Tennessee Martin
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -4.3 232
Results Rating -2.5 208
Consistency 0.18 337
Pace 62.5 330
Improvement -3.3 297

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 332 D+ C F D+ C-
Defense C+ 115 C+ C B+ C- B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 344 C 57% 194 -4.7 334
2 Pt. Jumpers 32% 242 C 38% 187 -0.8 228
Three Pointers 50% 21 D- 30% 325 +2.0 112
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.3 222 D+ -3.1 288
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.95 286
Second Chance B 34.4% 69 F+ 0.88 346 C 0.30 192
Opponents' Steals F 12.7% 360
Other Turnovers D 8.3% 309
Turnovers F 21.0% 356
Freethrows C- 0.29 216 F+ 66% 346 D+ 0.20 275
Total Offense D -6.6 332

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 51% 131 C 10.9% 178
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 19% 278 C+ 4.5% 152
Three Pointers B+ 92% 22 C- 1.1% 242
Total B- 61% 67 B- 4.7% 84


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 340 D 63% 318 -2.7 86
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 112 B 34% 49 -0.2 173
Three Pointers 46% 35 B- 32% 100 +1.8 277
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.7 60 C -0.4 162
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 139
Second Chance D+ 32.9% 287 B 0.94 48 C 0.31 184
Turnovers from Steals B+ 12.2% 23
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 170
Turnovers B+ 19.4% 37
Freethrows C- 0.32 243 B- 71% 73 C- 0.23 218
Total Defense C+ +2.3 115

Assists Blocks
Close Shots F+ 59% 347 C 11.1% 170
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 200 A+ 11.4% 5
Three Pointers D+ 87% 289 B+ 1.7% 47
Total D 63% 330 B- 6.8% 81

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.6 305 17.6 241
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 171 0.22 327
Consistency 0.15 350 0.12 136
Improvement -5.1 348 +1.8 102

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 232 232 232
Results Rating Rank 208 208 208
Conference Record 13 - 7 13 - 7 13 - 7
Conference Finish 4 4 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 12 - 2
Quad 30 - 32 - 5
Quad 417 - 619 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 105 @UNLV W 86 - 81 13% -1  43% 1 - 0 B+ +13 C +1 C C+ C A +11 A- F A+
 Wed, Nov 12 111 @Bradley W 78 - 67 16% +2  64% 2 - 0 A- +18 C+ +2 A+ A F A+ +15 A+ D A
 Tue, Nov 18 63 @Florida St. L 73 - 87 7% -6  12% 2 - 1 C -2 D+ -3 A- A+ F B- +3 C A- F
 Sat, Nov 22 303 Prairie View W 69 - 68 66% -2  38% 3 - 1 D+ -8 F+ -8 D+ F F C+ +1 A- C C
