Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
205 SIU Edwardsville 24.1%   16   4 - 3 0 - 0 18 - 10 13 - 7 -2.7      -4.1 279 +1.4 126 65.4 289 -0.2 179 0.0 1
232 Southeast Missouri St. 14.3%   1 - 6 0 - 0 13 - 14 11 - 8 -4.3      -3.1 250 -1.2 204 75.1 50 -9.6 305 0.0 1
239 Tennessee Martin 15.4%   4 - 2 0 - 0 17 - 11 12 - 8 -4.5      -3.6 266 -0.9 197 66.0 275 +4.8 107 0.0 1
245 Lindenwood 14.9%   3 - 4 0 - 0 15 - 13 12 - 8 -4.7      -4.4 294 -0.3 176 77.2 34 -1.9 202 0.0 1
248 Tennessee St. 12.6%   2 - 4 0 - 0 13 - 12 11 - 7 -4.8      -4.2 282 -0.6 188 74.9 56 -0.2 180 0.0 1
302 Tennessee Tech 4.4%   1 - 6 0 - 0 10 - 17 9 - 10 -7.9      -4.7 299 -3.3 280 73.5 87 -9.5 304 0.0 1
306 Arkansas Little Rock 4.7%   1 - 6 0 - 0 11 - 18 9 - 11 -8.0      -5.3 315 -2.8 265 65.6 284 -9.5 302 0.0 1
317 Southern Indiana 3.7%   1 - 6 0 - 0 10 - 18 9 - 11 -8.6      -5.8 327 -2.8 267 78.1 26 -13.7 343 0.0 1
322 Eastern Illinois 3.3%   1 - 5 0 - 0 10 - 18 9 - 11 -9.1      -7.0 343 -2.1 238 66.1 270 -8.2 292 0.0 1
328 Morehead St. 2.4%   1 - 6 0 - 0 9 - 19 8 - 12 -9.6      -5.6 325 -4.0 311 66.9 256 -12.9 336 0.0 1
360 Western Illinois 0.2%   0 - 7 0 - 0 5 - 23 5 - 15 -14.3      -6.6 340 -7.8 357 62.4 346 -20.2 360 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Dec 2 289 Charleston Southern 56 239 Tennessee Martin 73   
Tue, Dec 2 245 Lindenwood 99 329 Northern Illinois 64   
Tue, Dec 2 342 North Florida 63 205 SIU Edwardsville 72   
Tue, Dec 2 328 Morehead St. 52 112 Murray St. 84   
Tue, Dec 2 119 Drake 108 360 Western Illinois 57   
Wed, Dec 3 266 Alabama A&M 80 248 Tennessee St. 53   
Wed, Dec 3 276 Central Arkansas 85 306 Arkansas Little Rock 47   
Wed, Dec 3 317 Southern Indiana 74 267 Western Michigan 88   
Wed, Dec 3 164 Lipscomb 83 302 Tennessee Tech 80   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Dec 6 208 Chattanooga 77 232 Southeast Missouri St. 72 66%   
Sat, Dec 6 205 SIU Edwardsville 72 267 Western Michigan 66 72%   
Sat, Dec 6 302 Tennessee Tech 72 286 West Georgia 77 66%   
Sat, Dec 6 322 Eastern Illinois 70 245 Lindenwood 72 55%   
Sat, Dec 6 328 Morehead St. 60 259 Presbyterian 67 75%   
Sat, Dec 6 158 Arkansas St. 77 306 Arkansas Little Rock 72 69%   
Sun, Dec 7 271 Alabama St. 69 239 Tennessee Martin 73 67%   
Sun, Dec 7 194 Indiana St. 84 317 Southern Indiana 75 81%   
Tue, Dec 9 306 Arkansas Little Rock 55 66 West Virginia 75 96%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
SIU Edwardsville 3.0 35.1 19.8 13.5 9.9 6.9 5.3 3.9 2.7 1.7 1.0 0.3
Southeast Missouri St. 4.2 15.7 16.1 14.4 13.1 11.1 9.0 7.5 5.7 4.0 2.5 1.0
Tennessee Martin 3.9 21.6 17.1 13.6 11.5 9.8 7.9 6.4 5.1 3.9 2.3 0.9
Lindenwood 4.0 20.3 16.6 13.8 12.0 9.7 8.5 6.8 5.2 3.8 2.3 1.0
Tennessee St. 4.7 10.8 13.7 13.7 12.9 11.9 10.6 8.8 7.3 5.4 3.5 1.5
Tennessee Tech 6.4 3.9 6.0 7.9 9.1 10.4 11.3 11.9 12.4 11.5 9.9 5.7
Arkansas Little Rock 6.1 5.5 7.3 8.9 9.8 10.7 11.3 11.4 11.1 10.4 8.8 4.7
Southern Indiana 6.4 4.6 6.4 7.7 9.2 10.1 10.6 11.8 11.7 11.7 10.3 6.0
Eastern Illinois 6.8 3.8 5.3 6.8 8.1 9.1 10.5 11.3 11.9 12.7 12.5 8.2
Morehead St. 7.1 2.8 4.1 6.0 6.9 8.7 10.2 11.6 12.7 14.0 13.6 9.5
Western Illinois 9.5 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.3 3.3 5.3 8.1 12.7 21.3 43.9




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
SIU Edwardsville 13 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.8 3.1 4.9 6.9 9.4 11.6 13.3 13.0 12.1 9.9 6.7 3.6 1.6 0.4
Southeast Missouri St. 11 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.3 2.6 4.4 6.6 9.1 11.5 13.0 13.3 12.3 10.2 7.3 4.4 2.3 0.8 0.2
Tennessee Martin 12 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.4 4.0 5.8 8.0 9.9 11.6 12.5 12.0 10.8 8.7 6.0 3.8 1.8 0.7 0.1
