Southeast Missouri St.
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -4.3 232
Results Rating -4.1 235
Consistency 0.15 163
Pace 71.4 101
Improvement +1.1 141

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 305 D+ C C C C+
Defense C+ 140 C C C F C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 86 C- 55% 252 +0.9 144
2 Pt. Jumpers 43% 116 D+ 35% 294 -0.6 216
Three Pointers 37% 266 D 30% 319 -3.9 310
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 167 D -3.8 307
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.95 298
Second Chance D+ 27.4% 263 B+ 1.15 37 C 0.32 164
Opponents' Steals C 9.6% 207
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 175
Turnovers C 16.8% 192
Freethrows C+ 0.32 136 D 69% 297 C 0.22 179
Total Offense D -5.2 305

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D 39% 317 C- 11.6% 220
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 175 C+ 4.4% 141
Three Pointers C+ 86% 127 F+ 1.7% 339
Total D 49% 307 D+ 6.4% 282


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 72 C+ 56% 118 +1.6 228
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 185 D- 43% 327 +0.7 248
Three Pointers 37% 294 C 34% 167 -2.2 86
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.4 236 C -0.2 168
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 179
Second Chance B- 28.3% 106 D+ 1.10 288 C 0.31 192
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.5% 257
Other Turnovers B+ 8.5% 38
Turnovers C 17.0% 158
Freethrows F 0.41 361 D 75% 315 F 0.30 362
Total Defense C+ +1.0 140

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A- 37% 14 C 10.9% 177
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 29% 257 C- 4.1% 221
Three Pointers D+ 87% 281 B+ 1.9% 33
Total B 49% 54 C+ 6.2% 129

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.8 112 17.1 146
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 251 0.19 275
Consistency 0.11 96 0.11 90
Improvement -2.3 300 +3.5 33

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 232 232 231
Results Rating Rank 234 234 234
Conference Record 14 - 6 14 - 6 14 - 6
Conference Finish 3 3 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 32 - 12 - 4
Quad 415 - 917 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 32 @Saint Louis L 67 - 92 3% -10  22% 0 - 1 D+ -8 D- -7 D- F A C+ +1 B C B+
 Fri, Nov 7 47 @Missouri L 84 - 89 5% -2  32% 0 - 2 B +10 B +6 B+ C+ D- B +4 F A+ A+
 Sat, Nov 15 113 St. Thomas L 72 - 84 33% -13  0% 0 - 3 D- -12 F -11 D- C+ C C -0 F A A+
 Tue, Nov 18 27 @Iowa L 70 - 99 3% -19  0% 0 - 4 D -10 B- +5 B- A+ D- F -16 F F B-
