Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
217 Southeast Missouri St. 18.1%   16   2 - 6 0 - 0 14 - 13 12 - 7 -3.4      -2.8 241 -0.6 186 74.7 53 -4.8 241 0.0 2
233 SIU Edwardsville 16.8%   4 - 4 0 - 0 16 - 12 12 - 8 -4.0      -4.3 288 +0.3 158 65.4 286 -3.3 217 0.0 2
236 Tennessee St. 14.8%   3 - 4 0 - 0 14 - 11 11 - 7 -4.1      -5.3 309 +1.1 134 74.9 50 +1.8 141 0.0 2
237 Lindenwood 17.7%   4 - 4 1 - 0 16 - 12 13 - 7 -4.2      -3.6 258 -0.6 187 77.3 28 -0.6 179 +7.6 1
251 Tennessee Martin 13.0%   5 - 3 0 - 0 16 - 12 11 - 9 -5.1      -4.3 287 -0.8 194 66.0 277 +3.1 129 0.0 2
265 Tennessee Tech 10.2%   2 - 6 0 - 0 13 - 14 11 - 8 -5.6      -3.7 261 -1.9 234 73.7 67 -6.4 258 0.0 2
313 Arkansas Little Rock 2.9%   1 - 8 0 - 0 10 - 19 9 - 11 -9.0      -4.7 298 -4.3 317 65.1 296 -10.8 315 0.0 2
317 Southern Indiana 2.8%   1 - 7 0 - 0 9 - 19 8 - 12 -9.2      -6.6 338 -2.6 258 75.3 43 -13.7 341 0.0 2
323 Morehead St. 2.2%   1 - 7 0 - 0 9 - 19 8 - 12 -9.6      -5.1 303 -4.5 325 68.7 210 -14.1 345 0.0 2
333 Eastern Illinois 1.2%   1 - 7 0 - 1 8 - 20 7 - 13 -10.6      -7.6 348 -3.0 273 66.1 272 -13.3 336 -22.4 11
354 Western Illinois 0.3%   1 - 7 0 - 0 6 - 22 5 - 15 -13.7      -7.4 343 -6.4 347 62.4 343 -16.1 352 0.0 2




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Dec 10 333 Eastern Illinois 59 257 Eastern Kentucky 68   
Wed, Dec 10 130 Southern Illinois 83 251 Tennessee Martin 54   
Sat, Dec 13 236 Tennessee St. 63 141 UNLV 60   
Sat, Dec 13 342 North Dakota 66 354 Western Illinois 69   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Dec 14 333 Eastern Illinois 53 4 Iowa St. 88 100%   
Tue, Dec 16 313 Arkansas Little Rock 69 323 Morehead St. 72 59%   
Thu, Dec 18 236 Tennessee St. 72 251 Tennessee Martin 68 65%   
Thu, Dec 18 217 Southeast Missouri St. 76 265 Tennessee Tech 77 53%   
Thu, Dec 18 313 Arkansas Little Rock 71 317 Southern Indiana 73 61%   
Thu, Dec 18 333 Eastern Illinois 64 233 SIU Edwardsville 67 64%   
Thu, Dec 18 237 Lindenwood 78 354 Western Illinois 65 88%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Southeast Missouri St. 3.7 21.6 18.2 15.0 12.4 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.1 2.6 1.5 0.5
SIU Edwardsville 3.6 24.9 17.6 14.1 11.8 9.4 7.6 5.7 4.1 2.8 1.5 0.6
Tennessee St. 4.3 14.2 15.6 15.0 13.7 12.0 9.7 7.3 5.7 3.7 2.2 0.9
Lindenwood 3.4 27.0 18.2 14.5 11.7 9.0 7.1 5.4 3.4 2.3 1.1 0.3
Tennessee Martin 4.3 17.2 14.8 13.4 12.2 11.2 9.6 7.7 6.0 4.3 2.5 1.1
Tennessee Tech 5.0 10.2 11.6 12.1 12.5 12.2 11.6 10.2 8.1 5.8 3.7 1.9
Arkansas Little Rock 6.7 3.4 5.2 6.4 8.2 9.7 11.5 12.5 13.0 12.7 10.5 6.9
Southern Indiana 6.9 3.3 4.6 5.9 7.6 9.3 10.8 12.1 13.7 13.2 11.7 7.8
Morehead St. 7.1 2.6 4.3 5.5 6.9 8.5 10.6 11.9 13.6 14.1 13.2 9.0
Eastern Illinois 8.0 0.9 2.1 3.2 4.3 6.1 8.6 10.7 13.9 16.6 18.4 15.4
Western Illinois 9.3 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.6 2.7 4.1 6.2 9.6 14.1 22.3 37.3




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Southeast Missouri St. 12 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 2.8 4.8 7.2 10.0 12.2 13.6 13.7 12.4 9.4 6.2 3.2 1.2 0.2
SIU Edwardsville 12 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.0 4.6 7.1 9.4 11.3 13.2 13.0 12.1 9.5 6.7 4.2 2.1 0.7 0.2
Tennessee St. 11 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.3 4.1 6.5 9.2 11.7 14.0 14.1 12.8 10.4 7.3 3.7 1.6 0.3
Lindenwood 13 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.3 4.4 6.4 8.9 11.1 13.0 13.6 12.6 10.5 7.5 4.5 2.2 0.8 0.1
Tennessee Martin 11 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.8 4.5 6.8 9.2 11.4 12.6 12.6 11.8 9.8 7.3 4.7 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.0