Lindenwood 12 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.4 3.9 6.2 8.5 10.2 11.7 12.8 12.0 10.8 8.3 5.7 3.3 1.5 0.6 0.1
Tennessee St. 11 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.0 3.5 6.0 8.1 10.7 12.6 13.4 13.2 11.4 8.2 5.6 2.8 1.0 0.2
Tennessee Tech 9 - 11 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.9 6.2 8.6 10.8 12.5 13.0 12.1 10.3 7.9 5.5 3.6 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Arkansas Little Rock 9 - 11 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 3.2 5.3 7.8 10.0 11.5 12.5 12.0 11.1 8.7 6.6 4.1 2.5 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Southern Indiana 9 - 11 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.0 4.0 6.4 8.8 10.7 12.3 12.3 11.6 10.0 8.0 5.7 3.6 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
Eastern Illinois 9 - 11 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.8 5.1 7.8 9.8 11.1 12.0 12.1 11.0 9.0 6.7 4.8 2.9 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Morehead St. 8 - 12 0.1 0.5 1.7 3.4 5.8 8.5 10.6 12.3 12.7 12.2 10.4 8.1 5.6 3.9 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Western Illinois 5 - 15 1.8 5.6 10.3 13.4 15.1 14.3 12.5 9.7 7.0 4.5 2.8 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
SIU Edwardsville 35.1% 25.3 7.7 1.8 0.4 0.0 0.0
Southeast Missouri St. 15.7% 9.6 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
Tennessee Martin 21.6% 14.5 5.3 1.5 0.3 0.0
Lindenwood 20.3% 13.2 5.3 1.4 0.3 0.0
Tennessee St. 10.8% 6.2 3.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
Tennessee Tech 3.9% 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
Arkansas Little Rock 5.5% 3.0 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Southern Indiana 4.6% 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Eastern Illinois 3.8% 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0
Morehead St. 2.8% 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Western Illinois 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
SIU Edwardsville 24.1% 24.1% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 4.3 9.4 8.8 75.9 0.0%
Southeast Missouri St. 14.3% 14.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.3 9.9 85.7 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 15.4% 15.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.7 6.3 5.5 84.6 0.0%
Lindenwood 14.9% 14.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 4.6 8.7 85.1 0.0%
Tennessee St. 12.6% 12.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 4.8 5.7 87.4 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 3.9 95.6 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 4.1 95.3 0.0%
Southern Indiana 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.4 96.3 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 2.8 96.7 0.0%
Morehead St. 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.3 97.6 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
SIU Edwardsville 24.1% 3.2% 22.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southeast Missouri St. 14.3% 5.6% 11.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 15.4% 1.8% 14.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lindenwood 14.9% 4.1% 13.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee St. 12.6% 2.3% 11.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 4.4% 2.7% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 4.7% 3.0% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Indiana 3.7% 2.8% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 3.3% 2.0% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morehead St. 2.4% 1.9% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 85.8% 0.9 14.2 85.8
2nd Round 1.4% 0.0 98.6 1.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0