 Tue, Nov 25 220 Cal Poly W 84 - 68 46% +3  38% 1 - 4 B+ +13 C +0 D+ B- C- A+ +12 A+ F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 317 @Northern Arizona L 72 - 79 59% -7  1% 1 - 5 D- -14 F+ -9 F C- A D -5 C F C-
 Sat, Nov 29 219 Lipscomb L 77 - 88 57% -4  18% 1 - 6 F+ -17 F -11 F D+ F+ D -5 F+ C B+
 Sat, Dec 6 295 @Chattanooga W 74 - 70 52% -1  22% 2 - 6 C -1 C- -1 C B F+ C+ +1 F+ D B+
 Thu, Dec 18 314 @Tennessee Tech L 74 - 85 58% -2  47% 2 - 7 0 - 1 F+ -17 D- -7 F A- F F -10 C- F+ F+
 Sat, Dec 20 183 @Tennessee St. W 91 - 82 28% +10  95% 3 - 7 1 - 1 B +11 B+ +8 A A+ F C+ +2 C A F+
 Thu, Jan 1 322 Eastern Illinois W 68 - 59 80% -2  37% 4 - 7 2 - 1 C- -4 F -11 F A+ A B+ +7 C- A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 3 364 Western Illinois W 73 - 50 94% +9  80% 5 - 7 3 - 1 C +1 D- -7 D+ A D- A +9 A- A- A+
 Thu, Jan 8 337 @Southern Indiana W 84 - 76 69% +5  73% 6 - 7 4 - 1 C -1 B +7 A+ F B D- -8 F F A
 Sat, Jan 10 285 @Morehead St. L 69 - 71 50% +4  86% 6 - 8 4 - 2 D+ -6 C +1 D- C- A+ D- -7 F B- B
 Thu, Jan 15 271 Lindenwood L 76 - 88 68% -17  2% 6 - 9 4 - 3 F -21 F -12 F A- C D- -8 D- F C+
 Sat, Jan 17 262 SIU Edwardsville L 55 - 68 66% -16  0% 6 - 10 4 - 4 F -22 F -15 F D- F D- -8 F+ D- C-
 Tue, Jan 20 234 Tennessee Martin W 66 - 50 62% +18  99% 7 - 10 5 - 4 B +9 D+ -3 D+ A- C+ A+ +13 A C- A+
 Thu, Jan 22 304 Arkansas Little Rock W 70 - 65 76% +5  85% 8 - 10 6 - 4 D+ -7 F+ -9 D+ F B- B- +3 B+ C+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 364 @Western Illinois W 78 - 74 87% +2  72% 9 - 10 7 - 4 D- -12 D+ -3 B- D- F F+ -9 F B+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 322 @Eastern Illinois W 77 - 59 62% +12  97% 10 - 10 8 - 4 B +11 B +7 A+ F B+ B +5 D+ C+ B+
 Thu, Feb 5 285 Morehead St. W 82 - 70 72% +9  93% 11 - 10 9 - 4 C+ +2 C- -1 B- A F B- +2 F+ C B
 Sat, Feb 7 337 Southern Indiana W 90 - 65 85% +5  53% 12 - 10 10 - 4 B +10 A +13 C- A+ A+ C- -2 C C- C-
 Thu, Feb 12 262 @SIU Edwardsville L 56 - 74 43% -1  58% 12 - 11 10 - 5 F -21 F -13 F+ F+ C+ F+ -9 D+ F D-
 Sat, Feb 14 271 @Lindenwood W 73 - 61 46% +2  54% 13 - 11 11 - 5 B +9 D+ -4 D F C+ A+ +12 B+ A+ F
 Tue, Feb 17 234 @Tennessee Martin W 56 - 53 OT 39% +5  83% 14 - 11 12 - 5 C +2 F -17 F C+ F A+ +18 A+ A+ D-
 Sat, Feb 21 304 @Arkansas Little Rock W 70 - 65 56% +1  49% 15 - 11 13 - 5 C -1 D- -6 D- F D- B+ +6 A- A F
 Thu, Feb 26 183 Tennessee St. L 71 - 79 50% +1  47% 15 - 12 13 - 6 D- -12 F -11 F C B+ C -1 B B D+
 Sat, Feb 28 314 Tennessee Tech W 89 - 73 78% +2  52% 16 - 12 14 - 6 C+ +4 A- +10 B D+ A+ D -6 D+ A F
