IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Clemson
Atlantic Coast
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+12.3	#42
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	62.2	#331
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+5.6	#50

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+6.7	#25

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.8%	0.8%	2.0%
Top 2 Seed	2.3%	2.3%	2.0%
Top 4 Seed	8.2%	8.2%	2.0%
Top 6 Seed	17.5%	17.6%	6.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	51.4%	51.5%	20.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	49.0%	49.2%	20.3%
Average Seed	7.4	7.4	7.5

.500 or above	85.0%	85.2%	48.8%
.500 or above in Conference	74.3%	74.4%	51.2%
Conference Champion	6.4%	6.4%	4.1%
Last Place in Conference	1.8%	1.8%	6.1%

First Four	6.7%	6.7%	4.1%
First Round	48.0%	48.1%	20.3%
Second Round	29.9%	30.0%	12.2%
Sweet Sixteen	11.2%	11.2%	4.1%
Elite Eight	4.5%	4.5%	0.0%
Final Four	1.6%	1.6%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.6%	0.6%	0.0%
National Champion	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%

Next Game: New Hampshire (Home) - 99.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 4	1 - 4
Quad 1b	3 - 3	4 - 7
Quad 2	6 - 3	10 - 11
Quad 3	5 - 1	14 - 11
Quad 4	6 - 0	20 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	356	New Hampshire	W	81-52	99.7%
Nov 07, 2025	307	Gardner-Webb	W	80-56	99%
Nov 11, 2025	291	Morehead St.	W	74-51	98%
Nov 15, 2025	68	@ Georgetown	W	68-67	53%
Nov 17, 2025	191	North Alabama	W	75-58	94%
Nov 21, 2025	58	West Virginia	W	65-62	60%
Nov 28, 2025	327	Alabama A&M	W	83-58	99%
Dec 03, 2025	19	@ Alabama	L	73-80	27%
Dec 08, 2025	9	BYU	L	67-73	30%
Dec 13, 2025	246	Mercer	W	79-59	96%
Dec 16, 2025	71	South Carolina	W	68-61	74%
Dec 21, 2025	45	Cincinnati	W	64-63	51%
Dec 31, 2025	64	@ Syracuse	W	70-69	50%
Jan 03, 2026	80	@ Pittsburgh	W	68-65	58%
Jan 07, 2026	46	SMU	W	71-68	62%
Jan 10, 2026	63	@ Notre Dame	W	65-64	50%
Jan 13, 2026	96	Boston College	W	72-62	80%
Jan 17, 2026	55	Miami (FL)	W	72-67	67%
Jan 20, 2026	31	North Carolina St.	W	66-65	55%
Jan 24, 2026	79	@ Georgia Tech	W	70-67	58%
Jan 31, 2026	80	Pittsburgh	W	71-62	77%
Feb 04, 2026	99	@ Stanford	W	68-64	65%
Feb 07, 2026	91	@ California	W	70-66	62%
Feb 11, 2026	76	Virginia Tech	W	70-62	75%
Feb 14, 2026	3	@ Duke	L	60-73	14%
Feb 18, 2026	67	@ Wake Forest	W	67-66	53%
Feb 21, 2026	75	Florida St.	W	73-65	75%
Feb 28, 2026	10	Louisville	L	69-72	41%
Mar 03, 2026	23	@ North Carolina	L	69-75	32%
Mar 07, 2026	79	Georgia Tech	W	73-64	76%
Projected Record						19 - 11	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.9	1.9	1.9	1.2	0.2		6.4	1st
2nd												0.1	0.4	2.2	3.7	2.7	0.9	0.1			9.9	2nd
3rd												0.4	2.5	4.4	2.6	0.5	0.0				10.4	3rd
4th											0.1	1.8	4.7	2.9	0.5	0.0					10.1	4th
5th										0.0	1.0	4.0	3.4	0.6	0.0						9.0	5th
6th										0.4	3.3	4.0	1.0	0.0							8.8	6th
7th									0.1	1.6	4.3	1.8	0.1								7.8	7th
8th									0.5	3.5	2.3	0.2	0.0								6.4	8th
9th								0.1	1.6	3.3	0.8	0.0									5.7	9th
10th							0.0	0.6	3.0	1.4	0.1										5.0	10th
11th							0.1	1.6	2.3	0.4	0.0										4.4	11th
12th						0.0	0.7	2.1	1.0	0.1											3.9	12th
13th						0.2	1.6	1.4	0.1												3.3	13th
14th					0.1	0.8	1.7	0.4	0.0												2.9	14th
15th				0.0	0.3	1.1	0.6	0.1	0.0												2.1	15th
16th				0.1	0.7	0.7	0.2														1.8	16th
17th			0.2	0.3	0.6	0.2	0.0														1.4	17th
18th	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1																0.8	18th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	1.8	3.0	4.9	6.2	8.5	10.6	11.8	12.3	12.1	10.3	7.8	5.1	2.8	1.3	0.2			Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
17-1	91.6%	1.2		0.9	0.3	0.0
16-2	68.3%	1.9		1.1	0.7	0.1
15-3	37.7%	1.9		0.7	0.9	0.3	0.0
14-4	12.2%	0.9		0.1	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	1.5%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.1%	0.0					0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	6.4%	6.4		3.0	2.4	0.8	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.2%		100.0%	36.5%	63.5%	1.6		0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0														100.0%
17-1	1.3%		100.0%	30.5%	69.5%	2.4		0.4	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0													100.0%
16-2	2.8%		100.0%	20.6%	79.4%	3.4		0.2	0.6	0.8	0.7	0.3	0.2	0.1		0.0										100.0%
15-3	5.1%		99.6%	15.6%	84.0%	4.8		0.1	0.3	0.9	1.1	1.0	0.8	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.0		99.5%
14-4	7.8%		97.8%	10.3%	87.5%	6.1		0.0	0.1	0.4	1.0	1.4	1.6	1.4	1.0	0.5	0.2	0.1						0.2		97.5%
13-5	10.3%		90.9%	7.8%	83.1%	7.4		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.9	1.5	2.0	1.6	1.6	1.0	0.2						0.9		90.1%
12-6	12.1%		78.5%	4.1%	74.4%	8.3					0.1	0.4	0.8	1.5	2.2	2.1	1.9	0.5						2.6		77.6%
11-7	12.3%		62.1%	3.0%	59.1%	9.1					0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.1	2.0	2.6	1.0						4.7		60.9%
10-8	11.8%		41.7%	1.7%	40.1%	9.6						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.0	2.1	1.0	0.0					6.9		40.8%
9-9	10.6%		20.5%	0.9%	19.6%	10.1								0.0	0.1	0.3	0.9	0.7	0.0					8.4		19.8%
8-10	8.5%		7.7%	0.1%	7.7%	10.4									0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.0					7.8		7.7%
7-11	6.2%		1.8%	0.2%	1.6%	10.8										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0					6.1		1.6%
6-12	4.9%		0.1%	0.1%		13.0														0.0				4.9
5-13	3.0%																							3.0
4-14	1.8%																							1.8
3-15	0.7%																							0.7
2-16	0.5%																							0.5
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		51.4%	4.6%	46.8%	7.4		0.8	1.4	2.3	3.6	4.2	5.1	6.3	7.0	7.6	9.1	3.8	0.1	0.0				48.6		49.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	1.0	100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.0%	100.0%	1.0	100.0