67% .36
Mar
7		 High Point C- B- C- D- C- 23% 40% 36% F D- C+ A B+ A- A+ B- A+ B- D+ F B C 42% 8% 50% D C- A A+ A+ C- D- A+ C+
1.05 64% 37% 29% -2 -4 0.91 33% 1.3 .42 18% .43 75% .32 1.10 64% 50% 31% +1 +2 1.08 24% 0.7 .16 13% .41 63% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 100.0
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%