 Thu, Mar 5 271 Lindenwood W 68 - 66 58% -3  26% 17 - 12 C- -4 D -5 D+ F+ B+ C+ +1 A+ F B-
 Fri, Mar 6 285 Morehead St. L 61 - 66 61% +4  86% 17 - 13 D- -12 F -15 F D- C+ B- +2 B+ B F
Totals 17 - 13 14 - 6 -4 D -5 D D C+ C+ +1 D D C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C- D+ D D 42% 43% 37% C+ D+ D+ B+ C C C+ D C C+ C+ D- C C 43% 20% 37% C- C B- D+ C C F D F
1.01 55% 35% 30% -4 0 0.95 27% 1.2 .32 17% .32 69% .22 1.07 56% 43% 34% 0 0 1.02 28% 1.1 .31 17% .41 75% .24
Nov
3		 Saint Louis D- C D- F C- 25% 42% 32% F D- F F+ F A A D B+ C+ F B+ A- B 49% 5% 46% C- B F A C B+ D F D-
0.87 53% 32% 26% -7 -4 0.80 15% 0.7 .11 12% .38 69% .26 1.19 71% 33% 31% +4 +3 1.16 39% 0.9 .33 19% .34 81% .27
Nov
7		 Missouri B A- A+ C A 26% 31% 43% D- B+ A F+ C+ D- A- A A B F F D- F 41% 33% 27% A+ F A- A+ A+ A+ F A F
1.09 64% 53% 35% +7 -2 1.11 38% 0.7 .26 21% .34 81% .28 1.15 75% 63% 38% +17 -1 1.33 31% 0.9 .28 25% .53 61% .33
Nov
15		 St. Thomas F D D- F+ F+ 46% 23% 32% C- D- F A+ C+ C F F F C F A+ F F 49% 11% 40% C- F A+ F A A+ F F F
0.94 54% 31% 28% -7 0 0.89 18% 2.0 .35 17% .19 58% .11 1.10 82% 0% 44% +14 +2 1.33 5% 2.0 .09 21% .43 85% .36
Nov
18		 Iowa B- D A+ C C+ 46% 17% 37% B B- A A+ A+ D- A F C F F F F+ F 41% 14% 45% C F D F F B- F B- F
1.03 53% 57% 33% 0 +1 1.05 34% 1.5 .52 25% .41 57% .23 1.45 78% 67% 40% +16 +1 1.36 36% 1.8 .64 16% .68 74% .51
Nov
25		 Cal Poly C C- A F D- 50% 7% 43% A D+ B- C+ B- C- C- A+ B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 34% 15% 51% A- A+ F F F A+ F D- F
1.12 59% 50% 28% -3 +3 1.02 34% 1.1 .37 16% .27 88% .24 0.91 31% 14% 21% -23 0 0.57 38% 1.2 .45 25% .66 84% .56
Nov
26		 Northern Arizona F+ D+ F F F 59% 7% 34% A F D B+ C- A F F F D C D C+ C 49% 26% 26% D+ C C- F F C- F D- F
1.04 56% 25% 20% -9 +3 0.90 29% 1.3 .36 12% .21 54% .11 1.14 57% 42% 33% 0 0 1.02 25% 2.4 .61 16% .43 72% .31
Nov
29		 Lipscomb F D- B F F 43% 26% 30% C F C D- D+ F+ A+ A- A+ D C- C+ F F 43% 11% 45% C- F+ A- F C B+ F C+ F
0.96 52% 43% 19% -8 0 0.85 32% 0.8 .26 21% .47 77% .36 1.10 61% 33% 42% +6 +2 1.17 18% 1.3 .24 20% .40 73% .30
Dec
6		 Chattanooga C- C+ F+ B C+ 35% 19% 46% C- C C A B F+ F F F C+ B- F F D- 48% 22% 30% D- F+ B+ F D B+ D- C D-
1.12 61% 30% 38% +2 0 1.06 32% 1.4 .44 17% .16 56% .09 1.06 55% 50% 43% +5 +1 1.13 16% 1.8 .28 18% .31 76% .24
Dec
18		 Tennessee Tech D- F D+ F F 38% 13% 50% B F B+ B A- F A+ C+ A+ F C+ A+ F C- 43% 24% 33% C- C- C F F+ F+ F F F
1.02 22% 33% 29% -18 +1 0.69 37% 1.3 .49 19% .53 77% .41 1.18 55% 18% 40% -3 0 0.96 29% 1.3 .39 15% .68 83% .57
Dec
