Gardner-Webb
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.2#357
Expected Predictive Rating-15.4#348
Pace76.6#36
Improvement+0.3#165

Offense
Total Offense-7.2#342
First Shot-5.5#326
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#287
Layup/Dunks-2.1#258
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#311
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#158
Freethrows-1.5#275
Improvement+0.5#129

Defense
Total Defense-7.0#350
First Shot-6.4#352
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#237
Layups/Dunks-4.6#324
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#98
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#353
Freethrows+3.3#22
Improvement-0.2#198
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.5% 0.8% 0.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 77.4% 72.9% 79.0%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wofford (Home) - 26.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 50 - 8
Quad 30 - 60 - 14
Quad 43 - 103 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 103 @Minnesota L 60-87 3%     0 - 1 -19.6 -10.6 -8.2
  Fri, Nov 7 36 @Clemson L 59-97 1%     0 - 2 -22.4 -6.4 -16.1
  Sat, Nov 15 192 @Elon L 84-95 8%     0 - 3 -9.9 +1.6 -10.8
  Tue, Nov 18 114 @DePaul L 62-93 4%     0 - 4 -24.7 -13.4 -7.6
  Sat, Nov 22 102 @Richmond L 67-102 3%     0 - 5 -27.3 -6.4 -18.7
  Wed, Nov 26 204 Navy L 51-84 15%     0 - 6 -35.8 -19.0 -18.5
  Fri, Nov 28 256 SE Louisiana L 68-76 20%     0 - 7 -13.3 -6.1 -7.1
  Sat, Nov 29 109 @UNC Wilmington L 62-88 4%     0 - 8 -19.2 -8.5 -11.0
  Wed, Dec 3 191 @Queens L 74-107 8%     0 - 9 -31.9 -6.4 -24.0
  Sat, Dec 6 231 Georgia Southern L 84-88 25%     0 - 10 -11.0 +0.9 -11.7
  Mon, Dec 15 244 Wofford L 74-80 27%    
  Sun, Dec 21 18 @Tennessee L 59-92 0.1%   
  Sat, Jan 3 112 @Winthrop L 72-93 3%    
  Wed, Jan 7 95 @High Point L 72-95 2%    
  Wed, Jan 14 267 Radford L 79-84 31%    
  Sat, Jan 17 260 Presbyterian L 67-73 30%    
  Wed, Jan 21 310 @Longwood L 75-84 21%    
  Sat, Jan 24 261 South Carolina Upstate L 74-80 30%    
  Thu, Jan 29 227 @UNC Asheville L 71-84 11%    
  Wed, Feb 4 310 Longwood L 78-81 40%    
  Sat, Feb 7 260 @Presbyterian L 64-76 14%    
  Thu, Feb 12 112 Winthrop L 75-90 9%    
  Sat, Feb 14 95 @High Point L 72-95 2%    
  Thu, Feb 19 267 @Radford L 76-87 15%    
  Thu, Feb 26 227 UNC Asheville L 74-81 25%    
  Sat, Feb 28 261 @South Carolina Upstate L 71-83 15%    
Projected Record 3 - 23 2 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 4th
5th 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.6 0.2 0.0 3.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.6 3.5 0.7 0.0 8.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.9 8.6 6.9 1.5 0.0 21.5 8th
9th 9.5 20.4 20.1 11.1 2.3 0.1 63.5 9th
Total 9.6 21.1 24.0 20.6 13.1 7.0 3.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0% 0.0
10-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.1
8-8 0.4% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4
7-9 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1
6-10 3.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.1
5-11 7.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.0
4-12 13.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.1
3-13 20.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 20.6
2-14 24.0% 24.0
1-15 21.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 21.1
0-16 9.6% 9.6
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.4%