Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.6#333
Expected Predictive Rating-13.3#336
Pace66.1#272
Improvement-2.4#321

Offense
Total Offense-7.6#348
First Shot-5.9#331
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#284
Layup/Dunks-1.1#225
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#31
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.5#358
Freethrows+0.5#149
Improvement+0.4#147

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#273
First Shot-0.3#187
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#330
Layups/Dunks-2.8#279
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#113
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#135
Freethrows+0.1#178
Improvement-2.8#342
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 0.0% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 2.7% 0.0% 2.7%
.500 or above in Conference 19.4% 25.0% 19.4%
Conference Champion 0.9% 0.0% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 23.3% 33.3% 23.3%
First Four1.0% 0.0% 1.0%
First Round0.6% 0.0% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iowa St. (Away) - 0.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 00 - 4
Quad 30 - 40 - 8
Quad 48 - 128 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 212 @Valparaiso L 63-66 17%     0 - 1 -3.2 -8.2 +5.0
  Fri, Nov 7 258 Nicholls St. W 65-57 41%     1 - 1 -0.4 -10.3 +9.9
  Tue, Nov 11 55 @Notre Dame L 58-78 3%     1 - 2 -7.4 -0.1 -10.3
  Fri, Nov 14 21 @Kentucky L 53-99 1%     1 - 3 -27.4 -8.6 -20.3
  Tue, Nov 25 283 @Central Arkansas L 60-81 25%     1 - 4 -24.5 -6.1 -20.6
  Fri, Nov 28 7 @Purdue L 62-109 0.5%    1 - 5 -23.5 -3.6 -18.6
  Sat, Dec 6 237 Lindenwood L 74-82 37%     1 - 6 0 - 1 -15.2 -2.7 -12.3
  Wed, Dec 10 257 Eastern Kentucky L 59-68 41%     1 - 7 -17.3 -13.0 -5.3
  Sun, Dec 14 4 @Iowa St. L 53-88 0.0%   
  Thu, Dec 18 233 SIU Edwardsville L 64-68 37%    
  Thu, Jan 1 217 @Southeast Missouri St. L 66-76 17%    
  Sat, Jan 3 251 @Tennessee Martin L 62-70 21%    
  Thu, Jan 8 265 Tennessee Tech L 70-72 42%    
  Sat, Jan 10 236 Tennessee St. L 68-71 38%    
  Tue, Jan 13 354 Western Illinois W 69-63 71%    
  Thu, Jan 15 313 @Arkansas Little Rock L 65-70 33%    
  Thu, Jan 22 317 @Southern Indiana L 68-72 35%    
  Sat, Jan 24 323 @Morehead St. L 67-71 36%    
  Thu, Jan 29 251 Tennessee Martin L 65-67 42%    
  Sat, Jan 31 217 Southeast Missouri St. L 69-73 35%    
  Thu, Feb 5 236 @Tennessee St. L 65-74 19%    
  Sat, Feb 7 265 @Tennessee Tech L 67-75 23%    
  Tue, Feb 10 354 @Western Illinois W 66-65 51%    
  Sat, Feb 14 313 Arkansas Little Rock W 68-67 54%    
  Thu, Feb 19 323 Morehead St. W 70-68 57%    
  Sat, Feb 21 317 Southern Indiana W 71-69 56%    
  Thu, Feb 26 237 @Lindenwood L 67-76 20%    
  Sat, Feb 28 233 @SIU Edwardsville L 61-71 20%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.2 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 2.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 3.0 1.7 0.2 0.0 6.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 3.9 3.0 0.4 0.0 8.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 4.5 4.1 0.7 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.7 5.1 5.4 1.3 0.1 13.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.7 6.1 5.6 1.7 0.1 16.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.1 6.3 4.8 1.5 0.1 18.4 10th
11th 0.2 1.0 2.7 4.1 4.4 2.4 0.6 0.1 15.4 11th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.9 5.5 9.0 11.6 13.3 13.6 12.9 10.5 7.7 5.1 3.5 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 90.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 92.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-5 62.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 33.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1
13-7 11.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 1.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 26.8% 26.8% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.4% 19.4% 19.4% 16.0 0.1 0.3
14-6 0.8% 15.6% 15.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.7
13-7 1.8% 11.1% 11.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2 1.6
12-8 3.5% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 3.2
11-9 5.1% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.2 4.9
10-10 7.7% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 7.6
9-11 10.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 10.5
8-12 12.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.8
7-13 13.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.6
6-14 13.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.3
5-15 11.6% 11.6
4-16 9.0% 9.0
3-17 5.5% 5.5
2-18 2.9% 2.9
1-19 1.0% 1.0
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 98.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%