20		 Tennessee St. B+ B A+ A+ A 44% 13% 42% C+ A C+ A+ A+ F A+ C+ A+ C+ D+ A F+ C 40% 36% 25% B- C A+ B+ A F+ F B F
1.19 65% 67% 42% +12 +1 1.29 32% 1.7 .54 25% .50 76% .38 1.07 62% 26% 38% -1 -2 0.96 23% 0.9 .21 13% .54 72% .39
Jan
1		 Eastern Illinois F F F F F 65% 4% 31% A+ F D+ A+ A+ A C+ F F B+ A C- F+ C+ 53% 18% 29% F C- A+ A+ A+ C- F C+ F
0.97 48% 0% 27% -11 +4 0.88 32% 1.9 .62 14% .33 45% .15 0.84 42% 38% 38% -7 +1 0.91 16% 0.4 .06 17% .38 73% .28
Jan
3		 Western Illinois D- D+ A+ D- D 59% 11% 30% A- D+ C- A+ A D- B D C+ A A- C A+ A 34% 27% 39% C A- B- A+ A- A+ F F F
1.12 58% 60% 31% +1 +3 1.09 33% 1.6 .54 17% .35 68% .24 0.77 43% 36% 19% -15 -1 0.71 21% 0.7 .14 26% .54 73% .39
Jan
8		 Southern Indiana B A- B A+ A+ 50% 24% 26% C- A+ F+ F F B A+ F C+ D- C+ F A- F 41% 14% 45% F F F+ F F A F F F
1.20 68% 42% 54% +14 0 1.30 25% 0.7 .18 13% .46 54% .25 1.08 50% 71% 27% -3 +1 0.98 35% 1.2 .41 21% .49 85% .42
Jan
10		 Morehead St. C B+ F F D- 41% 22% 37% D+ D- D+ C+ C- A+ A- F+ B- D- F F F F 41% 34% 24% B- F D A B- B F+ C+ D-
1.14 65% 27% 28% -3 0 0.96 33% 1.0 .33 8% .38 67% .25 1.18 71% 57% 40% +14 -2 1.27 38% 0.8 .29 20% .37 72% .27
Jan
15		 Lindenwood F F F+ D+ F 50% 12% 38% B+ F C- A+ A- C B+ D- C+ D- C A+ B- D+ 61% 4% 35% F D- D F F C+ F C+ F
0.93 41% 29% 32% -11 +2 0.84 31% 1.4 .44 17% .39 65% .25 1.08 57% 0% 29% -5 +4 1.00 35% 1.5 .51 20% .53 66% .35
Jan
17		 SIU Edwardsville F F A F F 45% 24% 31% B- F F A D- F A+ F A D- A F F F+ 43% 24% 33% F+ F+ C F D- C- F+ D F+
0.87 37% 50% 23% -12 0 0.79 20% 1.2 .23 20% .46 65% .30 1.07 45% 45% 47% +2 0 1.07 27% 1.3 .35 17% .32 71% .23
Jan
20		 Tennessee Martin D+ D- F+ C- D 27% 15% 58% B- D+ B+ B+ A- C+ C F F+ A+ B- B A+ A+ 36% 8% 56% F A F A C- A+ F A F
1.03 54% 29% 32% -4 0 0.94 40% 1.1 .43 19% .33 53% .17 0.78 54% 33% 20% -14 +1 0.78 46% 0.7 .31 33% .51 59% .30
Jan
22		 Arkansas Little Rock F+ B C- D D 43% 12% 45% C+ D+ F F F B- A- C A- B- A+ A F A- 37% 30% 33% D B+ A F C+ F D- D- D-
1.03 67% 33% 32% +2 +1 1.08 21% 0.7 .14 16% .37 71% .26 0.96 35% 25% 44% -7 -1 0.85 22% 1.3 .27 12% .28 71% .20
Jan
29		 Western Illinois D+ A+ F F C 51% 7% 42% A- B- F A+ D- F A+ D+ A+ F+ C A- D- F 35% 14% 51% F F B- A+ B+ F F D F
1.13 82% 0% 28% +6 +3 1.19 18% 1.8 .32 19% .59 70% .41 1.07 53% 29% 36% -2 +1 1.00 22% 0.8 .16 10% .47 69% .32
Jan
31		 Eastern Illinois B A F A+ A+ 43% 8% 49% B A+ D F F B+ F D- F B A+ B F C 49% 20% 31% F D+ A- F C+ B+ C- C+ C-
