IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Arkansas Pine Bluff
Southwestern Athletic
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-23.4	#364
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	77.4	#14
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-11.4	#364

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-12.0	#365

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	n/a	16.0

.500 or above	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
.500 or above in Conference	0.6%	0.0%	0.6%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	48.0%	19.7%	48.0%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Washington (Away) - 0.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 3	0 - 6	0 - 12
Quad 4	3 - 14	3 - 26

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	48	@ Washington	L	59-97	0.0%
Nov 06, 2025	265	@ Portland	L	68-89	2%
Nov 08, 2025	135	@ Loyola Marymount	L	61-89	1%
Nov 11, 2025	47	@ Oklahoma	L	59-97	0.0%
Nov 15, 2025	41	@ Vanderbilt	L	60-99	0.0%
Nov 18, 2025	46	@ SMU	L	60-98	0.0%
Nov 20, 2025	185	@ Marshall	L	64-89	1%
Nov 23, 2025	125	@ Miami (OH)	L	64-93	1%
Dec 03, 2025	153	@ Illinois-Chicago	L	64-91	1%
Dec 06, 2025	83	@ DePaul	L	60-93	0.1%
Dec 10, 2025	150	@ Tulsa	L	61-88	1%
Jan 03, 2026	327	Alabama A&M	L	75-85	18%
Jan 05, 2026	289	Alabama St.	L	69-82	13%
Jan 10, 2026	290	@ Texas Southern	L	67-86	5%
Jan 12, 2026	340	@ Prairie View	L	71-86	10%
Jan 17, 2026	338	Florida A&M	L	71-80	22%
Jan 19, 2026	249	Bethune-Cookman	L	69-85	9%
Jan 24, 2026	189	@ Southern	L	63-87	2%
Jan 26, 2026	284	@ Grambling St.	L	60-79	5%
Jan 31, 2026	365	@ Mississippi Valley	L	70-72	44%
Feb 07, 2026	323	Alcorn St.	L	66-77	19%
Feb 09, 2026	238	Jackson St.	L	69-85	9%
Feb 14, 2026	289	@ Alabama St.	L	66-85	6%
Feb 16, 2026	327	@ Alabama A&M	L	72-88	9%
Feb 21, 2026	290	Texas Southern	L	70-83	14%
Feb 21, 2026	340	Prairie View	L	74-83	23%
Feb 28, 2026	365	Mississippi Valley	W	73-69	64%
Mar 03, 2026	238	@ Jackson St.	L	66-88	4%
Mar 05, 2026	323	@ Alcorn St.	L	63-80	9%
Projected Record						3 - 26	3 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st																						1st
2nd												0.0		0.0							0.0	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.0	0.0									0.0	3rd
4th									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0									0.1	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0										0.3	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0										0.5	6th
7th						0.0	0.2	0.7	0.4	0.1											1.4	7th
8th					0.1	0.4	1.2	0.8	0.2	0.0											2.7	8th
9th			0.0	0.2	1.4	2.3	1.8	0.5	0.0												6.3	9th
10th			0.8	4.2	5.8	3.2	0.9	0.1													14.9	10th
11th		5.6	15.7	13.3	5.2	1.0	0.1														41.0	11th
12th	10.3	14.3	6.3	1.6	0.2	0.0															32.7	12th

Total	10.3	19.9	22.8	19.3	12.7	7.0	4.2	2.2	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.1		0.0								Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5	0.0%
12-6
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5	0.0%																							0.0
12-6
11-7	0.1%																							0.1
10-8	0.1%																							0.1
9-9	0.4%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																	0.0	0.4
8-10	1.0%																							1.0
7-11	2.2%																							2.2
6-12	4.2%																							4.2
5-13	7.0%																							7.0
4-14	12.7%																							12.7
3-15	19.3%																							19.3
2-16	22.8%																							22.8
1-17	19.9%																							19.9
0-18	10.3%																							10.3

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	16.0																	0.0	100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	8.9%