 Sun, Nov 23 213 Southern Miss L 60 - 70 45% -14  0% 3 - 2 D- -13 C -0 B- D- C+ F -15 F+ F F+
 Tue, Dec 2 247 Charleston Southern W 73 - 56 64% +5  77% 4 - 2 B +9 C- -2 D D+ C A+ +12 A+ C B+
 Sun, Dec 7 324 Alabama St. W 74 - 64 81% -0  34% 5 - 2 C- -3 C- -2 F+ B+ D C -1 F A+ B
 Wed, Dec 10 122 @Southern Illinois L 54 - 83 17% -9  15% 5 - 3 F -23 F -13 F+ F F F -10 F F B
 Thu, Dec 18 183 @Tennessee St. L 71 - 78 28% +1  61% 5 - 4 0 - 1 D+ -5 D -5 F B- F+ C -0 D B D
 Sat, Dec 20 314 @Tennessee Tech W 86 - 62 58% +7  85% 6 - 4 1 - 1 A- +18 A+ +16 A+ F B+ B +4 F A- A
 Thu, Jan 1 364 Western Illinois W 67 - 60 94% -2  27% 7 - 4 2 - 1 F+ -15 F -12 F F B+ C- -3 F+ A B+
 Sat, Jan 3 322 Eastern Illinois W 65 - 61 80% -0  41% 8 - 4 3 - 1 D -9 F -11 F A F B- +2 B- A- C
 Thu, Jan 8 285 @Morehead St. W 76 - 68 50% -3  28% 9 - 4 4 - 1 C+ +4 B +6 B+ B- D+ C -1 C- F+ A-
 Sat, Jan 10 337 @Southern Indiana W 73 - 56 69% +2  52% 10 - 4 5 - 1 B- +8 B- +4 C+ A+ F B+ +5 A- D- B
 Thu, Jan 15 263 SIU Edwardsville W 65 - 59 66% +3  71% 11 - 4 6 - 1 C- -3 D+ -4 D B+ D+ B- +2 A- C F
 Sat, Jan 17 272 Lindenwood W 69 - 55 68% +10  96% 12 - 4 7 - 1 C+ +5 F+ -9 C- C- F A+ +14 A+ B A
 Tue, Jan 20 231 @Southeast Missouri St. L 50 - 66 38% -18  0% 12 - 5 7 - 2 F+ -17 F -18 F C F C -0 C F B-
 Thu, Jan 29 322 @Eastern Illinois W 76 - 68 61% +7  94% 13 - 5 8 - 2 C +1 C+ +3 A+ C- F C- -2 B- D+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 364 @Western Illinois W 84 - 44 87% +21  98% 14 - 5 9 - 2 A+ +24 B+ +9 C A+ C A+ +18 A- A+ A
 Tue, Feb 3 304 Arkansas Little Rock W 55 - 52 76% +1  69% 15 - 5 10 - 2 D -9 F -19 D- D+ F A +11 B- C- A+
 Thu, Feb 5 337 Southern Indiana W 76 - 54 85% +13  91% 16 - 5 11 - 2 B- +7 C+ +2 C- A+ F B+ +6 A- B+ B-
 Sat, Feb 7 285 Morehead St. L 55 - 61 72% -0  37% 16 - 6 11 - 3 F+ -16 F -19 F D- C- C+ +1 C+ C- A-
 Thu, Feb 12 272 @Lindenwood L 74 - 75 46% +0  47% 16 - 7 11 - 4 C- -4 C +1 A- C F D -5 F A A+
 Sat, Feb 14 263 @SIU Edwardsville W 81 - 76 43% +2  53% 17 - 7 12 - 4 C+ +2 A- +11 A+ C F F+ -9 F F A+
 Tue, Feb 17 231 Southeast Missouri St. L 53 - 56 OT 61% -5  2% 17 - 8 12 - 5 D -10 F -24 F F D+ A+ +14 A+ C- A+
 Thu, Feb 19 304 @Arkansas Little Rock L 65 - 67 56% +2  67% 17 - 9 12 - 6 D+ -8 C- -2 F B- B D -6 D F B
 Thu, Feb 26 314 Tennessee Tech W 64 - 49 78% +6  92% 18 - 9 13 - 6 C+ +3 F -14 F D- C- A+ +17 A+ A+ A
 Sat, Feb 28 183 Tennessee St. L 42 - 67 50% -17  0% 18 - 10 13 - 7 F -29 F -34 F F F B- +3 C C- A
 Thu, Mar 5 322 Eastern Illinois W 66 - 63 72% +1  55% 19 - 10 D+ -7 D+ -3 D- C B D+ -4 F B B-
