Presbyterian
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -5.9 #268
Expected Predictive Rating -5.7 #247
Pace 62.6 #337
Improvement +1.3 #121

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #269 D+ C D C C-
Defense #254 D+ C D+ C+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #60 1.11 #244 +1.6 #120
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #81 0.76 #164 +2.0 #78
Three Pointers 31% #348 0.91 #308 -6.7 #349
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #272 -3.1 #271
Freethrows 0.34 #89 67% #333 0.22 #159
Second Chance 31.9% #146 1.05 #167 0.34 #139
Turnovers 19.1% #332
Total Offense -3.4 #269

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #45 1.18 #206 -3.6 #298
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #262 0.82 #277 +0.5 #153
Three Pointers 38% #262 1.08 #271 +0.3 #167
1st FG Attempt 1.08 #272 -2.8 #272
Freethrows 0.30 #187 69% #40 0.21 #141
Second Chance 30.1% #157 1.02 #136 0.31 #149
Turnovers 15.0% #272
Total Defense -2.5 #254

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.6% #229 1.4% #302
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.5% #273 4.1% #259
Possession Length 18.4 #282 17.9 #276
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #297 0.15 #124
Improvement +3.1 #41 -1.8 #288

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 5.0% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.5 15.8
.500 or above 6.6% 23.8% 5.0%
.500 or above in Conference 52.4% 83.1% 49.5%
Conference Champion 0.2% 1.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Four1.5% 1.6% 1.5%
First Round1.9% 4.1% 1.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: High Point (Away) - 8.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 10
Quad 410 - 812 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 183 Navy L 55 - 76 45% -16  0 - 1 -26 -13 F+ F F -14 F C F
 Sat, Nov 8 129 East Tennessee St. W 68 - 64 32% +2  1 - 1 +3 +0 D A+ F +3 A+ F B+
 Mon, Nov 10 269 @Georgia St. W 63 - 61 39% -5  2 - 1 -1 +2 C A+ F -3 D C C-
 Wed, Nov 12 78 @South Carolina L 61 - 81 7% -18  2 - 2 -9 -2 D- B- C -9 C B+ F
 Sun, Nov 16 293 @Sacramento St. L 62 - 64 45% +4  2 - 3 -7 -10 F D- C- +3 C- D- A+
 Tue, Nov 18 66 @California L 57 - 67 6% -3  2 - 4 +1 +3 F+ A+ D -3 D+ C A
 Fri, Nov 21 37 @UCLA L 46 - 86 3% -24  2 - 5 -24 -17 F F F -8 F F+ B-
 Sun, Nov 30 351 The Citadel W 69 - 41 75% +19  3 - 5 +15 +9 B- A+ F+ +14 A+ B B
 Wed, Dec 3 211 @Wofford L 56 - 63 28% -4  3 - 6 -7 -13 F B- D- +5 A- B F
 Sat, Dec 6 299 Morehead St. W 80 - 72 69% +3  4 - 6 -3 +2 C+ B+ F -5 F A+ D-
 Wed, Dec 17 253 @East Carolina L 53 - 74 36% -10  4 - 7 -23 -17 F C F -7 F B A+
 Sun, Dec 21 327 @Manhattan L 81 - 87 55% -3  4 - 8 -13 +2 D C C -15 F C+ F+
 Sat, Jan 3 307 South Carolina Upstate W 86 - 77 70% +4  5 - 8 1 - 0 -2 +10 B+ B- B- -12 F C+ B-
 Wed, Jan 7 255 @Radford L 61 - 80 36% -6  5 - 9 1 - 1 -21 -7 F D+ B -17 F A- F
 Sat, Jan 10 261 @Longwood L 70 - 77 36% -10  5 - 10 1 - 2 -9 +4 B- D D- -14 F D D-
 Wed, Jan 14 203 UNC Asheville W 71 - 70 49% +6  6 - 10 2 - 2 -5 +1 B+ D+ F -5 A- C+ D-
 Sat, Jan 17 363 @Gardner-Webb W 92 - 55 81% +20  7 - 10 3 - 2 +22 +12 B- C C+ +10 B C+ B+
 Wed, Jan 21 230 Charleston Southern W 87 - 83 54% +8  8 - 10 4 - 2 -3 +8 A+ D D+ -11 D F D+
 Sat, Jan 24 124 Winthrop L 72 - 82 31% -5  8 - 11 4 - 3 -11 -4 F+ C- F+ -7 B+ C- F
 Thu, Jan 29 96 @High Point L 68 - 82 9%
 Sat, Jan 31 255 Radford W 77 - 75 58%
 Sat, Feb 7 363 Gardner-Webb W 80 - 65 93%
 Thu, Feb 12 230 @Charleston Southern L 70 - 75 32%
 Sat, Feb 14 203 @UNC Asheville L 66 - 72 28%
 Thu, Feb 19 261 Longwood W 72 - 70 59%
 Sat, Feb 21 307 @South Carolina Upstate L 68 - 69 49%
 Thu, Feb 26 96 High Point L 71 - 79 22%
 Sat, Feb 28 124 @Winthrop L 67 - 78 15%
Totals 12 - 16 8 - 8 -6 -3 D+ C D -3 D+ C D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.8 8.7 5.8 1.3 0.1 18.8 3rd
4th 0.0 2.6 12.7 6.8 0.7 0.0 22.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 12.3 9.7 0.8 0.0 24.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 9.2 10.8 1.4 0.0 22.6 6th
7th 0.2 3.1 5.1 0.6 9.0 7th
8th 0.2 0.8 0.2 1.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 9th
Total 0.4 5.1 15.8 26.3 26.6 16.4 7.0 2.1 0.4 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-4 32.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
11-5 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-4 0.4% 12.3% 12.3% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
11-5 2.1% 9.4% 9.4% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.9
10-6 7.0% 4.7% 4.7% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 6.6
9-7 16.4% 3.6% 3.6% 15.8 0.1 0.5 15.8
8-8 26.6% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.6 25.9
7-9 26.3% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.5 25.8
6-10 15.8% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 15.6
5-11 5.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 5.0
4-12 0.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 15.8 97.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%