Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#265
Expected Predictive Rating-6.4#258
Pace73.7#67
Improvement+2.8#30

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#261
First Shot-1.1#206
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#327
Layup/Dunks+2.0#108
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#102
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#268
Freethrows-1.7#281
Improvement+2.9#20

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#234
First Shot-2.2#248
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#167
Layups/Dunks+2.6#87
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#259
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#293
Freethrows-0.8#232
Improvement-0.1#188
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.2% 13.4% 6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 42.3% 54.6% 28.3%
.500 or above in Conference 64.7% 76.4% 51.3%
Conference Champion 10.2% 15.4% 4.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.6% 1.7% 5.8%
First Four4.1% 4.7% 3.3%
First Round8.2% 11.0% 4.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southeast Missouri St. (Home) - 53.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 412 - 813 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 145 @Western Kentucky L 70-82 19%     0 - 1 -8.2 -6.2 -1.0
  Fri, Nov 7 195 @Charlotte L 65-70 27%     0 - 2 -4.3 -4.4 -0.3
  Mon, Nov 17 315 West Georgia L 59-61 73%     0 - 3 -14.0 -17.2 +3.1
  Wed, Nov 19 261 @South Carolina Upstate W 88-84 38%     1 - 3 +1.5 +7.5 -6.4
  Wed, Nov 26 21 @Kentucky L 54-104 2%     1 - 4 -31.4 -11.4 -18.1
  Sat, Nov 29 19 @Georgia L 81-123 2%     1 - 5 -23.0 +0.9 -15.7
  Wed, Dec 3 142 @Lipscomb L 80-83 18%     1 - 6 +1.1 +5.7 -4.4
  Sat, Dec 6 315 @West Georgia W 87-59 52%     2 - 6 +22.0 +11.2 +10.8
  Thu, Dec 18 217 Southeast Missouri St. W 77-76 53%    
  Sat, Dec 20 251 Tennessee Martin W 73-70 59%    
  Thu, Jan 1 313 @Arkansas Little Rock W 73-72 52%    
  Thu, Jan 8 333 @Eastern Illinois W 72-70 58%    
  Sat, Jan 10 354 @Western Illinois W 73-68 69%    
  Thu, Jan 15 317 Southern Indiana W 80-73 73%    
  Sat, Jan 17 323 Morehead St. W 78-71 74%    
  Thu, Jan 22 237 @Lindenwood L 76-80 35%    
  Sat, Jan 24 233 @SIU Edwardsville L 68-73 34%    
  Tue, Jan 27 236 @Tennessee St. L 73-77 34%    
  Sat, Jan 31 313 Arkansas Little Rock W 75-69 71%    
  Thu, Feb 5 354 Western Illinois W 76-65 84%    
  Sat, Feb 7 333 Eastern Illinois W 75-67 77%    
  Thu, Feb 12 323 @Morehead St. W 75-74 54%    
  Sat, Feb 14 317 @Southern Indiana W 77-76 52%    
  Thu, Feb 19 233 SIU Edwardsville W 71-70 55%    
  Sat, Feb 21 237 Lindenwood W 79-77 55%    
  Thu, Feb 26 251 @Tennessee Martin L 70-73 38%    
  Sat, Feb 28 217 @Southeast Missouri St. L 74-79 32%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 11 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.6 3.0 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1 10.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 4.1 3.9 1.7 0.3 0.0 11.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 4.9 3.9 1.2 0.1 0.0 12.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 5.3 4.3 1.2 0.1 12.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 4.9 4.7 1.1 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 4.5 4.8 1.2 0.1 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.4 4.5 1.4 0.1 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.6 3.6 1.2 0.1 0.0 8.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 1.8 2.4 0.9 0.1 5.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.4 0.6 0.1 3.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.9 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.3 4.0 6.5 9.0 11.6 12.8 13.3 12.1 10.2 7.7 4.8 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 97.9% 1.0    0.9 0.1
16-4 88.4% 2.2    1.7 0.5 0.0
15-5 62.3% 3.0    1.8 1.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 33.0% 2.6    0.9 1.1 0.5 0.1
13-7 9.9% 1.0    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-8 1.3% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 10.2% 10.2 5.8 3.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.3% 51.7% 51.7% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
17-3 1.0% 47.4% 47.4% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5
16-4 2.5% 41.7% 41.7% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 1.4
15-5 4.8% 31.5% 31.5% 15.5 0.1 0.6 0.8 3.3
14-6 7.7% 26.4% 26.4% 15.8 0.0 0.4 1.6 5.7
13-7 10.2% 18.3% 18.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.6 8.3
12-8 12.1% 11.5% 11.5% 15.9 0.1 1.3 10.7
11-9 13.3% 6.9% 6.9% 15.9 0.1 0.9 12.3
10-10 12.8% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4 12.4
9-11 11.6% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.3 11.3
8-12 9.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.0
7-13 6.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.5
6-14 4.0% 4.0
5-15 2.3% 2.3
4-16 1.2% 1.2
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 10.2% 10.2% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.3 7.4 89.8 0.0%