Presbyterian
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#260
Expected Predictive Rating-5.1#245
Pace59.8#365
Improvement+1.6#75

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#293
First Shot-8.1#357
After Offensive Rebound+3.6#22
Layup/Dunks+0.2#166
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#296
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#343
Freethrows+0.2#167
Improvement+0.0#183

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#203
First Shot-0.1#177
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#254
Layups/Dunks-3.9#311
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#102
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#124
Freethrows+0.9#126
Improvement+1.6#71
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 3.9% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 28.2% 40.3% 18.6%
.500 or above in Conference 48.2% 54.4% 43.3%
Conference Champion 2.0% 2.6% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 4.9% 3.7% 5.8%
First Four1.1% 1.1% 1.2%
First Round2.6% 3.4% 2.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Carolina (Away) - 44.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 42 - 9
Quad 411 - 813 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 204 Navy L 55-76 51%     0 - 1 -26.8 -14.3 -14.3
  Sat, Nov 8 123 East Tennessee St. W 68-64 30%     1 - 1 +3.9 +0.7 +3.6
  Mon, Nov 10 334 @Georgia St. W 63-61 58%     2 - 1 -5.6 -0.7 -4.6
  Wed, Nov 12 87 @South Carolina L 61-81 9%     2 - 2 -11.0 -2.3 -10.3
  Sun, Nov 16 280 @Sacramento St. L 62-64 42%     2 - 3 -5.3 -8.2 +2.8
  Tue, Nov 18 82 @California L 57-67 8%     2 - 4 +0.3 +0.9 -2.8
  Fri, Nov 21 30 @UCLA L 46-86 3%     2 - 5 -23.1 -17.6 -7.1
  Sun, Nov 30 361 The Citadel W 69-41 81%     3 - 5 +13.2 +7.0 +14.4
  Wed, Dec 3 244 @Wofford L 56-63 36%     3 - 6 -8.7 -11.7 +2.2
  Sat, Dec 6 323 Morehead St. W 80-72 75%     4 - 6 -4.6 +3.9 -8.2
  Wed, Dec 17 287 @East Carolina L 65-67 44%    
  Sun, Dec 21 321 @Manhattan W 70-69 54%    
  Sat, Jan 3 261 South Carolina Upstate W 68-65 61%    
  Wed, Jan 7 267 @Radford L 69-72 40%    
  Sat, Jan 10 310 @Longwood L 68-69 50%    
  Wed, Jan 14 227 UNC Asheville W 67-66 54%    
  Sat, Jan 17 357 @Gardner-Webb W 73-67 70%    
  Wed, Jan 21 266 Charleston Southern W 68-65 61%    
  Sat, Jan 24 112 Winthrop L 68-74 30%    
  Thu, Jan 29 95 @High Point L 65-79 10%    
  Sat, Jan 31 267 Radford W 72-69 62%    
  Sat, Feb 7 357 Gardner-Webb W 76-64 86%    
  Thu, Feb 12 266 @Charleston Southern L 65-68 40%    
  Sat, Feb 14 227 @UNC Asheville L 64-69 33%    
  Thu, Feb 19 310 Longwood W 71-65 70%    
  Sat, Feb 21 261 @South Carolina Upstate L 65-68 39%    
  Thu, Feb 26 95 High Point L 68-76 24%    
  Sat, Feb 28 112 @Winthrop L 65-77 14%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.5 1.8 0.5 0.0 7.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.1 5.8 6.2 2.6 0.5 0.0 17.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.3 7.9 6.0 1.5 0.1 19.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.3 8.2 5.0 0.9 0.0 17.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.8 7.2 4.4 0.6 0.0 15.3 6th
7th 0.3 2.4 5.6 3.1 0.4 0.0 11.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.8 3.3 1.8 0.2 0.0 7.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.3 9th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.0 6.2 10.5 14.1 16.4 15.6 13.0 9.7 5.5 2.9 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 88.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1
13-3 55.7% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
12-4 21.7% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-5 5.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 23.8% 23.8% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.4% 13.2% 13.2% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-3 1.1% 15.4% 15.4% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
12-4 2.9% 10.5% 10.5% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.6
11-5 5.5% 8.7% 8.7% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 5.1
10-6 9.7% 5.4% 5.4% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.3 9.2
9-7 13.0% 3.8% 3.8% 15.7 0.1 0.4 12.6
8-8 15.6% 3.0% 3.0% 15.9 0.1 0.4 15.1
7-9 16.4% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.3 16.1
6-10 14.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 13.9
5-11 10.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 10.4
4-12 6.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.2
3-13 3.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.0
2-14 1.2% 1.2
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.8 96.9 0.0%