Tennessee Tech 11 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.3 4.0 6.5 9.0 11.6 12.8 13.3 12.1 10.2 7.7 4.8 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
Arkansas Little Rock 9 - 11 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.3 4.2 6.9 9.8 11.7 12.8 12.6 11.9 9.4 7.1 4.6 2.7 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Southern Indiana 8 - 12 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.8 4.7 7.8 9.8 12.2 13.2 12.3 11.0 8.8 6.6 4.3 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Morehead St. 8 - 12 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.3 5.6 8.5 10.9 12.7 12.4 12.2 10.2 8.2 6.2 3.8 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Eastern Illinois 7 - 13 0.2 1.0 2.9 5.5 9.0 11.6 13.3 13.6 12.9 10.5 7.7 5.1 3.5 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Western Illinois 5 - 15 1.2 4.2 8.6 12.0 14.7 14.6 13.3 10.7 8.1 5.3 3.5 1.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Southeast Missouri St. 21.6% 13.7 5.9 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.0
SIU Edwardsville 24.9% 16.7 6.1 1.6 0.4 0.0
Tennessee St. 14.2% 8.1 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
Lindenwood 27.0% 18.4 6.5 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0
Tennessee Martin 17.2% 11.0 4.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
Tennessee Tech 10.2% 5.8 3.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Arkansas Little Rock 3.4% 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Southern Indiana 3.3% 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
Morehead St. 2.6% 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
Eastern Illinois 0.9% 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Western Illinois 0.3% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Southeast Missouri St. 18.1% 18.1% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 6.3 9.4 81.9 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 16.8% 16.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 5.6 9.2 83.2 0.0%
Tennessee St. 14.8% 14.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.5 6.3 5.1 85.2 0.0%
Lindenwood 17.7% 17.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 6.3 9.3 82.3 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 13.0% 13.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 1.6 5.5 5.5 87.0 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 10.2% 10.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.3 7.4 89.8 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 2.7 97.1 0.0%
Southern Indiana 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 2.6 97.2 0.0%
Morehead St. 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 2.1 97.8 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 1.2 98.8 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3 99.7 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Southeast Missouri St. 18.1% 4.0% 16.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 16.8% 3.8% 15.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee St. 14.8% 1.6% 13.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lindenwood 17.7% 4.0% 15.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 13.0% 1.9% 11.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 10.2% 4.1% 8.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 2.9% 2.2% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Indiana 2.8% 2.1% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morehead St. 2.2% 1.8% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 86.3% 0.9 13.7 86.3
2nd Round 1.2% 0.0 98.8 1.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0