 Fri, Mar 6 183 Tennessee St. L 55 - 68 38% -9  3% 19 - 11 D- -14 F -14 F D- F C- -3 F C- A+
Totals 19 - 11 13 - 7 -4 D -7 F D+ C- C+ +2 D- F+ D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C C D- D+ 31% 32% 50% C- D+ B F+ C F C- F+ D+ C+ D B B- C 31% 22% 46% B C+ D+ B C B+ C- B- C-
0.99 57% 38% 30% -3 0 0.95 34% 0.9 .30 21% .29 66% .20 1.05 63% 34% 32% 0 -1 1.00 33% 0.9 .31 19% .32 71% .21
Nov
4		 UNLV C F A+ C+ C 30% 12% 58% C+ C C- A- C+ C A+ F A+ A D B- A A- 33% 19% 49% B- A- C+ F F A+ F F+ F
1.07 47% 50% 34% -2 +1 1.00 28% 1.3 .35 17% .73 56% .41 1.01 64% 38% 29% -2 0 0.98 31% 1.5 .47 27% .64 76% .48
Nov
12		 Bradley C+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 39% 9% 52% A+ A+ D+ A+ A F C F D+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 42% 18% 40% D- A+ C+ F D A F F+ F
1.06 65% 50% 43% +11 +2 1.27 27% 1.6 .42 31% .34 65% .22 0.91 63% 13% 6% -19 +1 0.64 26% 1.3 .33 19% .62 81% .51
Nov
18		 Florida St. D+ D- A+ A- A- 31% 18% 51% B- A- B+ A+ A+ F A+ A- A+ B- D+ A+ C- C+ 45% 9% 46% D C C- A+ A- F C- A+ B
0.97 50% 63% 39% +6 0 1.13 37% 1.2 .43 34% .42 76% .32 1.15 64% 20% 35% +1 +2 1.09 33% 0.9 .29 8% .33 57% .19
Nov
22		 Prairie View F+ B A+ F D+ 40% 18% 43% C D+ F+ F F F A+ D+ A+ C+ C+ C- A+ B 23% 45% 32% A+ A- D B C C F D+ F
0.99 63% 57% 24% -2 +1 1.00 28% 0.9 .25 23% .56 70% .39 0.98 55% 38% 20% -8 -4 0.79 27% 0.9 .24 16% .53 77% .41
Nov
23		 Southern Miss C D A+ C+ B- 38% 20% 43% C- B- C+ F D- C+ A- F D+ F F B- F F 31% 33% 36% B F+ F D F F+ B+ A+ A+
1.08 53% 63% 35% +4 0 1.10 30% 0.7 .20 16% .43 55% .23 1.25 71% 33% 38% +4 -2 1.07 42% 1.2 .48 14% .31 53% .17
Dec
2		 Charleston Southern C- B F F+ D- 27% 15% 58% B- D A F D+ C A+ A A+ A+ F+ D+ A+ A+ 19% 10% 71% A- A+ D+ B- C B+ B- A B
1.11 62% 14% 29% -7 0 0.88 40% 0.7 .27 12% .55 78% .43 0.85 67% 40% 24% -9 0 0.83 31% 0.8 .26 21% .23 58% .13
Dec
7		 Alabama St. C- D A+ F F+ 28% 17% 54% D F+ A+ D B+ D A- F F C F B F F 36% 28% 36% B- F B+ A+ A+ B F A+ C-
1.12 54% 50% 28% -4 0 0.93 45% 1.0 .45 20% .43 48% .21 0.97 71% 31% 41% +6 -1 1.13 25% 0.4 .09 20% .36 58% .21
Dec
10		 Southern Illinois F F D- F F 28% 12% 60% B- F+ C F F F D D+ D F F B F F 52% 22% 26% F F D+ F F B F B- D-
0.77 43% 33% 27% -11 0 0.80 29% 0.5 .16 27% .24 67% .16 1.19 73% 36% 38% +9 +1 1.22 32% 1.2 .39 19% .37 67% .25
Dec
18		 Tennessee St. D F A+ F F 43% 16% 41% C- F B+ D+ B- F+ A+ C- A+ C D D- C F+ 41% 43% 17% A- D A D B D D+ C- D+
1.00 47% 57% 22% -9 +1 0.86 37% 1.0 .37 23% .53 72% .38 1.10 64% 43% 33% +4 -3 1.06 24% 1.1 .27 14% .30 78% .23
