IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Indiana
Big Ten
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+13.6	#33
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.5	#135
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+7.2	#36

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+6.4	#30

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
#1 Seed	1.6%	1.6%	1.1%
Top 2 Seed	4.5%	4.5%	1.1%
Top 4 Seed	14.8%	14.9%	4.2%
Top 6 Seed	27.8%	28.0%	9.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid	56.5%	56.7%	30.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	55.2%	55.4%	29.3%
Average Seed	6.5	6.5	7.8

.500 or above	78.9%	79.1%	49.9%
.500 or above in Conference	55.7%	55.8%	33.0%
Conference Champion	2.5%	2.5%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	2.7%	2.6%	11.7%

First Four	5.5%	5.5%	4.2%
First Round	53.9%	54.1%	27.7%
Second Round	37.4%	37.6%	13.8%
Sweet Sixteen	16.5%	16.5%	5.3%
Elite Eight	6.7%	6.8%	1.1%
Final Four	2.6%	2.7%	1.1%
Championship Game	1.2%	1.2%	0.0%
National Champion	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%

Next Game: Alabama A&M (Home) - 99.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	3 - 8	3 - 8
Quad 1b	3 - 2	5 - 11
Quad 2	4 - 2	10 - 13
Quad 3	3 - 0	13 - 13
Quad 4	6 - 0	19 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2025	327	Alabama A&M	W	89-62	99%
Nov 09, 2025	43	Marquette	W	72-71	56%
Nov 12, 2025	216	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	84-64	96%
Nov 16, 2025	214	Incarnate Word	W	80-60	96%
Nov 20, 2025	326	Lindenwood	W	85-59	99%
Nov 25, 2025	57	Kansas St.	W	74-67	73%
Nov 29, 2025	249	Bethune-Cookman	W	83-62	97%
Dec 03, 2025	87	@ Minnesota	W	69-64	66%
Dec 06, 2025	10	Louisville	L	73-77	35%
Dec 09, 2025	90	Penn St.	W	80-69	82%
Dec 13, 2025	7	@ Kentucky	L	73-82	22%
Dec 20, 2025	351	Chicago St.	W	87-58	99%
Dec 22, 2025	213	Siena	W	82-62	95%
Jan 04, 2026	48	Washington	W	76-71	67%
Jan 07, 2026	40	@ Maryland	L	72-74	43%
Jan 10, 2026	59	Nebraska	W	76-69	73%
Jan 13, 2026	21	@ Michigan St.	L	68-73	33%
Jan 17, 2026	34	Iowa	W	79-76	61%
Jan 20, 2026	6	@ Michigan	L	70-79	23%
Jan 23, 2026	82	@ Rutgers	W	75-71	63%
Jan 27, 2026	2	Purdue	L	69-76	28%
Jan 31, 2026	13	@ UCLA	L	66-73	28%
Feb 03, 2026	29	@ USC	L	72-76	38%
Feb 07, 2026	26	Wisconsin	W	74-73	54%
Feb 09, 2026	28	Oregon	W	74-72	57%
Feb 15, 2026	15	@ Illinois	L	75-82	28%
Feb 20, 2026	2	@ Purdue	L	66-79	14%
Feb 24, 2026	72	Northwestern	W	73-64	76%
Mar 01, 2026	21	Michigan St.	W	71-70	51%
Mar 04, 2026	87	Minnesota	W	72-61	81%
Mar 07, 2026	27	@ Ohio St.	L	72-76	36%
Projected Record						19 - 12	10 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st															0.1	0.3	0.8	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.0		2.5	1st
2nd													0.0	0.1	0.6	1.4	1.3	0.6	0.1	0.0			4.2	2nd
3rd													0.0	0.7	2.3	1.8	0.4	0.0					5.2	3rd
4th												0.0	0.6	2.4	2.4	0.8	0.1						6.2	4th
5th												0.4	2.3	3.3	1.0	0.1							7.1	5th
6th											0.2	1.9	3.3	1.7	0.2								7.2	6th
7th										0.1	1.1	4.1	2.5	0.4	0.0								8.1	7th
8th									0.0	0.6	3.0	3.0	0.8	0.0									7.4	8th
9th									0.2	2.3	4.0	1.3	0.1										7.8	9th
10th								0.1	1.1	3.7	2.2	0.2											7.3	10th
11th							0.0	0.4	3.1	3.1	0.6	0.0											7.3	11th
12th						0.0	0.2	2.2	3.4	1.1	0.1												6.9	12th
13th						0.1	1.1	3.0	1.7	0.2													6.1	13th
14th					0.0	0.7	2.3	1.9	0.3	0.0													5.3	14th
15th					0.3	1.7	1.7	0.6	0.0														4.4	15th
16th			0.0	0.3	1.0	1.4	0.7	0.0															3.4	16th
17th		0.0	0.2	0.7	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0															2.3	17th
18th	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.3	0.0																	1.3	18th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.5	2.5	4.3	6.0	8.2	9.9	11.1	11.1	10.9	9.6	8.6	6.5	4.3	2.5	1.3	0.6	0.2	0.0			Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	93.6%	0.2		0.2
18-2	88.5%	0.5		0.4	0.1	0.0
17-3	52.3%	0.7		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
16-4	29.9%	0.8		0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0
15-5	6.2%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
14-6	1.1%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.0%
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	2.5%	2.5		1.3	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		100.0%	65.1%	34.9%	1.3		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
19-1	0.2%		100.0%	34.4%	65.6%	1.5		0.1	0.1	0.0																100.0%
18-2	0.6%		100.0%	31.3%	68.7%	1.6		0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0															100.0%
17-3	1.3%		100.0%	19.5%	80.5%	1.9		0.5	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0													100.0%
16-4	2.5%		100.0%	14.1%	85.9%	2.7		0.4	0.8	0.8	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0												100.0%
15-5	4.3%		99.8%	11.7%	88.1%	3.5		0.2	0.6	1.3	1.2	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0									0.0		99.8%
14-6	6.5%		99.9%	8.6%	91.3%	4.5		0.1	0.5	1.3	1.7	1.5	0.9	0.5	0.1	0.0								0.0		99.9%
13-7	8.6%		99.3%	5.1%	94.3%	5.6		0.0	0.1	0.7	1.4	1.9	2.0	1.3	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0						0.1		99.3%
12-8	9.6%		96.2%	2.3%	93.9%	6.8			0.0	0.1	0.7	1.4	1.8	2.0	1.7	1.0	0.4	0.1						0.4		96.1%
11-9	10.9%		87.7%	1.4%	86.2%	7.8				0.0	0.3	0.6	1.2	1.9	2.1	2.1	1.0	0.3	0.0					1.3		87.5%
10-10	11.1%		68.9%	0.6%	68.3%	8.7					0.1	0.2	0.4	1.0	1.7	1.7	1.8	0.9	0.1					3.5		68.7%
9-11	11.1%		39.2%	0.3%	38.9%	9.7					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.8	1.4	1.4	0.1					6.7		39.0%
8-12	9.9%		14.0%	0.1%	13.9%	10.4								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.0					8.5		13.9%
7-13	8.2%		3.7%		3.7%	10.6									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0					7.9		3.7%
6-14	6.0%		0.1%		0.1%	11.0												0.0						6.0		0.1%
5-15	4.3%																							4.3
4-16	2.5%																							2.5
3-17	1.5%																							1.5
2-18	0.6%																							0.6
1-19	0.2%																							0.2
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		56.5%	2.9%	53.6%	6.5		1.6	2.9	4.5	5.8	6.4	6.7	7.0	6.7	5.9	5.2	3.5	0.2					43.5		55.2%