1.18 71% 25% 46% +13 +2 1.33 30% 0.6 .17 15% .20 73% .14 0.91 38% 30% 47% -6 +1 0.92 20% 1.2 .23 21% .29 73% .21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Morehead St. C- D- A A+ B- 51% 13% 36% B+ B- C A+ A F A D B+ B- B F D F+ 48% 23% 29% F+ F+ A+ F C B B+ D- B
1.17 50% 50% 47% +4 +2 1.15 37% 1.4 .50 21% .40 68% .27 1.00 52% 64% 36% +4 0 1.10 24% 1.3 .32 20% .25 79% .20
Feb
7		 Southern Indiana A A- C F D+ 53% 23% 23% C C- A A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C- A F A C+ 44% 18% 38% F+ C C- D+ C- C- F D F
1.33 68% 36% 18% -1 +1 1.02 44% 1.6 .70 9% .52 88% .45 0.96 41% 44% 26% -11 +1 0.82 30% 0.9 .27 16% .41 70% .28
Feb
12		 SIU Edwardsville F F F A+ D- 29% 27% 45% D F+ F C+ F+ C+ D+ F F F+ B- F B C- 42% 26% 32% D- D+ F+ F F D- F+ C D-
0.85 36% 15% 41% -8 -1 0.84 20% 1.0 .20 15% .29 50% .14 1.13 52% 46% 31% -2 0 0.98 33% 1.3 .42 15% .32 67% .22
Feb
14		 Lindenwood D+ A F F D- 55% 15% 30% B+ D D F F C+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+ F A+ A- 46% 23% 31% C B+ A+ D+ A+ F F A+ D+
1.01 69% 0% 21% -5 +2 0.96 26% 0.6 .15 17% .66 70% .46 0.84 42% 50% 19% -12 0 0.79 17% 1.1 .20 14% .40 56% .22
Feb
17		 Tennessee Martin F F F F F 42% 19% 40% B+ F B D+ C+ F A+ C A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 30% 32% 38% A A+ B+ A+ A+ D- D- C+ D+
0.78 40% 11% 21% -20 0 0.63 38% 0.9 .33 27% .46 71% .32 0.74 50% 24% 15% -18 -2 0.62 29% 0.6 .17 18% .34 65% .22
Feb
21		 Arkansas Little Rock D- A+ D+ F D+ 27% 33% 40% F D- C- F F D- A+ D A B+ C C+ A+ B+ 30% 44% 26% A A- B+ A+ A F F F F
1.03 92% 31% 26% +2 -2 1.02 33% 0.6 .21 21% .41 68% .28 0.95 60% 32% 23% -6 -4 0.82 25% 0.8 .19 13% .32 89% .29
Feb
26		 Tennessee St. F F F B+ F 54% 10% 36% B+ F D- A+ C B+ A+ D+ A- C A+ F B B 43% 35% 22% C B D+ A+ B D+ F F F
0.96 37% 20% 39% -11 +2 0.86 24% 1.4 .32 16% .45 71% .32 1.07 40% 50% 30% -5 -1 0.89 34% 0.8 .28 15% .67 86% .57
Feb
28		 Tennessee Tech A- A+ F B- B+ 45% 25% 30% C B F+ A+ D+ A+ A+ B A+ D C+ F A+ C- 47% 19% 34% F+ D+ A+ F A F F F F
1.31 83% 15% 38% +7 0 1.17 22% 1.5 .33 6% .39 80% .31 1.07 55% 56% 25% -3 +1 0.98 15% 1.3 .19 12% .50 83% .42
Mar
5		 Lindenwood D B- B- D- C 31% 29% 39% F D+ D F F+ B+ D- B D C+ C+ A- A+ A 41% 36% 23% A+ A+ F B F B- F C+ F
1.00 63% 40% 30% 0 -2 0.98 28% 0.8 .22 15% .28 75% .21 0.97 56% 25% 10% -14 -2 0.70 44% 1.0 .44 21% .59 66% .39
Mar
6		 Morehead St. F C+ F F F 20% 45% 35% F F D- D- D- C+ B A+ A B- D- A+ B B- 33% 44% 23% A+ B+ C A- B F F A- F
0.94 60% 27% 24% -10 -4 0.73 30% 0.8 .26 14% .36 85% .31 1.02 64% 26% 30% -5 -3 0.86 34% 0.8 .27 12% .55 68% .37



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 100.0
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%