Dec
20		 Tennessee Tech A+ A A+ A+ A+ 27% 22% 51% D A+ C- F F B+ D- A D+ B F F B- F 18% 24% 58% A F B- A+ A- A B C+ B
1.36 71% 55% 46% +17 -1 1.33 29% 0.9 .25 11% .23 85% .19 0.98 88% 55% 31% +6 -2 1.11 27% 0.8 .21 24% .25 75% .19
Jan
1		 Western Illinois F C F A- F 50% 38% 12% F F B- F F B+ A+ D- A+ C- F+ A+ F F 17% 36% 47% A+ F+ F A+ A B+ A F B
1.05 62% 19% 40% -4 -1 0.90 38% 0.5 .21 11% .54 68% .37 0.94 63% 18% 45% +1 -4 0.98 41% 0.3 .13 20% .22 73% .16
Jan
3		 Eastern Illinois F F A+ F F 22% 15% 63% D F C A+ A F A+ A A+ B- F B A+ C+ 18% 33% 49% A B- D A+ A- C F A+ F
0.97 44% 67% 19% -13 0 0.76 34% 1.5 .50 27% .53 85% .45 0.91 67% 31% 25% -7 -3 0.82 30% 0.5 .16 18% .42 65% .27
Jan
8		 Morehead St. B B- A A- B+ 36% 18% 45% C- B+ A D- B- D+ A+ F+ A+ C D B A- C+ 47% 13% 40% F C- F A- F+ A- F B+ D-
1.23 63% 50% 40% +8 0 1.18 46% 0.8 .39 16% .52 67% .35 1.10 62% 33% 28% -3 +2 1.00 51% 0.8 .40 21% .39 68% .27
Jan
10		 Southern Indiana B- D F A+ C 53% 14% 33% B+ C+ A+ C+ A+ F A A- A+ B+ A+ B B A 30% 23% 48% C+ A- D+ F+ D- B F B F
1.17 52% 17% 50% +2 +2 1.09 53% 1.0 .53 22% .41 80% .33 0.89 23% 30% 29% -16 -1 0.68 32% 1.0 .32 19% .57 62% .36
Jan
15		 SIU Edwardsville D+ C+ A F D 15% 17% 67% D+ D B B B+ D+ A+ F A+ B- A+ F A+ B+ 22% 41% 37% A+ A- B- D+ C F D+ A+ B+
1.02 57% 50% 26% -6 -1 0.87 38% 1.1 .41 17% .50 65% .32 0.93 42% 55% 15% -7 -4 0.80 25% 1.1 .27 9% .28 44% .12
Jan
17		 Lindenwood F+ B- C- C- C 35% 26% 39% D- C- C+ D C- F F B- F A+ B+ C A+ A+ 18% 47% 36% A+ A+ B- B B A F B F
0.97 63% 36% 33% +1 -1 1.02 34% 0.9 .31 24% .20 73% .15 0.77 50% 33% 13% -15 -5 0.62 29% 1.0 .29 24% .50 63% .31
Jan
20		 Southeast Missouri St. F D+ D- F F 36% 8% 56% B F A+ F C F A+ F C C B- A- C C 27% 15% 58% C+ C F B F B- C A+ B+
0.78 54% 33% 20% -14 +1 0.78 46% 0.7 .31 33% .51 59% .30 1.03 54% 29% 32% -4 0 0.94 40% 1.1 .43 19% .33 53% .17
Jan
29		 Eastern Illinois C+ A A+ A+ A+ 34% 7% 59% B- A+ B F+ C- F A+ F B- C- F A+ A+ B- 38% 28% 34% D+ B- D C D+ F F A+ F
1.12 71% 67% 42% +13 +1 1.32 39% 0.9 .36 30% .42 65% .27 1.01 65% 20% 22% -9 -1 0.83 30% 1.0 .30 12% .49 59% .29
Jan
31		 Western Illinois B+ B- A D C- 51% 8% 42% A- C A+ B+ A+ C C B C+ A+ A+ B- B+ A+ 37% 14% 49% F A- A- A+ A+ A D- C- D-
1.30 67% 50% 32% +4 +3 1.15 48% 1.3 .63 14% .30 76% .23 0.68 25% 33% 29% -17 +1 0.70 18% 0.3 .06 22% .35 67% .24
Feb
3		 Arkansas Little Rock F A C- D- D- 20% 8% 73% D+ D- C- D D+ F F F F A C+ C- A+ B 41% 30% 28% D- B- B- D- C- A+ A+ C- A+
0.89 75% 33% 31% 0 0 1.03 34% 0.8 .29 27% .22 50% .11 0.84 58% 36% 23% -5 -1 0.89 28% 1.1 .31 27% .07 67% .04
