IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Kansas
Big 12
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+17.5	#14
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.3	#114
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+8.1	#27

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+9.4	#8

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	2.3%	2.3%	0.0%
#1 Seed	10.4%	10.4%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	22.3%	22.4%	4.3%
Top 4 Seed	46.1%	46.2%	10.5%
Top 6 Seed	64.1%	64.3%	18.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid	85.1%	85.2%	54.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	83.6%	83.7%	52.1%
Average Seed	4.7	4.7	7.0

.500 or above	90.3%	90.4%	62.7%
.500 or above in Conference	83.6%	83.7%	62.5%
Conference Champion	13.1%	13.2%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	0.7%	0.7%	2.1%

First Four	4.2%	4.2%	6.3%
First Round	83.3%	83.4%	52.1%
Second Round	68.7%	68.8%	23.0%
Sweet Sixteen	40.3%	40.4%	10.6%
Elite Eight	20.6%	20.7%	2.2%
Final Four	9.9%	10.0%	2.2%
Championship Game	4.8%	4.8%	0.0%
National Champion	2.2%	2.2%	0.0%

Next Game: Green Bay (Home) - 99.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	4 - 6	4 - 6
Quad 1b	4 - 2	8 - 9
Quad 2	6 - 2	14 - 10
Quad 3	4 - 0	18 - 10
Quad 4	3 - 0	22 - 10

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	306	Green Bay	W	89-60	99.7%
Nov 07, 2025	23	@ North Carolina	L	76-77	48%
Nov 11, 2025	222	TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	82-58	98%
Nov 15, 2025	179	Princeton	W	81-59	98%
Nov 18, 2025	3	Duke	L	68-73	33%
Nov 24, 2025	63	Notre Dame	W	73-65	77%
Nov 25, 2025	64	Syracuse	W	78-70	77%
Dec 02, 2025	4	Connecticut	L	68-70	44%
Dec 07, 2025	37	Missouri	W	78-71	73%
Dec 13, 2025	31	@ North Carolina St.	W	70-69	52%
Dec 16, 2025	136	Towson	W	77-58	95%
Dec 22, 2025	145	Davidson	W	80-60	95%
Jan 03, 2026	74	@ Central Florida	W	80-73	72%
Jan 06, 2026	56	TCU	W	75-64	82%
Jan 10, 2026	58	@ West Virginia	W	70-65	66%
Jan 13, 2026	20	Iowa St.	W	73-69	64%
Jan 16, 2026	24	Baylor	W	72-67	68%
Jan 20, 2026	84	@ Colorado	W	74-66	74%
Jan 24, 2026	57	@ Kansas St.	W	73-68	65%
Jan 31, 2026	9	BYU	W	76-74	57%
Feb 02, 2026	12	@ Texas Tech	L	70-73	39%
Feb 07, 2026	89	Utah	W	80-65	89%
Feb 09, 2026	11	Arizona	W	78-75	58%
Feb 14, 2026	20	@ Iowa St.	L	70-72	43%
Feb 18, 2026	73	@ Oklahoma St.	W	80-73	72%
Feb 21, 2026	45	Cincinnati	W	72-63	76%
Feb 23, 2026	1	Houston	L	62-66	38%
Feb 28, 2026	11	@ Arizona	L	75-78	39%
Mar 03, 2026	69	@ Arizona St.	W	76-70	69%
Mar 07, 2026	57	Kansas St.	W	76-65	82%
Projected Record						20 - 10	12 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big 12 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.3	1.6	3.7	4.2	2.5	0.8		13.1	1st
2nd												0.0	0.4	2.9	5.2	4.3	1.3	0.1			14.2	2nd
3rd												0.5	3.1	5.9	3.3	0.7	0.0				13.4	3rd
4th											0.3	2.4	5.3	2.9	0.5	0.0					11.4	4th
5th										0.1	1.8	4.5	2.9	0.4							9.6	5th
6th									0.0	1.0	4.0	3.2	0.6	0.0							8.8	6th
7th									0.3	2.6	3.4	0.7	0.0								7.0	7th
8th								0.1	1.3	3.1	1.2	0.1									5.8	8th
9th							0.0	0.6	2.6	1.5	0.2										4.8	9th
10th							0.2	1.6	1.6	0.3	0.0										3.8	10th
11th					0.0	0.1	0.8	1.4	0.5	0.0											2.8	11th
12th					0.0	0.3	1.1	0.6	0.1												2.1	12th
13th					0.2	0.6	0.4	0.1													1.3	13th
14th				0.1	0.3	0.4	0.1														1.0	14th
15th		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0														0.6	15th
16th	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0																0.3	16th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.5	2.7	4.4	6.4	8.6	10.8	11.3	12.3	12.5	10.6	8.6	5.5	2.6	0.8			Total

Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.8		0.8
17-1	95.7%	2.5		2.1	0.4
16-2	76.1%	4.2		2.7	1.3	0.2
15-3	42.8%	3.7		1.3	1.8	0.5	0.0
14-4	15.4%	1.6		0.3	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.0
13-5	2.7%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.1%	0.0						0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	13.1%	13.1		7.2	4.3	1.3	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.8%		100.0%	40.0%	60.0%	1.1		0.7	0.1																	100.0%
17-1	2.6%		100.0%	38.3%	61.7%	1.3		1.8	0.7	0.1																100.0%
16-2	5.5%		100.0%	28.7%	71.3%	1.6		2.8	2.0	0.6	0.1															100.0%
15-3	8.6%		100.0%	21.2%	78.8%	2.1		2.9	3.2	1.9	0.5	0.1	0.0													100.0%
14-4	10.6%		100.0%	16.8%	83.2%	2.7		1.6	3.2	3.3	1.7	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0											100.0%
13-5	12.5%		99.9%	9.7%	90.2%	3.7		0.5	1.9	3.4	3.5	1.9	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0								0.0		99.9%
12-6	12.3%		99.9%	7.4%	92.5%	4.7		0.1	0.7	2.3	2.8	2.8	2.0	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.0		99.9%
11-7	11.3%		98.3%	4.0%	94.3%	5.8			0.2	0.8	1.7	2.5	2.4	1.6	0.9	0.6	0.2	0.1						0.2		98.2%
10-8	10.8%		92.9%	2.1%	90.8%	7.1				0.3	0.6	1.4	1.8	2.0	1.6	1.1	0.9	0.3	0.0					0.8		92.8%
9-9	8.6%		77.1%	1.6%	75.4%	8.1			0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.8	1.0	1.2	0.9	1.2	0.7	0.1					2.0		76.7%
8-10	6.4%		49.8%	0.3%	49.5%	9.3					0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.8	0.9	0.1					3.2		49.6%
7-11	4.4%		22.9%	0.3%	22.6%	10.1						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.0					3.4		22.6%
6-12	2.7%		10.0%	0.3%	9.7%	10.8										0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0				2.4		9.8%
5-13	1.5%		1.4%		1.4%	11.0											0.0	0.0	0.0					1.5		1.4%
4-14	0.8%																							0.8
3-15	0.4%																							0.4
2-16	0.1%																							0.1
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		85.1%	9.5%	75.6%	4.7		10.4	12.0	12.8	11.0	9.6	8.4	6.3	4.8	3.5	3.6	2.7	0.2	0.0				14.9		83.6%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.1%	100.0%	1.0	100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.0%	100.0%	1.0	100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.0%	100.0%	1.2	80.3	19.7