IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Arkansas Little Rock
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.0	#313
Expected Predictive Rating	-10.8	#315

Pace	65.1	#296
Improvement	+0.1	#178

Offense
Total Offense	-4.7	#298

First Shot	-6.4	#340
After Offensive Rebound	+1.7	#75

Layup/Dunks	+3.0	#82
2 Pt Jumpshots	-1.1	#236
3 Pt Jumpshots	-3.7	#299
Freethrows	-4.5	#355

Improvement	+0.5	#131

Defense
Total Defense	-4.3	#317

First Shot	-4.4	#320
After Offensive Rebounds	+0.1	#183

Layups/Dunks	-2.4	#270
2 Pt Jumpshots	+2.4	#24
3 Pt Jumpshots	-7.5	#362
Freethrows	+3.1	#30

Improvement	-0.4	#213

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.9%	4.4%	1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.9	16.0

.500 or above	6.8%	11.6%	3.4%
.500 or above in Conference	38.4%	52.7%	28.5%
Conference Champion	3.4%	6.0%	1.6%
Last Place in Conference	11.4%	5.0%	15.8%

First Four	2.2%	3.2%	1.5%
First Round	1.7%	2.8%	1.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Morehead St. (Away) - 40.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 9
Quad 4	9 - 11	10 - 20

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Mon, Nov 10	229 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	72-92	22%	0 - 1			-20.8	-1.5	-19.5
Wed, Nov 12	88 @Marquette	L	49-89	6%	0 - 2			-31.1	-16.1	-16.9
Sat, Nov 15	308 @Ball St.	W	68-62	36%	1 - 2			+0.7	-3.5	+4.4
Tue, Nov 18	100 @Murray St.	L	68-89	7%	1 - 3			-13.1	+0.5	-14.8
Fri, Nov 21	239 @Texas St.	L	56-65	23%	1 - 4			-10.4	-11.0	-0.1
Sat, Nov 29	130 @Southern Illinois	L	65-74	10%	1 - 5			-3.9	+1.4	-6.1
Wed, Dec 3	283 @Central Arkansas	L	47-85	30%	1 - 6			-41.5	-26.3	-14.5
Sat, Dec 6	153 Arkansas St.	L	78-90	27%	1 - 7			-14.6	+1.8	-16.1
Tue, Dec 9	63 @West Virginia	L	58-90	4%	1 - 8			-20.4	-1.2	-22.8
Tue, Dec 16	323 @Morehead St.	L	70-72	41%
Thu, Dec 18	317 @Southern Indiana	L	70-73	40%
Thu, Jan 1	265 Tennessee Tech	L	72-73	48%
Sat, Jan 3	236 Tennessee St.	L	70-72	43%
Thu, Jan 8	233 @SIU Edwardsville	L	63-71	23%
Sat, Jan 10	237 @Lindenwood	L	69-77	24%
Thu, Jan 15	333 Eastern Illinois	W	70-65	67%
Sat, Jan 17	354 Western Illinois	W	71-63	76%
Thu, Jan 22	217 @Southeast Missouri St.	L	68-77	22%
Sat, Jan 24	251 @Tennessee Martin	L	64-71	27%
Thu, Jan 29	236 @Tennessee St.	L	67-75	24%
Sat, Jan 31	265 @Tennessee Tech	L	69-75	29%
Thu, Feb 5	237 Lindenwood	L	72-74	44%
Sat, Feb 7	233 SIU Edwardsville	L	66-68	43%
Thu, Feb 12	354 @Western Illinois	W	68-66	56%
Sat, Feb 14	333 @Eastern Illinois	L	67-68	46%
Thu, Feb 19	251 Tennessee Martin	L	67-68	47%
Sat, Feb 21	217 Southeast Missouri St.	L	71-74	41%
Thu, Feb 26	323 Morehead St.	W	73-69	63%
Sat, Feb 28	317 Southern Indiana	W	73-70	61%
Projected Record					10 - 19	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.5	0.9	1.0	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		3.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	1.0	2.0	1.4	0.5	0.1	0.0					5.2	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.3	2.8	1.7	0.4	0.0	0.0						6.4	3rd
4th										0.1	1.4	3.8	2.6	0.4	0.0	0.0							8.2	4th
5th									0.1	1.3	4.4	3.2	0.6	0.0									9.7	5th
6th								0.1	1.3	4.6	4.5	1.0	0.0										11.5	6th
7th							0.1	1.3	4.6	5.0	1.4	0.0											12.5	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	1.5	4.7	5.1	1.4	0.1												13.0	8th
9th				0.0	0.2	1.7	4.5	4.5	1.6	0.1													12.7	9th
10th			0.1	0.6	2.0	3.5	3.1	1.2	0.1														10.5	10th
11th	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.7	2.0	1.5	0.5	0.0															6.9	11th

Total	0.1	0.3	0.9	2.3	4.2	6.9	9.8	11.7	12.8	12.6	11.9	9.4	7.1	4.6	2.7	1.5	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-3	96.3%	0.3		0.3	0.0
16-4	86.9%	0.6		0.5	0.1	0.0
15-5	64.8%	1.0		0.6	0.3	0.0	0.0
14-6	32.4%	0.9		0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0
13-7	10.0%	0.5		0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-8	1.0%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.1%	0.0						0.0	0.0
10-10	0.0%

Total	3.4%	3.4		1.8	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%																				0.0			0.0
19-1	0.0%																				0.0			0.0
18-2	0.1%		47.8%	47.8%		15.2															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
17-3	0.3%		34.1%	34.1%		15.5																0.1	0.0	0.2
16-4	0.7%		27.1%	27.1%		15.8																0.0	0.2	0.5
15-5	1.5%		21.5%	21.5%		15.9																0.0	0.3	1.2
14-6	2.7%		16.3%	16.3%		15.9																0.0	0.4	2.3
13-7	4.6%		11.7%	11.7%		16.0																0.0	0.5	4.1
12-8	7.1%		6.7%	6.7%		16.0																	0.5	6.6
11-9	9.4%		3.4%	3.4%		16.0																0.0	0.3	9.1
10-10	11.9%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																	0.2	11.7
9-11	12.6%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.2	12.4
8-12	12.8%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	12.8
7-13	11.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.7
6-14	9.8%																							9.8
5-15	6.9%																							6.9
4-16	4.2%																							4.2
3-17	2.3%																							2.3
2-18	0.9%																							0.9
1-19	0.3%																							0.3
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		2.9%	2.9%	0.0%	15.9															0.0	0.2	2.7	97.1		0.0%