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Southern Indiana C+ D+ A+ D+ C 28% 26% 46% F C- A+ C+ A+ F B- F F+ B+ B A+ B- B+ 23% 34% 43% A+ A- D+ A+ B+ B- F D+ F
1.18 54% 50% 33% +1 -1 1.02 55% 1.0 .55 23% .35 53% .18 0.84 45% 13% 30% -14 -3 0.68 32% 0.6 .18 19% .42 68% .29
Feb
7		 Morehead St. F F D- F F 27% 7% 67% C+ F A F D- C- A+ D- A+ C+ C+ A F C- 22% 41% 37% A+ C+ D- B C- A- F F F
0.91 42% 33% 20% -19 +1 0.67 45% 0.6 .25 15% .49 68% .33 1.01 56% 29% 40% -1 -4 0.93 39% 0.8 .33 22% .38 89% .34
Feb
12		 Lindenwood C A- F A+ A- 42% 11% 47% B A- C+ C- C F A- F D D F C C+ F 59% 13% 28% F F C A+ A A+ B F C-
1.07 68% 0% 43% +6 +2 1.18 33% 1.0 .33 25% .40 52% .21 1.08 78% 33% 31% +10 +2 1.26 31% 0.8 .23 25% .27 79% .21
Feb
14		 SIU Edwardsville A- A C- A+ A+ 27% 18% 55% C A+ D A- C F A+ A- A+ F+ A A+ F F+ 36% 11% 53% F F F F F A+ F D F
1.20 67% 38% 46% +12 0 1.25 27% 1.1 .31 21% .43 78% .34 1.12 44% 20% 46% +2 +1 1.09 41% 1.3 .51 27% .48 71% .34
Feb
17		 Southeast Missouri St. F D- F F F 30% 32% 38% F F C+ F F D+ F+ F F A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 42% 19% 40% C- A+ F A+ C- A+ F D+ F
0.74 50% 24% 15% -18 -2 0.62 29% 0.6 .17 18% .34 65% .22 0.78 40% 11% 21% -20 0 0.63 38% 0.9 .33 27% .46 71% .32
Feb
19		 Arkansas Little Rock C- C- F D F 31% 18% 51% D F A+ F B- B F C- F D F A F F+ 23% 47% 30% A+ D D F F B F B+ F
1.09 60% 11% 32% -6 0 0.90 53% 0.7 .38 15% .20 70% .14 1.12 80% 25% 46% +5 -4 1.02 33% 1.6 .53 20% .38 61% .23
Feb
26		 Tennessee Tech F C F F F 42% 15% 43% B F D D D- C- D- C D- A+ B A+ A+ A+ 15% 32% 54% A+ A+ A+ A A+ A F D- F
0.97 59% 25% 26% -7 +1 0.91 25% 1.1 .28 15% .23 77% .18 0.74 50% 15% 23% -17 -3 0.61 20% 0.9 .17 24% .54 81% .44
Feb
28		 Tennessee St. F F C- F F 29% 24% 48% F F F F F F F C- F B- F D B- D- 20% 48% 32% A+ C D+ C+ C- A A D A-
0.64 42% 40% 20% -14 -1 0.71 16% 0.8 .13 29% .23 73% .17 1.02 70% 42% 31% +3 -5 0.98 34% 1.0 .34 21% .19 80% .15
Mar
5		 Eastern Illinois D+ A+ F F D 24% 20% 57% F+ D- C+ D C B B- C B- D+ D- B F F 28% 35% 37% B+ F C A B B- C+ B+ B-
1.07 82% 22% 27% -3 -1 0.93 37% 1.0 .37 16% .35 78% .27 1.02 62% 31% 41% +3 -3 1.02 26% 0.8 .21 19% .26 69% .18
Mar
6		 Tennessee St. F A F F F+ 29% 22% 49% F F B- F D- F F D+ F C- F F F F 22% 36% 42% A F F A+ C- A+ A F A-
0.90 69% 30% 27% -3 -1 0.93 33% 0.7 .22 23% .15 71% .11 1.11 70% 50% 42% +12 -3 1.20 45% 0.8 .34 25% .17 88% .15



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 100.0
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%